The Big Play 3/13/09 continued

[AlphaDog]

FSU -5 (-110)
Risking $550 to win $500

[RanPicks]

GL Alpha - hope you make some cash

[AlphaDog]

thanks ran! hit my big play earlier today w/ LSU so it would be nice to go 2-0 to start the day.

[AlphaDog]

okay i'm done golfing for the day and not working off the Blackberry anymore so time for some write ups...


Villanova moneyline (+165)
risking $500 to win $825

I think there is tremendous value here with Nova having a great shot at winning straight up. First I believe the teams are closer than #13 and #5. This has the makings of a tight game. Usually I would stay away but when i first looked at this line I thought to myself "how many games did you watch Louisville struggle to find themselves." The Cardinals made a great run at the end and should be in top tournament form. What I can't get over is the fact that they only shoot about 60% free throws on the year. Their scoring also drops 7 ppg in away/neutral court games. I feel that if Villanova can keep it close going into the final minutes they can grab this one.

also liking ....

Tennessee -7
risking $220 to win $200

Bama goes into Vol's territory 5 days ago and upsets Tennessee as a 13 pt dog. Vols are favored again by 7. I would guess they are steaming!!!! I have a spot for the Crimson Tide in my heart because they gave me a baseball scholarship (which I moronically turned down to stay in California). But they should get spanked tonight.

and one more...

Dayton Flyers -2.5 (-110) and Under 141.5
risking $550 to win $500 (side bet)
risking $330 to win $300 (total bet)

Defense wins championships...blah blah blah...we've all heard it. Here is a good spot to believe in it. Their D kept them in their last game and allowed them to "win ugly". I like the Flyers' defense to keep them in this one today and the tempo should be like old people f#$%ing...slow and sloppy!

[IloveBaseball]

GL AlphaDog!