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  #1  
Old 08-19-2009, 06:40 AM
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Wednesday's Play--Riding The Wave !!

first the re-cap. Won my 5th in a row last night, hitting the over in the A's/Yankees. Let's keep it going tonight.

For Wednesday, I like a (somewhat) rare under play. The play is under 8.5 in the Giants/Reds. Here's why:

The Reds start Bronson Arroyo. He is 11-11 with a 4.74 ERA and a .139 WHIP and a .272 batting average against. Nothing to write home about. BUT, since the All-Star break he is 2-3 with a 3.02 ERA and a .231 batting average against. His ERA in his last 4 starts is 2.76. For the month of August he is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and a .195 batting average against. Against the Giants this year he is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a .241 batting average against. Arroyo is pitching well now and that should continue tonight.

Meanwhile, the Giants start Barry Zito. He is 8-11 with a 4.44 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP and a .255 batting average against. Also nothing to write home about. On the road this year he is 4-7 with a 4.92 ERA but a decent .244 batting average against. Since the All-Star break his ERA is only 2.75. In his last 3 starts (month of August) he has allowed only 14 hits and 4 walks (with 14 strikeouts) in 17 innings, for an ERA of 3.71 and a batting average against of .230. Against the Reds this year he is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a .143 batting average against. The Reds are struggling now, batting only .237 over the past 7 days.

Some good trends here as well. The Reds are 3-9 to the under in August and 7-13 to the under in the second half when playing a team with a winning record. The Giants are 6-17 to the under on the road where the total is between 8 and 8.5; they are 18-36 to the under when playing a team with a losing record; and in the second half they are 6-13 to the under when playing a team with a losing record.

I see a 4-2 type of game here.

Wednesday's play is under 8.5 in the Giants/Reds.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #2  
Old 08-19-2009, 06:56 AM
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Another winner last night, nice run Keith. After reading your write up on this game, understand why your playing a "Under". Make it 6 in a row tonight guy Good luck and cash another one......





Fats.............................................. .......................
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  #3  
Old 08-19-2009, 07:13 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fat-freddie View Post
Another winner last night, nice run Keith. After reading your write up on this game, understand why your playing a "Under". Make it 6 in a row tonight guy Good luck and cash another one......





Fats.............................................. .......................

thanks Fats.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #4  
Old 08-19-2009, 07:52 AM
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Bol keith make it 6 in a row
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  #5  
Old 08-19-2009, 07:54 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vikesfan View Post
Bol keith make it 6 in a row

thanks Vikes. Nice to be on one of "those" streaks again. Hope it lasts.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #6  
Old 08-19-2009, 08:23 AM
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oh no, not an under.......

gl sir
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  #7  
Old 08-19-2009, 09:27 AM
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keep rollin' keith
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  #8  
Old 08-19-2009, 09:43 AM
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bol tonite keith
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  #9  
Old 08-19-2009, 10:03 AM
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Gl Buddy
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  #10  
Old 08-19-2009, 10:12 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Windy City Irish View Post
oh no, not an under.......

gl sir

LOL--I've hit a bunch of those this year (admittedly in tears past I was terible on those). At one point I think I hit 3 or 4 unders in a row. I don't like 'em as much as overs, but that was the best play on the board today as far as I was concerned.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #11  
Old 08-19-2009, 10:16 AM
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i like this one also.........gl tonight keith
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  #12  
Old 08-19-2009, 12:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dollarbills View Post
i like this one also.........gl tonight keith
I saw that

Thanks db.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #13  
Old 08-19-2009, 12:36 PM
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Looks like another winner. Good luck buddy!
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  #14  
Old 08-19-2009, 01:33 PM
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gl
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  #15  
Old 08-19-2009, 02:03 PM
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thanks guys
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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