Thursday's Play--I Sense A Beating Coming

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Hit the under in the Royals/Tigers last night, making me 2-0-1 for the week. Overall for the year I am 40-35 (34-24 since that lousy 6-11 start to the season).

For Thursday night I sense a beating coming. I don't usually like to lay the juice, but sometimes it is justified. Tonight I like the Dodgers -155 to the Mets. Here's why:

The Dodgers start lefty Randy Wolf. Yes I know the Mets hit lefties, but the fact is, they aren't hitting ANYONE right now, with their .234 batting average over the past 7 days. Wolf is 3-3 with a 3.49 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and a .235 batting average against. On the road his ERA is 2.91 and his batting average against is .224. Against the Mets this year his ERA is 2.35 and his batting average against is .214. Other than Castillo, no Mets (who are healthy at least) have had any career success against him. In fact, for his career he is 11-5 against the Mets with a 3.30 ERA. Even better, since 2006, he is 5-0 against the Mets.

Meanwhile the Mets start ancient Livan Hernandez. He is hitting the part of the season where he starts to fall apart. Happens every year. On the season his ERA is 4.56, his WHIP is 1.49 and his batting average against is .299. For his career against the Dodgers he is 9-13 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.450 WHIP. Over his last 3 starts he has gotten battered. In 17 innings he has allowed 21 hits and 12 walks, for an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.941. The Dodgers bat an NL-best .267 against righties and an NL-best .275 on the road. Over the past 7 days, they are batting an awesome .301. Here's the best part. Check out these career batting averages against Hernandez (each with 8 or more career at bats against him): Manny .625; Blake .400; Loney .364; Ethier .375; Loretta .333; Ausmus .323; Furcal .333; and Pierre .281.

The Dodgers open up a can of whoop-ass on the Mets tonight.

Thursday's play is the Dodgers -155.

[RudyNYC27]

Agree

GL

RUDY

[Keith]

Originally Posted by RudyNYC27

Agree

GL

RUDY

thanks Roo.

[Victor]

Good luck Keith!

[RudyNYC27]

Really, watched every pitch last night for obvious reasons...the MONSTER in the Dodgers will wake up tonight...Manny will put on a show.

RUDY

(...so when RUDY has this as a play tonight, your copyrights will not apply)

[g_rock65]

Sweet call last night, thanks! Nice looking play for tonight, BOL as we cash this easy winner!!

[plane-o-1]

GL Keith!!! Like it.

[Keith]

thanks guys. Off to Court in Manhattan. Catch you later.

[Kaysee]

BoL Keith, keep it going my man. Thanks for the winners

[RanPicks]

Gl Buddy, glad I played your play bigger than "my" play...

[vikesfan]

Good Luck Keith Go Dodgers.

[twentyonekid]

good luck keith

[fat-freddie]

Thanks for another big winner last night Keith, Dodgers look good tonight bud

Good luck man,

Fats.............................................. ...............

[Kacknballz]

Love it!

[Keith]

thanks guys. Dodgers settling in at -150.

Livan gets bitch-slapped so hard tonight, he's gonna think that he's still on that raft floating over from Cuba.