Wednesday's Play--It Goes Early...And I Like It ALOT !!!

Keith · #1 08-12-2009, 06:39 AM

first the re-cap. Hit my monster biggest play of the year last night with the over in the Royals/Twins, an easy winner. Been doing well for awhile now. 2-0 this week, and now 10-5 for the year on the "I Like It ALOT" plays. Been having more of them lately, and I have another one for this afternoon.

For Wednesday I like ALOT the over 10.5 runs in the A's/O's. Here's why:

First of all, the line opened at 10 and was steamed up to 10.5. Good sign. As you guys know by now, I like to play the over every time that loser Vin Mazzaro takes the mound for the A's. Said it before and I'll say it again. They'd be better off with Vinnie Barbarino. For the year he is 3-8 with a 5.70 ERA, a 1.73 WHIP and a .320 batting average against. On the road he is 2-4 with a 5.44 ERA and a .313 batting average against. In the daytime, his ERA is 6.20 and his batting average against is .337. But those numbers don't tell the story here. In August he is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA, a 2.500 WHIP and a .383 batting average against. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 27 hits and 9 walks in 16 innings. Since the All-Star break he is 1-3 with a 10.03 ERA, an off-the-charts WHIP of 2.597 and a "holy shit" batting average of .409.

Meanwhile, the O's start Jason Berken. They have a lot of good young pitchers. Berken is not one of them. The O's would be better off with Jason Voorhees. At least he would scare his opponents ! For the year Berken is a pathetic 2-9 with a 6.72 ERA, a 1.67 WHIP and a .307 batting average against. In August he is 1-1 with an 11.05 ERA and a .353 batting average against. At home this year he is 1-5 with a 5.49 ERA and a .304 batting average against. In his last 3 starts he has allowed 18 hits and 6 walks in 13.1 innings, for an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.832. Since the All-Star break he is 1-3 with an 8.37 ERA, a 1.810 WHIP and a batting average against of .323. Oh yeah, and against the A's this year he is 0-1 with, get ready for these numbers, I couldn't make this chit up, an ERA of 24.30, a WHIP of 3.22 and a batting average against of .412.

How about some trends ? The Orioles are 7-3 over for their last 10 and 38-28 over on the year against righties. The A's are 6-1 over for their last 7, 8-3 over in August, and when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the year, they are 7-1 to the over.

Skyrockets in flight...afternoon delight !!

Wednesday's "I Like It ALOT" play is over 10.5 runs in the A's/O's.

Davydave · #2 08-12-2009, 07:40 AM

Best of Luck Keith

heavyb · #3 08-12-2009, 07:45 AM

Thanks keith i am on it... gl

Keith · #4 08-12-2009, 07:46 AM

thanks davy and heavy.

Victor · #5 08-12-2009, 07:51 AM

Good luck Keith!

Keith · #6 08-12-2009, 08:01 AM

thanks Vic.

Damn--love those teats.

vikesfan · #7 08-12-2009, 08:02 AM

Good luck keith and thanks for the big winner yesterday.

RudyNYC27 · #8 08-12-2009, 08:06 AM

Love the play...will be on it with you.

(RUDY's smart ass variation of your play yesterday was an easy winner, too...NOT...needed a meaningless 2 out HR in bottom 9th for Twins to go OVER 5.5 TT...RUDY will take it...not gonna get cute on the OVER Balt play)

GL and thanks for the pick and great write-up, as usual.

RUDY

fat-freddie · #9 08-12-2009, 08:15 AM

THANK's for that "BIG" one yesterday Keith, I got on it "BIG "

Another "Alot", I know what to do with this one to !!! Thanks for some really good info on this one man, this stuff sure helps bud. Good luck to ya and Cash another one !!!!!!!

Fats.............................................. .............