Wednesday's Play--An "I Like It ALOT" Play That Goes Early !!

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Took a shot with the Tribe at +180 yesterday, but they couldn't get it done. Now 1-1 for the week. For the season I am 11-8 for the "I Like It ALOT" plays, and I have another one for this afternoon.

For Wednesday afternoon I really like the over 8.5 in the Twins/White Sox. Here's why:

The Twins start lefty Brian Duensing. As miserable as the Sox are, they do bat .284 against lefties (2nd in the AL). Duensing is 2-1 with the Twins, with a 4.37 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and a .249 batting average against. Here's the thing though, before he was called up to the bigs, his numbers at Triple A were mediocre. He was 4-6 in the minors with a 4.66 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP and a .298 batting average against. He is nothing special.

Meanwhile, the Sox start lefty Mark Buehrle (Mr. Perfecto). The Twins bat a solid .280 against lefties (4th in the AL). On the year, Buehrle is 11-7 with a 3.89 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP and a .274 batting average against. On the road this year his ERA is 4.13. In his last 3 starts however he has allowed 28 hits and 4 walks in 17.1 innings, for an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.871. Here's where it gets good. On turf this year he is 1-2 with an 8.82 ERA and a .338 batting average against. Against the Twins this year he is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA and a .281 batting average against. At the Metrodome this year he is 0-2 with a 12.10 ERA and a .357 batting average against. From 2006-2008, the Twins batted .306 against him. And at the Metrodome from 2006-2008, he had a 4.50 ERA, with a 1.958 WHIP and a .356 batting average against. Mr. Perfecto clearly does not like the Metrodome.

I see an 8-5 game here today fellas.

Wednesday's "I Like It ALOT" play is over 8.5 in the Twins/White Sox.

[plane-o-1]

Good Luck Keith!!!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by plane-o-1

Good Luck Keith!!!

thanks plane-O. I see that BK is on this one as well

[vikesfan]

Bol today keith i like it too

[Romanowski]

this is a winner

[fat-freddie]

You know I've been waiting for this one man Thanks for the info again Keith, good stuff as always !!! Lets cash this early play and have one hell of a day ! Good luck to ya on another one of your best calls, thanks for the play !!


Fats.............................................. .....................

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

this is a winner

[Keith]

thanks Vikes, Fats, Romo and everyone else.

[dollarbills]

gl holmes........i am on this one also

[Keith]

Originally Posted by dollarbills

gl holmes........i am on this one also

thanks db

[Scottish Rebel]

BOL today Keith...Will tail ya for a few units!!!!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Scottish Rebel

BOL today Keith...Will tail ya for a few units!!!!

thanks reb

[Keith]

get it now boys, this line is climbing.

I got the over 8.5 at -125.

[MR.FUGI]

Good luck on the over. I had the over in the twins / white sox game last night in a 5-teamer. You know the rest of the story! 4/5
Ozzie's a fu**in ahole and his troops are the classic bunch of under achievers. Does not mean you will not hit your G.O.Y. though.

[cook county capper]

good luck keith and to the rest of us. very informative capping! good stuff!
i see the line moving as well. it just did in the phillies and roxs games.
ozzie is an a hole mr fugi no doubt about that.

ccc