Tuesday's Play--Let's Keep It Going !!

Keith · #1 04-27-2010, 06:35 AM

started the week off right, hitting with the over in the Blue Jays/Red Sox last night. They should all be that easy !! For the season I am now 10-6, and a $100 bettor is +$450. I found us one for Tuesday night.

For Tuesday night, I like the over 9 runs in the Astros/Reds. Here's why:

First of all, I see the line at 9 under -120. This could drop to 8.5, so I would wait on that. Both of these teams are hitting the ball well right now, with the Astros batting .295 over the past 7 days, and the Reds batting .277.

The Astros start Bud Norris. Here it comes..... They'd be better off with Chuck Norris ! For the season, Buddy-boy is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and a .255 BAA. However, his WHIP is 1.74. At home this year his ERA is 7.04 and his BAA is .281. In fact, last year at Minute Maid, his BAA was .295 and his WHIP was 1.58. Righties are batting .303 against him, and the Reds will load up their line-up with at least 6 righty bats tonight. The Reds are 9-2 to the over against righties this year, and that should continue tonight.

Meanwhile, the Reds start Aaron Harang. He is 0-3 on the year with a pathetic 8.31 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP and a .322 BAA. On the road this year his ERA is 18.00, his WHIP is 3.000 and his BAA is .455. Last year against the Astros his ERA was 7.31 and his BAA was .361. At Minute Maid last year his ERA was 7.50 and his BAA was .357. In fact, for the past 3 years (2007-2009), he was 3-4 against Houston, with a 5.92 ERA and a .299 BAA. Check out some of the career batting averages against him: Lee .382; Blum .588; Pence .294; Matsui .364; and Berkman (only .255 but with 7 career HRs). The Astros will spank Harang tonight big time.

Tuesday's play is over 9 in the Astros/Reds.