Thursday's Play--It's A Day Game !!

Keith · #1 04-29-2010, 06:23 AM

well, I continued my recent slide, losing with the Marlins yesterday. I posted the play at 7 am and they were -110. By the time the game went off, they were +120. That unfortunately is one of the down-sides of posting plays early. Unfortunately, this is the only chance that I have to do it. Record now stands at 10-8 for the year, with a $100 bettor still +$250.

For Thursday I like the over 9.5 runs in the Rangers/W. Sox. Here's why:

The White Sox start Gavin Floyd. They'd be better off with Gavin Macleod (Captain Steubing from The Love Boat). Even Isaac the Bartender could throw better than Floyd has this year ! For the year he is 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA, a 2.02 WHIP and a BAA of .325. Over his last 2 starts, he went 7.1 innings, allowing 13 hits and 7 walks. On the road this year his ERA is 14.14, his BAA is .417 and his WHIP is 3.000. Last year, his ERA was a full THREE runs higher on the road than at home (5.47 as opposed to 2.47). That is a HUGE difference. Against the Rangers from 2007-2009, his ERA was 9.35, his BAA was .306 and his WHIP was 2.439.

Meanwhile, the Rangers go with Scott Feldman. They'd be better off with Marty Feldman. Or Scott Baio. He is 1-2 on the year with a 5.40 ERA, a 1.70 WHIP and a .321 BAA. Over his last 2 outings, he went a total of 6 innings, allowing 15 hits and 6 walks. From 2007-2009 against the White Sox his ERA was "only" 4.97 and his WHIP was 1.47. I know neither of these teams are hitting right now, but these two scrub pitchers will change all that this afternoon.

Thursday's play is over 9.5 runs in the Rangers/White Sox.