Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

College Football CFB Handicapping - Post your CFB picks, talk CFB betting, anything CFB.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #26  
Old 10-07-2017, 08:55 AM
dcgmt dcgmt is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Iowa
Posts: 3,476
Rewards: 49,877
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 4951
Likes (Received): 1547
GL again Mr NASCAR
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 10-07-2017, 09:40 AM
tigerbait tigerbait is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: RUSTON LA
Posts: 2,611
Rewards: 48,053
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 313
Likes (Received): 999
BOL Mr NASCAR
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 10-10-2017, 12:28 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks Jumpsteady, dcgmt and Tigerbait, hope you all had a good week.

Recap: 4-3 last week.
ANY week in the + side is good, but I was hoping to do better than 4-3.
Hit Thursday tm total with NC St easy enough; missed with Tex Tech Un but learned something we could use later possibly; 'Bama was okay at the half, went flat on D second half; Fla sucked as expected; hit with Mia and the Un for 2 wins there though we got lucky with the Canes -3 on that last minute TD; UTEP Un was easy.

What did I learn from Tex Tech that we might be able to use later this season? Same thing I learned with Memphis/U Conn.
Needed Un 80 in Tex Tech/Kan, was at 74 with 3 min left, when Tech, up by 40 pts throws a TD.
Memphis was even worse. Up 60-31 with just over a minute left, Tigers throw a pass on second down, again on third down and again on fourth down. UP BY 30 POINTS and they throw a TD ON 4th DOWN with 1:42 on the clock.
So, what did we learn (other than Mem coach norvelle is a classless jerk)?
When looking at second half plays over these last few weeks know that both Mem and Tech are the type that will run up the score, and use that to our advantage if the right spot comes up.

This week's spots:
Fla St/Duke Ov 45/43'
Ohio/B Green Ov 60'/58'/60
Mia Oh/Kent St Ov 44/43'
Tol/Mich Ov 60'/62/60'
Missouri/Georgia Ov 56'/57
Utah/USC Ov 53'/54'/54

Record on these spots: 18-14, Ov 8-9, Un 10-5.

No Unders this week; that sux.

I noted last week that we had two teams that were in B2B weeks, and when this happens the second game ended the same as the first. That was true again last week as Mia stayed Under like the week before, and B Green went Over (so B2B's are now 5-0.) This week we have Fla St again (Un last week), as well as Mia Ohio (won as an Over last week). And we have B Green in for the third straight week (both times as an Over, both won); no data on a team in three straight weeks in a row, I'd lean fading it and taking the Un this spot (almost did it last week but laid off; good move.)

My buys/recommendations: 13-12
Ov/Un spots 8-7
Other plays 5-4
Halftime adjustments: 0-1

This week: no buys yet.
No Unders to choose from so not happy about that.
Overs I usually look to fade, but as noted above two of the six this week are in B2B spots off of wins, which means % says they go Over again.
B Green is in 3rd time in a row spot and I have no data to point me in any direction there (I'll go through my log books and see if it has happened any of the past ten years, report back if I find anything.)

Back later this week with plays if I buy anything.
__________________
Likes dcgmt liked this post

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-10-2017 at 12:31 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 10-10-2017, 01:03 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Nothing stands out from the Ov/Un spots, but I bought a couple other games.

I was "off" on when to buy last week, a couple moved against me, but didn't affect final wins/losses. Buying these now as I see a better chance that they go rather than down:

Auburn -6'
There is a -6 or two left out there, but 6' is common number so I'll use that.
Only loss was by 8 to Clemson (who's avg margin of victory is 24.)
LSU pulled one outta their azz last week and beat me, but Auburn is no Florida.

Mich -6'.
Get the -6 and hook today because it'll be 7 across the board by game day.
Somebody is going to have to pay for the loss in rivalry week vs Mich St, so Indy is in a bad spot. Other two times they faced a ranked opponent this year saw losses by 28 to Ohio St (Indy at home) and @ Penn St, lost by 31.
__________________
Likes dcgmt liked this post

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-10-2017 at 01:04 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 10-10-2017, 01:19 PM
dcgmt dcgmt is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Iowa
Posts: 3,476
Rewards: 49,877
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 4951
Likes (Received): 1547
Looks GOOD GL Mr.NASCAR
Reply With Quote
  #31  
Old 10-11-2017, 01:26 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks again, dcgmt, let's hope they still look good by end of day Saturday!

I edited out a write up on G Tech in my last post, when +7 was still readily available. Like 'em, but they're at +5 now. Don't expect a buy back, the +7 was wrong/too high to begin with; no play for me on it, but, I am going to add TCU -6.

After the Oklahoma loss last week, the Sooners join Tex Tech and Ok St as one loss teams, meaning 6-0 TCU (with a W over Ok St already) is in the driver's seat. Snyder is a guy I would rather bet on than against, but it's going to be difficult for him to get his team back "up" after double OT loss last week, and I think TCU will have too many edges in this match-up (incl. QB, D & TOP) so I'm buying this at -6 today, in case it goes any higher.
The other two early buys I made/recommended look to be the right move, thus far, as -7 is now the common # in both spots.
I think the same happens with TCU so I bought it this morning.

Still nothing on the Ov/Un spots, may pull the trigger on Fla St Un, will post if I do. I looked through data over a lot of years, searching for a spot where a team appeared three straight weeks (like B Green this week) found nothing of value for us to use.

Open buys:
Mich -6'
Auburn -6'
TCU -6

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-11-2017 at 01:29 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 10-16-2017, 02:20 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Recap: Hit 2 of 3, I'll take it.
Also posted a rare NFL play using a spot that comes up 2-3 time each season, I look for it every week, Pit qualified so hit a winner there too, for a 3-1 week at The Mall.

Lost with Auburn after they went up 21-0 then went flat; easy win with TCU; some might say we got lucky with Mich OT win, but, on the other hand, a smart buy midweek when 6' was the common # banked a W as the # was 7 or 7' game day.

REMINDER - in the future, try not to bet Harbaugh as a favorite. The guy could kick a first quarter FG to go up 3-0, and then go into prevent D/run out the clock Offense.

Ov/Un spots went 3-3, all Overs.
21-17 now, Ov 11-12, Un 10-5.

This week, Pepe, we have a plethora of plays:

Iowa/N West Ov 47'
NC/V Tech Ov 50/51
Syr/Mia Ov 58
Iowa St/Tex Tech Un 71/72
Maryland/Wisc Un 54/55
Louisville/Fla St Ov 56
Tulsa/U Conn Un 72/70
BC/Virg Ov 50/48'
Troy/Geo St Ov 44/47
C Mich/Ball St Ov 48
Kentucky/Miss St Ov 52/53

Whew, that's a lot of plays to sort out and choose from.
Will as always look to play the Un and fade Overs.

Let's start by looking at teams that are repeats from last week. Going into last week we had 5 teams that appeared in back to back spots (B2B). In all 5 the second game played out the same way as the first. We had 2 teams in B2B last week; Fla St stayed Un again, but Mia-Oh came in Under after going Ov in their first appearance. So these are now 5-1, 6-1 if you count B Green which was in it's third appearance in a row and again went Over.

This week, we have C Mich B2B off of an Under,
and Fla St in it's 3rd in a row off an Under.

My buys/recommendations: 15-13
Ov/Un spots 8-7
Other plays 7-5
Halftime adjustments: 0-1

Buys:
Tulsa/ U Conn Un 70
BC/Virg Un 48'
C Mich/Ball St Un 48

Will post up with more,
good luck with your play this week . . .
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 10-18-2017, 12:19 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Update: If I was making my first buys of the week today, I would not buy BC/Virg Under & C Mich/Ball St Under. Sorry.
Posting this now in case anyone follows along and hasn't bought them yet.

I am not going to buy off them and lose juice by buying the Over, and they will of course count in my record here.

Here's what happened. I posted from my office after I bought the three plays for this week. My logbook was at home. There is a stat I log that I do not post because I sometimes think (think??) I post too much info/stat stuff here and it might get confusing. Anyway, have my logbook in the office today and noticed that these plays buck a 4-0 sub-trend, so I would have probably laid off. Again, sorry.

Added buy:
Kentucky/Miss St Un 54'

Open plays:
Tulsa/ U Conn Un 70
BC/Virg Un 48'
C Mich/Ball St Un 48
Kentucky/Miss St Un 54'

Will have more, will post after I buy.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 10-19-2017, 11:29 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Adding two plays.

Iowa -1'

C Fla -7

Tough spot for Navy this week, run oriented team vs a very solid run D, but main reason for the pick is Navy vs the pass last game, after seeing them give up almost 300 yards to Memphis (yes, 5 t/o's didn't help them, but they gave up too many yds in the air.)

Looking at their other games I see (OFFENSE ranking/passing YPG)
A Force 123/133
Tulsa 110/171
Cin 70/221
Tulane 126/102
Fla Atl 109/173

Memphis is better than all of those, but UCF is far better than Memphis, ranked 13 in the country on O, and passing for 321 YPG. And Memphis gives up 208 YPG on the ground while UCF barely over 100.
Everyone knows Navy cannot play from behind, they lack quick score capabilities, they're not a passing team. Fall behind early, and they're in trouble. We'll know if my take on this game is correct by halftime, as I think UCF defense keeps Navy run game in check, and the O opens it up in the air, putting Navy down early.

Open plays:
Tulsa/ U Conn Un 70
BC/Virg Un 48'
C Mich/Ball St Un 48
Kentucky/Miss St Un 54'
Iowa -1'
UCF -7
__________________
Likes fat-freddie liked this post

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-19-2017 at 11:39 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 10-19-2017, 03:42 PM
tigerbait tigerbait is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: RUSTON LA
Posts: 2,611
Rewards: 48,053
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 313
Likes (Received): 999
BOL Nascar
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 10-21-2017, 05:18 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks Tiger, same to you.

Adding second half, N Car team total Under 7'

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-21-2017 at 05:24 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 10-23-2017, 12:38 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Recap: 4-3 last week, I'll take it.

SHOULD have been a better week as both games I singled out as ones I should not have bought (BC & C Mich games) lost.
Rather than surrender .2 in juice to buy off, I hoped for split, but . . .
Again, sorry to any who bought them too, hope you bought off.

Review:

Won with U Conn Un, lousy buy on the # but it didn't affect the outcome.

Lost with Iowa in OT, another bad buy, got -1' could have got +2', again didn't affect outcome.

Lost BC Under by 2', no help from missed call by refs, long run for a TD after play clock ran out, announcers said "It's going to come back after review" but you can't review clock violation, so I got screwed there (bad calls suck, but they're expected, but there is no excuse for missed calls.)

Blown out in C Mich Under.

Won with UCF, but thought it would be easier. A good buy here at -7 early in the week, line rose as expected, -10 on game day, push for them, win for me/us.

Won with Under in Kentucky, slim win.

Won my second half NC tm total Un play as I know V Tech plays all 60 minutes, thought their defense would strive for shutout. Line came N Car -7', meaning they'd need two scores go Over. They only got one. Note to remember - up by 52 points, under 3 minutes to go, V Tech STILL throwing passes. Classless, but worth noting if looking at second half plays in their games.

My buys/recommendations: 19-16
Ov/Un spots 10-9
Other plays 8-6
Halftime adjustments: 1-1
(Open play, two team teaser, 6 pts, from post #18, one winner in with Alabama, so I get to adjust a line by 6 in any game and get even $ for it.)

Nothing spectacular, just a workman-like effort, grinding out a small profit each week.

Ov/Un spots went 7-4 last week, Unders 3-0 (hope some of you were on them) 28-21 overall, Ov 15-16, Un 13-5.

And we have 11 again this week:
Fla St/BC Ov 46'
Mia/NC Ov 51'
San Jose St/BYU Ov 47
Kan St/Kan Un 59'
UCLA/Wash Ov 61
Duke/V Tech Ov 49
UNLV/Fresno St Ov 56
Buf/Akron Ov Off
A Force/Col St Un 68'
Geo/Fla Ov 47'
USC/Az St Ov 57

We have 4 teams that appeared last week: BC, Mia, NC, V Tech.
Fla St is in its fourth in a row. Slight edge, 5-3, for teams in B2B to go the same way as game 1 (if game 1 was Over, so is game 2; if Under, so is game 2.)

Will be back with any buys.

As always, good luck with your plays this week . . .

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-23-2017 at 12:39 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 10-23-2017, 03:18 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
First buy:

San Jose St/BYU Ov 46'

Yes, I usually look to fade Overs in the weekly spots I isolate, but this fits the same sub-trend as the two games I noted last week (BC & C Mich); those now make it 6-0, and 5 games fit this week (BC, NC, Buf & Geo games are the other 4.) Those games opened high (in my opinion) and are dropping, so no sense buying at the higher line; will wait, and post if/when I buy.

Also bought K St/Kan Un 59', not sure we'll get a better #.
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 10-24-2017, 12:08 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
A couple lines on the games I'm monitoring are starting to move against the play I am buying, so I just bought:

Mia/NC Ov 50'
Fla St/BC Ov 46'
Buf/Akr Ov 49

I actually got 46 in Fla St/BC, but I just happened to be watching when the screen lit up and moved quickly.
The common available # to anyone is 56' now, so I'll use that for record and recommendation here.

The 48' are gone on Buffalo, so I grabbed the 49 in case it continues to rise.

On the two previous buys, we did okay on both,
San Jose St is at 48 now, and K St dropped to 57 yesterday, and right now the board is lit up as it just dropped to 55', so we picked up 4 pts there.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-24-2017 at 12:17 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 10-28-2017, 09:26 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Just bought the last of the 5 plays mentioned in post # 38, Georgia Ov 44.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-28-2017 at 09:28 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #41  
Old 10-28-2017, 09:32 AM
Dale City Dale City is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 5,297
Rewards: 43,241
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 412
Likes (Received): 1862
Good luck Nascar.
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 10-30-2017, 05:09 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks, DaleCity.

Recap: When is 3-3 considered a good week?
When you went 0-3 in your first three plays.
I lost Fri night, then the two early spots on Saturday, before closing with three W's in the afternoon.
Was staring at disaster, instead, just .3 in juice. I'll take it.

Made one good move - with Unders at 13-5 and two to choose from, I said AF/Col St at 68 is not high enough to get me to buy an Under. Only played the Kan/K St Under and won.
Bad move - couldn't pull the trigger on Penn St (Ohio St is one of those bad luck teams for me, bet on them and they lose, bet against them and they win, so I try to avoid them.)


My buys/recommendations: 22-19
Ov/Un spots 13-12
Other plays 8-6
Halftime adjustments: 1-1
(Open play, two team teaser, 6 pts, from post #18, one winner in with Alabama, so I get to adjust a line by 6 in any game and get even $ for it.)

The Ov/Un spot went 5-6 last week, Ov 4-5, Un 1-1.
YTD 33-27, Ov 19-21 Un 14-6.

This week:
Idaho/Troy Ov 49
Syr/Fla St Ov 49/50
Miss/Kent Un 60/63'
Tex/TCU Ov 48/46'
V Tech/Mia Ov 49
S Car/Geo Ov 57/45'
UCF/SMU Ov 73'/74'

Will update when/if I buy.

Good luck with your plays this week.

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 10-30-2017 at 05:11 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 11-02-2017, 12:30 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
One of the Ov/Un spots goes tonight, but not sure what to do with it (or any of the other Ov/Un spots this week, either.)

Naturally, some teams are going to be pissed about their spot in the rankings that came out this week, the question is, which ones are going to do something about it? I think the most likely are Wisconsin and 'Bama.

Missed out on the best # in the Badger game, but I don't think it will matter, I bought them -13'.

And though 21 is a lot of points I wouldn't want to be the team facing Alabama this week. Though LSU has turned things around since the Troy loss, they're on the road against a pissed off Alabama team that Saban will have out for blood after being ranked #2. Style points matter, so I think it's going to be a Roll Tide, Roll blowout.

Also not happy about their spot - Memphis. Given a national spotlight on ESPN2 tomorrow night, with a HC who likes to run up the score, I bought the Tigers -12.

Temple has faced three top ten rushing teams (YPG) this year, and given up: 49 to N Dame, 43 to S Fla, and 31 to Army.
Tonight they face the #1 rushing team in the county. And the books are offering 31 as the team total for Navy. I'll take it over.

Wisc -13'
Alabama -21
Memphis -12
Navy team total Ov 31
__________________
Likes Natedagger, fat-freddie, g_rock65 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 11-02-2017, 12:57 PM
tigerbait tigerbait is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: RUSTON LA
Posts: 2,611
Rewards: 48,053
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 313
Likes (Received): 999
BOL Mr. Nascar
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 11-02-2017, 02:09 PM
Dale City Dale City is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 5,297
Rewards: 43,241
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 412
Likes (Received): 1862
Love that Navy Over play. Especially the Team Total
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 11-03-2017, 11:14 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks for the likes and replies, guys.

Navy was flat first half, put up just 6, then 20 in the second half, missed that one. Will do a full recap after the weekend is over.

Should have faded the Over in the Troy game.
With that in mind, adding:

Fading the Ov in V Tech, grabbed 48 before they are all gone.

Open buys:

Wisc -13'
Alabama -21
Memphis -12
V Tech/Mia Un 48

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 11-03-2017 at 11:21 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 11-03-2017, 11:45 AM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
I started updating lines, crunching #'s at around 7 am this morning.
At around 8 am I made the decision to buy Un 49 on V Tech game.
The # dropped to 48 and 48', 48 was common # so I posted that.
Shared it here at 8:14.
At 8:26 5D dropped it to 47'.
At 8:47 they dropped it a full point to 46'.
As I write this, it just dropped again to 46.

Posting this in case anyone wonders why I posted 48, and was wondering if it was still a good buy at 46.
Overs from the Ov/Un selection that drop 3 or > are a high % play to go Under, just a hair under 67% the last two years.
Line opened at 49, now at 46, and still dropping?
__________________
Likes fat-freddie liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 11-04-2017, 01:06 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Thanks for the like, Freddie.

Memphis played out as expected last night, 1-1 for the week now.

I just bought the Un in Miss/Kentucky before the 63' are all gone.
(Ride the Unders, fade the Overs; should have been on the Syr/Fla St fade, too.)

Open plays:
Wisc -13'
Alabama -21
V Tech/Mia Un 48
Miss/Kent Un 63'

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 11-04-2017 at 01:10 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 11-06-2017, 02:38 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Recap: 3-3 again. Last week 3-3 was okay because I was 0-3 to start the day, but this week 3-3 sux, losing juice, season coming to a close, need some more W's. I'm like a hamster in a wheel, working hard but not getting anywhere. Overthinking, and I even said it in the last post - fade the Overs, ride the Unders (same as every year.) Would be good for a 41-26 record.
(Had a lousy NFL too, the only situational spot I look for, 1-0 this year, came up in Den and TB games, I played sides and tm total Ov for both teams, went 1-3.)

Ov/Un spots went 0-7 last week, Ov 0-6, Un 0-1.
Overall 33-24 now, Ov 19-27, Un 14-7.

My record:
My buys/recommendations: 25-22
Ov/Un spots 14-13
Other plays 10-8
Halftime adjustments: 1-1
(Open play, two team teaser, 6 pts, from post #18, one winner in with Alabama, so I get to adjust a line by 6 in any game and get even $ for it.)

This week:
(Tue) Ak/Mia Oh Ov 51/50
(Fri) Temple/Cin Ov 48'
Fla Atl/LA Tech Un 68
NC St/BC Ov 52'
V Tech/G Tech Ov 50
W For/Syr Ov 58'/60'
Virg/Louisville Un 64'
Geo St/Tx St Ov 50'/48

Like I said above, why pick and choose, and overthink it, just fade the Overs and ride the Unders? Tough to fade the opening spot Tue night, after watching both Tue MAC spots go Ov by double digits last week, AND this spot falls into a sub-category I track that is 9-4 on Overs (NC St/BC also in that same situation this week.) But . . .


Buys

(Tue) Ak/Mia Oh Un 50
(Fri) Temple/Cin Un 48
Fla Atl/LA Tech Un 68
NC St/BC Un 52
V Tech/G Tech Un 50
W For/Syr Un 60
Virg/Louisville Un 64'
Geo St/Tx St Un 48
__________________
Likes fat-freddie liked this post

Last edited by Mr. NASCAR; 11-06-2017 at 02:47 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 11-06-2017, 05:45 PM
Mr. NASCAR Mr. NASCAR is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,034
Rewards: 5,634
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 441
Likes (Received): 484
Was unable to get Louisville #; will repost when I get it at whatever # I get.
Everything else is in pocket.
Will also have at least 2-3 other plays later this week.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
hawaii, play, season, spots, year

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:05 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.79% Host: cappersmallweb1