Thursday's Play--It Goes Really Early !!

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Won again last night with the over in the Rays/Red Sox. That is at least 3 in a row (maybe more--I lost my recent records) and I believe I am 9-4 for my last 13. I absolutely KNOW I've been grooving 'em since I went back to the Stevie Ray avatar .

For Thursday, I like the over 9.5 runs in the Indians/Twins. This game goes early at 12:05 pm est. Here's why:

The Indians start Fausto Carmona. For the entire season his numbers have been pathetic. A record of 2-6 with a 7.13 ERA, a .278 batting average against and a WHIP of 1.80. In 65.2 innings he has allowed 73 hits with 45 walks and only 37 strikeouts. More than 1 hit per inning and more walks than strikeouts is a recipe for disaster. In day games this year his ERA is 12.38 and his batting average against is .314. Against the Twins this year he is 0-2 with a 12.38 ERA and a .361 batting average against. He just recently returned from an extended stint in the minors. At Triple A Columbus he was nothing special, going 1-3 with a 3.55 ERA. In his first game back he promptly allowed 4 hits and 4 walks in 5 innings pitched. For his career against the Twins he is 3-5 with a 5.19 ERA. The Twins are batting a decent .277 over the past 7 days and they will get to Carmona this afternoon.

Meanwhile, the Twins start Nick Blackburn. Seemingly good numbers on the year. Record of 8-5 with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Note however his batting average against for the season is .287. On the road he is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA and a .292 batting average against. Check this out. Since the All-Star break (last 3 starts) his ERA is 9.98, his batting average against is .419 and his WHIP is 2.119. That'll happen when you allow 31 hits in 15.1 innings. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed 21 earned runs in 22.1 innings. Yikes !! The Tribe are batting a solid .286 over the past 7 days and they will get to Blackburn today.

Thursday's play is over 9.5 in the Indians/Twins.

[RudyNYC27]

GL, love this play, too!

RUDY

[Davydave]

Good Luck Keith

[Keith]

thanks guys

[THE Sports PROFIT]

Not a great card today imo Keith, so I'm on the sidelines. But did look at this play. Hope you cash it!!

[vikesfan]

Gl keith keep it rolling.

[Keith]

thanks Profit and Vikes.

[Chris46139]

Makes me feel even better about it now, don't trust either pitcher in this one. Good luck Keith

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Chris46139

Makes me feel even better about it now, don't trust either pitcher in this one. Good luck Keith

thanks Chris

[barryg]

Pounding this one, Keith. Carmona is a head case, just hope bipolar Indians can score some runs as well.
Also like Yankees team total over tonight (whatever it is).
Keep rolling, brother.

[plane-o-1]

Good Luck Keith!!! Rock & roll!

[RanPicks]

Gl Buddy - keep it rollin

[Keith]

thanks barry, randy and plane-o. Appreciate it.

[Keith]

for the record, I got the over 9.5 at -105.

[Jahred]

just a heads up

Ted Barrett is the guy who umped the whitesox / yankee game with Pettitte going last game he umped.. biggest k zone in history