Wednesday's Play--A Rare Under Selection For Me

Keith · #1 07-08-2009, 06:39 AM

first the re-cap. Got a push last night with the over in the Astros/Pirates. Makes me 1-0-1 for the week.

I used to never play unders, but then last month I went on a run where I hit like 3 in a row. I still favor the overs, but I won't hesitate now when I see an under I like. And tonight I see one I like.

For Wednesday, I like the under 8 runs in the Royals/Tigers. Here's why:

First of all the Royals start Zack Greinke. He leads the AL in ERA (2.00) AND in WHIP (1.05). On the road this year his ERA is 2.17. Against the Tigers this year he is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and a .153 batting average against. In fact, for his career, he is 9-4 against the Tigers with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.141 WHIP. Over the past 3 years at Comerica he is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and a .225 batting average against. The Tigers, who are batting a weak .226 over the past 7 days, and who bat only .257 against righties, will continue to struggle against Grienke.

Meanwhile the Tigers start 6 ft. 4 inch lefty Luke French. He is making his 2nd major league start. So far in the bigs his ERA is 2.35 and his batting average against is .207. This big tall lefty can pitch. In the minors he was 4-4 with a 2.98 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and a .237 batting average against. But check this out. In his last 3 minor league starts before recently being called up, he really came on, going 23 innings, allowing only 16 hits and 3 walks, with 26 strikeouts. The Royals are 11-18 to the under this year when facing a lefty.

This game has 4-2 written all over it.

Wednesday's play is under 8 in the Royals/Tigers.

plane-o-1 · #2 07-08-2009, 06:47 AM

Good Luck to ya Keith!!!

Keith · #3 07-08-2009, 07:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by plane-o-1

Good Luck to ya Keith!!!

thanks plane-O. You too !

RudyNYC27 · #4 07-08-2009, 07:10 AM

Smart play!!!

GL,
RUDY

Keith · #5 07-08-2009, 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RudyNYC27

Smart play!!!

GL,
RUDY

thanks Roo. We'll see how smart it is around 10:00 pm tonight.

fat-freddie · #6 07-08-2009, 07:28 AM

Tough one last night man, that had winner wrote all over it !!!! Thanks for the info on this one, the kid French will have to pitch his ass off in this one to beat the old vet Greinke imo. Thinking your on the right side for sure in this one Keith. Good luck, lets cash this under bud

Fats.............................................. .................

Keith · #7 07-08-2009, 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Tough one last night man, that had winner wrote all over it !!!! Thanks for the info on this one, the kid French will have to pitch his ass off in this one to beat the old vet Greinke imo. Thinking your on the right side for sure in this one Keith. Good luck, lets cash this under bud

Fats.............................................. .................

thanks Fats. I always like to back a big tall lefty that throws heat and who no one has seen before.