BLAZE NCAA Sweet 16!

B1AZE · #1 03-24-2011, 07:54 AM

Wisconsin -4.5
1 Unit

I really like Wisconsin here and it's mainly for a couple of reasons.

1. The spread/total
2. Butler beating Pitt / being the "flavor" right now.

I actually like that the spread looks kinda high. It leans me to believe the books want your Butler money. It also shows me that if i want Wisconsin, Im paying a premium. Because i believe most WONT. I think its makes an intriguing case to play the Butler side. If its the right or wrong side???? We'll find out...

I love where the total is sitting (123). That's perfect for a great defensive team like Wisconsin. It tells me we're playing at their pace. I know Butler is no slouch either, but i believe this is a Wisconsin type of game here.

Butler IMO got extremely lucky against Pitt. Pittsburgh outshot them, out rebounded them, out-assisted them and lost. I think they caught Pitt off guard early and they really never recovered. I think it was also a huge win that can lower your momentum the next game. If they don't come out like that here and Wisconsin is playing that defense its going to be a tiring game.

I for one like Wisconsin here, but you NEVER KNOW in these types of games. Its alot of points BUT to win money; you risk money!

Good luck!

B1AZE · #2 03-24-2011, 08:09 AM

SD ST! +1.5
1 Unit

This one is bitter sweet. I love Kemba and its tough to fade a hot team like this!!!! But at some point you have too. I know SD ST is a lockdown defensive team. The total is dropping and that makes me even more inclined to take SD ST.

Just a gut pick but im going SDST here and hoping for the best! lol