amazing stat about 10 seeds since 1985

[uva3021]

winning percentage 38% in round 1

50% in round 2

so almost a 1/4 chance a 10 seed in any given year makes the sweet 16

my pick would be minnesota

[Yankee23]

Like USC in this spot

[Chayou44]

MD to take out memphis laff

USC and Gophers have best chance imo for sure

[cptkirk321]

Minnesota lose in Round 1 to Texas. Michigan loses to Clemson so that would only leave Maryland or USC and since even if Maryland beats California they are not going to beat Memphis so that leaves me with the best shot of pulling this off by USC. Like the Trojans to win against BC and could see them beating MichiganSt

[Gerk]

I think Michigan beats Clemson

Minny got a good matchup with a similar "Big 10 style" team in Texas, but I think think Texas edges them out

Would lean towards BC vs. USC

[croupier99]

Another interesting #7/#10 stat.

Since 1998, whoever wins the 7/10 game outright is 44-0 ATS. The point spread hasn't been in play in over 10 years on that game.

[uva3021]

three 10 seeds advance, history says at least one 10 seed will beat a 2 seed this weekendnd

Michigan +6
Oklahoma

Maryland +9
Memphis

USC __ (+5?)
MSU

[duckster]

memphis or michigan st goes down imo

[Jimmy the Bookie]

In 2 vs 10 matchups, #2 seeds favored by 7.5 or less are 4-14 ATS with 13 outright losses. Michigan fits this criteria today.

[blehrer2]

your math is wrong....if there are 4 teams seeded 10 and a 38% chance u win 1 and 50% u win 2 then theres a 19% chance Team A gets in. Which means theres an 81% chance Team A doesnt get in. So theres an 81%x81%x81%x81% chance that Team A,B,C,D (the 4 10 seeds) dont get in. Thats a 43% chance that NO 10 seed get in or a 57% chance that one does.
Not being a jerk, just wanted to point it out.

[Romanowski]

he said almost a 1/4 a 10 seed on any given year makes it to the sweet 16

19% is almost 25%

gl

[blehrer2]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

he said almost a 1/4 a 10 seed on any given year makes it to the sweet 16

19% is almost 25%

gl

right...its a 57% chance!!! even better

[Romanowski]

incorrect...the 38% for first round 10 seed is already computed (a,b,c,d)

and half of those (38/2)=19 again already accounting for all 4 10 seeds

so it isnt team a has a 19% chance, its any of the 4 have a 19%

gl

[cptkirk321]

Originally Posted by uva3021

three 10 seeds advance, history says at least one 10 seed will beat a 2 seed this weekendnd

Michigan +6
Oklahoma

Maryland +9
Memphis

USC __ (+5?)
MSU

When this thread was started my pick was USC to pull this off and will stick with them being able to do it. As for Maryland no hope in hell are they winning this game, in fact I don't even believe they cover this game let alone win it. Michigan is intriguing, just don't know what to think of this game but would not be shocked at the least if they pulled this game out against Oklahoma, right now I am leaning to Michigan at least covering the points and may just put a few bucks on the moneyline as well

[blehrer2]

im sorry but youre wrong..and then lets let this go...but if u have 4 10 seeds, one from region 1 though 4...then there is a 19% chance that team 1 gets in, and 19% chance team two gets in...and so on..BUT, thats not the question. The question is Whats the chance any of the 4 10 seeds get in?"which is equal to [100% minus the chance that Team 1 doesnt get in AND Team 2 doesnt get in AND ....so on].. To answer that you multiply 1-(.81x.81x.81x.81)=57% ....