Big10 - 1.15.11

[Delz]

Not been capping very well lately. I am 2-5 so fade away.

I like three games today:

NW v. MI State Under. Although NW has gone over its last 3 those came against the likes of two terrible teams Iowa and Indiana and a decent Illinois team, but Illinois really did all the work in that game. MS on the other hand has not covered in its last 5 games (I do not count the overtime points). In addition, MS has held the last 6 teams it has played under its season points per game average. NW is 4-12 SU in games on the road and 1-14 SU at MS. I expect MS's defense to stop NW's three point barrage and the game to be under. I capped the game at 127. 3 Units.

OS v PS - PS +19. We all know OS is 17-0; however they have not been playing great. They barely beat a bad IA team, an okay MN team in Ohio and a bad Michigan team. Even their win at Indiana was not by 19 points. OS has not covered its last 3 games. PS has been playing very good lately (admittedly better than they are). They have not lost a game by more than 15 all year and that was to a very hot Purdue team, which sparked its back to back victories over ranked opponents (MS and IL). OS will lose soon playing this way. It may not be today, but I also do not think they cover. 3 Units

MI v. IN - MI +3: Yes MI has lost 3 in a row, but all to ranked teams. In their last two games against the 2 and 3 ranked teams in the nation, they lost by a bucket. They are playing great ball right now. They have covered 3 out of their last 4. IN has lost 6 in a row including their last which was a blow out at NW. IN has not covered in 5 of their last 6 games. (One thing to note is that MI has been bad at IN going 1-7 ATS and 1-12 SU.) I think MI wins here SU, but I will take the points. 5 Units.

[hodgee]

gl today !!!