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#1
05-05-2010, 06:29 AM
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Wednesday's Play--It's A Day Game !!
first the re-cap. Hit with my under in the Astros/D'backs last night. Can't get any more under than a 1-0 final score. Now 2-0 for the week. For the season I am 14-10, with a $100 bettor +$440. Found one I like for this afternoon.
For Wednesday, I like the over 10 runs in the Tigers/Twins. Here's why: First of all, despite what some might think, I don't just indiscriminately play the over in a game where a pitcher has a high ERA. There is more to it than that (as you will see). The Tigers start Rick Porcello. He has been getting shelled this year. He is 2-2 with an 8.03 ERA, a 1.91 WHIP and a .380 BAA. On the road he is 0-2 with a 12.96 ERA, a .462 BAA and a 2.716 WHIP. Over his last 3 starts, he went 13.2 innings, allowing 26 hits and 4 walks, for an ERA of 11.77. For his career against the Twins (last year), he is 1-2 with a 2.79 ERA but a .278 BAA. Meanwhile, the Twins start Kevin Slowey. He is 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA, but with a 1.50 WHIP and a .291 BAA. Over his last 2 starts, he has allowed 17 hits and 3 walks in 10.1 innings. Against the Tigers last year his ERA was 7.00 and his BAA was .351. From 2007-2009 (career numbers) he was 3-0 against the Tigers, but with a 6.20 ERA, a .340 BAA and a 1.776 WHIP. But there is more to this play than just the pitchers' numbers. Over the past 7 days, the Twins are batting an AL-best .318. The Tigers are 3rd in the AL, with a .302 average. At home the Twins bat a solid .282, while on the road the Tigers bat an AL-best .279. During day games, the Twins bat .290 while the Tigers bat .276. Last but not least, against righty pitchers, the Tigers bat an AL-best .291, while the Twins bat .275 (which is 2nd in the AL). Skyrockets in flight...afternoon delight. This one soars over the total. Wednesday's play is over 10 in the Tigers/Twins.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright? 
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#2
05-05-2010, 06:35 AM
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Keith,
Thanks for the winner last night. I am tailing u on the over 10 DET/MINN game. g/l GT
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#3
05-05-2010, 06:44 AM
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Love it, Keefer!
"Skyrockets in flight...afternoon delight"....showing your age again!...lol GL, RUDY
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#4
05-05-2010, 06:44 AM
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thanks GT.
FWIW--I looked hard at the Indians this afternoon, and I definitely like the Angels at +150 tonight, as they WILL smack Lackey around hard in his first outing against his old team.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#5
05-05-2010, 06:45 AM
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GL Keith
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#6
05-05-2010, 06:45 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#7
05-05-2010, 06:46 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#8
05-05-2010, 06:47 AM
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Quote:
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#9
05-05-2010, 06:59 AM
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Good luck Keith!
__________________
"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose"
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#10
05-05-2010, 07:05 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#11
05-05-2010, 07:06 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#12
05-05-2010, 07:08 AM
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Good luck Keith!! I'm really going to show my age I have that hit on a 8 TRACK TAPE!!
WOW!
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#13
05-05-2010, 07:14 AM
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Quote:
No more 8 tracks for me (half the guys here must be saying 'what the f*ck is an 8-track ?"), although I must have a thousand cassettes buried away in a closet. They don't even make cars with cassette decks anymore !!
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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#14
05-05-2010, 07:19 AM
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Quote:
  
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#15
05-05-2010, 07:23 AM
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Quote:
As for the FM guys, in addition to the Professor, don't forget guys like Tony Pigg, Pat St. John and so many others.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"! Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal? Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man? Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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