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#1
03-31-2011, 06:18 AM
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Thursday's Play !! Opening Day Is Here !!
it is finally here !!
 First the re-cap. I play each game for 1 unit. I keep a running total based upon wins and losses and where a $100 bettor would be. I play mostly totals, and almost always overs (I only like unders in games where there is a clock working as my ally). I finished last year at 54-44, with a $100 bettor +$855. Hope to do better this season. Let's get to it. For Opening Day, I like the over 8 runs in the Brewers/Reds. Here's why: The Reds start Edinson Volquez. Last year he was 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. For his entire career his numbers are not all that impressive. He is 28-22 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. For his career against the Brewers he sports a 5.50 ERA and a 1.573 WHIP (over is 4-1 in his starts against the Brewers). Last year he was 1-0 against the Brewers with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.517 WHIP, but in 2009 his ERA against them was 10.80 (.318 BAA) and in 2008 his ERA against them was 5.09. I don't put much stock in spring numbers, but he was horrible this spring. How bad you ask ? Well, how about an 8.38 ERA and a 2.500 WHIP. In 9.2 spring innings, he allowed 12 hits and 11 walks. As a team this spring the Brewers batted an awesome .321, good for best in all of MLB. They will kick Volquez' ass this afternoon. Meanwhile, the Brewers start Yovanni Gallardo. He had good numbers this spring, but that won't matter. For his career against the Reds he is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.740 WHIP. Last year against the Reds he was 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA. He allowed 33 men to reach base in 13.2 innings against the Reds last year, for a 2.500 WHIP and a .390 BAA. At Great American last year his ERA was 7.36 and his BAA was .310. Over the past 3 seasons, he is 1-3 against the Reds with a 6.32 ERA and a .299 BAA. The Reds batted .297 as a team this spring (6th in MLB) and they will continue their dominance over Gallardo today. This baby soars over the total today. Thursday's play is over 8 in the Brewers/Reds.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright? 
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#2
03-31-2011, 06:27 AM
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gl keith
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#3
03-31-2011, 06:28 AM
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thanks 2ndbase.
Had to change the signature to something more appropriate for Opening Day. GL fellas.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#4
03-31-2011, 06:29 AM
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good luck Keith
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GL and let me introduce myself, I'm a social disease
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#5
03-31-2011, 06:35 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#6
03-31-2011, 06:38 AM
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Good luck this season Keith
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Jack
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#7
03-31-2011, 07:08 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#8
03-31-2011, 07:23 AM
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Only question mark is "why only 8"...love it. GL
BOL this season. Best, Rudy
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#9
03-31-2011, 07:56 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#10
03-31-2011, 08:18 AM
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Rock it all year long Keith,.....................
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"If I could start my life all over again, I would be a professional football player, and you damn well better believe I would be a Pittsburgh Steeler." -- Jack Lambert --
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#11
03-31-2011, 08:23 AM
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Day 1 off and running, degenrate bastard. lol
 Good luck this year Keith.
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To play is to PROFIT
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#12
03-31-2011, 08:28 AM
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Thanks Profit, Leaf and everyone else. Appreciate it. For the record, I got the over 8 at -115.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#13
03-31-2011, 08:28 AM
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Yes, as you state "on the surface"!!! I am on the Tigers/Yankees OVER but only if it drops to 7.5 which is a strong possibility as it sits at UNDER 8 -120. In the event it does, in fact, move to 7.5 I will post the play, otherwise today is a pass for me. GL Rudy
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#14
03-31-2011, 08:30 AM
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Quote:
__________________
To play is to PROFIT
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#15
03-31-2011, 08:32 AM
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Bol keith. I like this play also
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