Two For Tuesday--One Is An "I Like It ALOT" Play !!

Keith · #1 07-21-2009, 06:32 AM

I passed yesterday after a miserable 2-6 week last week. I figured I'd get back to the hardcore research that I used to do. Here we go for Tuesday.

First, as an "I Like It ALOT" play (I am 6-2 on the year on those plays), I like the over 10 runs in the Rays/White Sox. Here's why:

First of all, both teams are hitting very well right now. The Rays are batting .306 over the past 7 days (2nd in the AL), while the Sox are 3rd in the AL at .289. Guess which team has scored the most runs in the AL this year against lefties. If you said "the Rays !!" you'd be right (with 164). Conveniently, the White Sox are starting a really shitty lefty tonight. Clayton Richard is 3-3 on the year but with a 5.42 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP and a .296 batting average against. At home this year his ERA is 6.83 and his batting average against is .307. For the month of July, he has an ERA of 19.29 (I'm not kidding--go look for yourself), a batting average against of .500 and a "I didn't think it could go that high" WHIP of 3.571

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Meanwhile the Rays go with Jeff Niemann. He is 8-4 with a 3.73 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP and a .261 batting average against. In July his ERA is only 2.25 but his batting average against is .271. On the road this year his ERA is 4.08. He is 0-1 against the Sox this year with a .346 batting average against. For his career he is 0-2 against the Sox with a 6.75 ERA and a 2.036 WHIP.

I absolutely LOVE this play !!!

Second, I like the Astros -155 to the Cards. The 'Stros start lefty Wandy Rodriguez. The Cards suck dick against lefties, batting only .226 against them. Wandy is 9-6 on the year with a 2.81 ERA (7th in the NL), a 1.27 WHIP and a .249 batting average against. He is 8th in the NL in strikeouts with 112. At home this year he is 4-2 with a 2.21 ERA and a .222 batting average against. For the month of July he has been Sandy Koufax. This month he is 3-0 with a 0.41 ERA and a .218 batting average against.

Meanwhile, the Cards go with Todd Wellemeyer. He is 7-7 on the year with a 5.56 ERA, a 1.72 WHIP and a .319 batting average against. He is 10th in the NL in walks with 47. For the month of July he is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA, but his WHIP is 1.964 and his batting average against is .333. On the road this year his ERA is 5.90, his WHIP is 1.862 and his batting average against is .350.

The Astros spank the Cardinals tonight.

Tuesday's plays are an "I Like It ALOT" play on over 10 runs in the Rays/White Sox and a regular play on the Astros -155 to the Cardinals.