Tuesday's Play--Another Total Play !

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Started the week off right, hitting the over in the Mets/Pirates last night. For Tuesday, I like the over 9 runs in the Astros/Rockies. Here's why:

The Astros start my favorite little bitch, Felipe Paulino. They'd be better off starting Paulie Walnuts (from the Sopranos). He is 1-4 on the year with a 6.75 ERA, a 1.83 WHIP and a .336 batting average against. Yikes !! In 36 innings pitched this year, he has allowed 50 hits and 16 walks ! At home this year his ERA is 6.00 and his batting average against is .342. At night this year he is 0-4 with an 8.36 ERA and a .364 batting average against. For his last 3 starts, he has allowed 21 hits and 6 walks in 15.1 innings, for an ERA of 8.80. He has faced the Rocks only once in his career (earlier this year) and they spanked him to the tune of a 15.75 ERA, a .368 batting average against and, get ready, this is not a typo, a 2.750 WHIP. This is a guy whose ERA for his entire career is 6.86 and his WHIP for his career is 1.727.

Meanwhile the Rockies start Ubaldo Jiminez. He's nothing special, but compared to Paulino he is Nolan Ryan. For the season Jiminez is 3-6 with a 4.37 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP and a .267 batting average against. He is 1-4 away with a 4.37 ERA. In his last 3 starts, he has allowed 20 hits and 6 walks in 19.2 innings. In fact, he has allowed 60 hits this season in 59.2 innings pitched. He is 1-0 against Houston this year, with a 1.29 ERA and a .259 batting average against. For his career against Houston he is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.232 WHIP. But here's the thing. Jiminez leads the NL in losses with 6. I am not going to lay -140 on the road, with a guy who leads the league in losses. Even without Blum and Matsui, Tejada and Pence are among the league leaders in batting. They'll get theirs tonight.

Two of the three meetings between these teams this year have gone over the total. For the past 3 seasons, 5 of 7 games played in Houston have also gone over the total. I see an 8-6 kind of game here tonight.

Tuesday's play is over 9 in the Astros/Rockies.

[fat-freddie]

Still feel that way about your bitch this week to Remember your write up last week about her ....LOL... Looks like a pure winner to me bud, I'am on it Would you lean to Colorado ? Lets cash with your "Bitch"

Fats.......................................

[Keith]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Still feel that way about your bitch this week to Remember your write up last week about her ....LOL... Looks like a pure winner to me bud, I'am on it Would you lean to Colorado ? Lets cash with your "Bitch"

Fats.......................................

thanks Fats. I was initially going to post the Rockies as a side play. But my gut was telling me that I should not lay -140 (or more) on the road, with the league leader in losses. I wouldn't be shocked to see the 'Stros win 8-6.

[g_rock65]

Sounds like a winner to me. Keep it rolling!! Nice call last night. Many thanks!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by g_rock65

Sounds like a winner to me. Keep it rolling!! Nice call last night. Many thanks!

thanks g_rock.

[vikesfan]

Bol Keith Looks Good To Me.

[agent318]

Bol keith

[Windy City Irish]

new streak starting.

gl

[stankic]

THanks keith im playing this one with my other 2 for parlay.

[boiseboy]

good luck with your over tonight keith!!!!

boise...

[Keith]

thanks guys. I see at whoresandodds that the over 9 is now at -25.

This may go to 9.5. I'd grab it now if I could.

[Keith]

for the record, I got the over 9 at -125.

[twentyonekid]

good luck keith,.......i hate playing OVERS with the astros but i respect your capping so im going to tail along buddy

[Keith]

Originally Posted by twentyonekid

good luck keith,.......i hate playing OVERS with the astros but i respect your capping so im going to tail along buddy

thanks Kid. Appreciate that. I can appreciate your concerns. Rocks will get to Paulino, and I just have a gut feeling that Ubaldo reverts back to his U-sucko ways.

[nolesfan08]

gl keith, get hot buddy!