Tuesday's Play--Better Late Than Never

Keith · #1 05-26-2009, 10:29 AM

my office computers were down most of the morning so I did not get a chance to do my capping early as I ordinarily do. I found some time, so I was able to get it in.

As for the rec-cap, I won another huge ("like it ALOT") play yesterday with the over in the Indians/Rays. That makes me 3-0 on those huge plays. I am 10-4 for my last 14 posted plays. Let's keep it going today.

For Tuesday I like the over 9 runs in the Red Sox/Twins. Here's why:

The Sox start lefty Jon Lester. The Twins, who are batting .298 over the past 7 days (2nd in the AL), bat a rock-solid .282 against lefties. Lester is 3-4 on the year with a 5.91 ERA, a 1.61 WHIP and a .311 batting average against. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 26 hits and 6 walks in 16.1 innings, for an ERA of 7.88 and a WHIP of 1.987. For the month of May his ERA is 6.56 and his batting average against is .317. On the road this year he is 1-2 with a 6.93 ERA and a .307 batting average against. For his career against the Twins he has a 4.91 ERA, but at the Metrodome his ERA is 5.06 and his batting average against is .333. He will get hit hard tonight.

Meanwhile the Twins start righty Nick Blackburn. The Sox bat a solid .277 against righties, and over the past 7 days, they are batting an AL-leading .300. Blackburn is 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and a .267 batting average against. He has pitched well recently (1.71 ERA in his last 3 starts), but 2 of his last 3 starts were against the bottom-feeders in the AL (Mariners and White Sox). At home this year Blackburn is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA, but his batting average against is .287. For his career against the Sox he is 1-1 with a 6.59 ERA and a .328 batting average against. He will get hit hard now that he is facing a real team tonight.

As for the trends, the Twins are 17-10 to the over at home, and when playing against a team with a winning record, they are 14-6 to the over. The Sox are 11-6 to the over when playing a team with a losing record.

Tuesday's play is over 9 in the Red Sox/Twins.

THE_ROOKIEEE · #2 05-26-2009, 10:51 AM

seems like you havent lost in ages...... must be a record .....

good luck my friend on your play

Keith · #3 05-26-2009, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by THE_ROOKIEEE

seems like you havent lost in ages...... must be a record .....

good luck my friend on your play

LOL--thanks Rook. Actually I lost with a huge doggie on Sunday (SF Giants). Of course that was not my fault, as I fell victim to the curse of that Tumbeezy putz.

g_rock65 · #4 05-26-2009, 10:57 AM

Sweet write up and an excellent play yesterday, many thanks. GL today to both of us.

stankic · #5 05-26-2009, 11:19 AM

Good luck Keith im a OVER lover !

bcass21 · #6 05-26-2009, 11:19 AM

Like your plays with the write ups Keith...have been following
you the last couple of weeks..Your making a believer out
of me!!

Good Luck!!

Keith · #7 05-26-2009, 12:21 PM

thanks g_rock, stanky and bcass. Appreciate the support.

MR.FUGI · #8 05-26-2009, 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Keith

LOL--thanks Rook. Actually I lost with a huge doggie on Sunday (SF Giants). Of course that was not my fault, as I fell victim to the curse of that Tumbeezy putz.

Come on man just let Tumbeezy rest in peace. He let us all now that if his Cavs play tanked he was going to kill himself.