Superior Pitching Matchups

[MCP313]

Gonna start tracking IMO teams with the superior SP.

Listing both pitchers.

Lines from 5 Dimes

Cardinals -121
Mets +111
Marlins +102
Brewers +135

I'll update daily and most likely add overnight. Just wanted to keep a running tally. Fade or follow I am not actually playing these.

[Chris46139]

where have I seen this before, guy is going to go 4-0 and tell us he's undefeated

[MCP313]

3-1 +213 Wednesday

Giants -106
White Sox -104
Marlins +155
Pirates +133
Astros +115

Will add Cardinals when I wake up since Jaime has replaced Westbrook.

Brewers +189
Mets +205

These two dont have superior matchups but have capable pitchers going against CC/Verlander so I'll track them also.

This is something I have been following with the naked eye but probably when I look at scores after the games I have selective a memory and probably thought these game were performing better than they actually were hence the track to see if there is anything viable here.

Might need to also filter pitchers with less than 50 frames since guys like Matusz, Cecil and Cook have limited innings but either way its just a track at this point.

So these 7 for Thursday + St Louis when a line comes out.

[BOBBYW]

gl..

[home dogs]

hmmmm this sounds very familiar, there is a system called the Logical Approach System that goes by actual data on pitchers not just using your opinion. The rankings are based on the seasons performance and the filters are as followed:
Logical Plays

Just a reminder here are the filters
1. higher ranking
2. higher value
3. higher total power
4. only play home team on the ml.
5. pitcher must be in top 49.
6. opposing pitcher can not be ranked 30 or higher.

Here are the records for the 2011 season

2011 Season
5/13 - 6/30
Home: 82-54 (+3.76)
Away: 70-70 (-8.55)
Home Teams: -160> 39-14 (+14.67)
InterLeague Home: 23-15 (+1.5)
InterLeague Away: 18-23 (-8.3)

6/1 – 6/30
Home: 49-38 (-5.48)
Away: 44-45 (-5.72)
Home Teams: -160 or Greater 26-9 (+10.62)
Home Teams: Greater Than -180 17-1 (+15.16)
Play RL+1.5 Agst HT Fav -180 or Less 49-16 (+23.1)
InterLeague Home: 18-15 (-3.5)
InterLeague Away: 13-17 (-6.43)


Logical Approach's 2011 Daily Major League Baseball Starting Pitcher Report

The link is listed above so far this year the clear cut pitching advantage has not translated into winners....

Not trying to clutter your thread but giving you some more info to use if you were interested...

[MCP313]

No problem HD but I am keeping it as simple as possible and basically going through an entire card in roughly 2-3 minutes and not even looking at anything basic such as team record, home and away records, ERA's, pitchers records, betting %s.

Only thing I might semi consider are recent splits/performances and even that is just minor. Only filter I am considering to justify performance might be IP just so the sample size isn't small. Maybe what am I doing is proves fruitless and maybe its something decent...who knows. I'll track until Sunday and then decide what to do from there.

St Louis -126 for a total of 9 games.

[LordCC]

Best of luck Pimp!

[MCP313]

Originally Posted by MtrCtyPimp

3-1 +213 Wednesday

Giants -106 L
White Sox -104 W
Marlins +155 W
Pirates +133 W
Astros +115 W
St Louis -126 W

Brewers +189 L
Mets +205 L

These two dont have superior matchups but have capable pitchers going against CC/Verlander so I'll track them also.

This is something I have been following with the naked eye but probably when I look at scores after the games I have selective a memory and probably thought these game were performing better than they actually were hence the track to see if there is anything viable here.

Might need to also filter pitchers with less than 50 frames since guys like Matusz, Cecil and Cook have limited innings but either way its just a track at this point.

So these 7 for Thursday + St Louis when a line comes out.

5-3 +297 losing those 2 added dogs Thursday where there wasn't a tangible edge

8-4 +510 total.

Going to just start labeling pitchers as good/bad IMO and will filter players who don't have at least 40 innings of work. Will also filter using last 7 appearances so if a "good" pitcher has a bad last 7 I won't use him and if a "bad" pitcher has a good last 7 I won't fade him. Another filter I will use is never lay anything over -150 regardless and even 150 is kind of high.

Clev/Cincy, Bal/Atl, Fla/Tex washed with good arms on both sides and TB/Stl with bad arms.

Sea/SD no play since Vargas L7 no good.
Pitt/Was no play since Morton L7 have been good.
Phi/Tor no play Kendrick L7 have been good.
Col/KC no play Nicasio not enough IP
Mil/Min no play Liriano L7 good.
Oak/Az no play Harden season debut.

With that said from here on out I am going to play everything for 1* and from now on in the thread there will only be plays and no more commentary and hopefully results don't end up disastrous. All plays are listed pitchers. In the event of a pitching change and I catch it in time will replay any game that falls in the parameters.

July 1st will consist of real $$ wagers and I'll update a separate record in my sig for the plays in this thread.

1* White Sox -112
1* Giants +115
1* Mets +107
1* Astros +120
1* Dodgers +103

[MCP313]

Originally Posted by MtrCtyPimp

1* White Sox -112
1* Giants +115
1* Mets +107
1* Astros +120
1* Dodgers +103

3-2 +118 Friday

1* Yankees -120
1* Braves RL +130

[bt33]

Go Yankees and Braves!!!

[Mendoza Line]

GL Pimp!

On the Yanks with you.