Dollarbills Tuesday NCAAB w/college hoops system.............

dollarbills · #1 01-20-2009, 10:40 AM

ok, i have a system for college hoops that i've worked on the last couple of seasons...........i start it when the conf play begins, and it's very simple: for those of you who follow betting percentages this will be right up your alley........in the testing stages, i played all games for 1*, and showed a profit of just over 40* the last 2 yrs (think the winning % was just around 60)..........so here's the system: it involes games where the home team is favored between 3-8pts; if you have a percentage of bets on the home team that is greater or equal to 70%, you bet the visiting dog............if the home team % is equal or less than 30%, you bet the home team..........like i said, it's very simple to follow..........i started this year's system last saturday, and 5 games fell into these parameters: 4 of them were winners, the only loss was vandy +6 and they lost that game by 7......the most important thing to remember with systems is STICK WITH 'EM; don't giveup after 2 or 3 losing days in a row, cause as soon as you do, the next day will be a 4-0 type of day.........2 games fall into this tonight, and i'm on 'em both...............

3* CENTRAL MICHIGAN +4 (-110)
3* EASTERN MICHIGAN +5 (-120)

GL TO ALL

ZoomVT · #2 01-20-2009, 10:44 AM

good luck db!

bcbadgalz · #3 01-20-2009, 10:45 AM

Could have thrown in WESTERN MICHIGAN for me...geez.
Best wishes db!

dollarbills · #4 01-20-2009, 10:46 AM

thanks ya'll

uva3021 · #5 01-20-2009, 10:46 AM

where are % coming from

dollarbills · #6 01-20-2009, 10:54 AM

sportsinsights...............not the free numbers, this is coming from the paid membership

The Frozen Pond · #7 01-20-2009, 12:02 PM

Do you plan on playing "system" picks exclusively or are you going to post other plays you like as well?

Football-head · #8 01-20-2009, 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dollarbills

ok, i have a system for college hoops that i've worked on the last couple of seasons...........i start it when the conf play begins, and it's very simple: for those of you who follow betting percentages this will be right up your alley........in the testing stages, i played all games for 1*, and showed a profit of just over 40* the last 2 yrs (think the winning % was just around 60)..........so here's the system: it involes games where the home team is favored between 3-8pts; if you have a percentage of bets on the home team that is greater or equal to 70%, you bet the visiting dog............if the home team % is equal or less than 30%, you bet the home team..........like i said, it's very simple to follow..........i started this year's system last saturday, and 5 games fell into these parameters: 4 of them were winners, the only loss was vandy +6 and they lost that game by 7......the most important thing to remember with systems is STICK WITH 'EM; don't giveup after 2 or 3 losing days in a row, cause as soon as you do, the next day will be a 4-0 type of day.........2 games fall into this tonight, and i'm on 'em both...............

3* CENTRAL MICHIGAN +4 (-110)
3* EASTERN MICHIGAN +5 (-120)

GL TO ALL

DB, I like your system, but usually this early in the morning or afternoon if you are on the east coast, there usually isn't enough bets in to get an accuarate perspective of what the majority public may be on. A couple or a few more than a couple of hundred bets is just not enough. Of course, I'm not sure which database you are using in collecting your data, but on unpopular games such as the two above, I show only 497 total bets on central michigan/toledo game and 715 total on eastern michigan/northern illinois game. Data acquired from 5 different sportsbooks that are pooled in together.

Thanks,

FH

dollarbills · #9 01-20-2009, 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Frozen Pond

Do you plan on playing "system" picks exclusively or are you going to post other plays you like as well?

oh no, not at all amigo............these system plays will only acct for about 25% of my weekly plays

dollarbills · #10 01-20-2009, 12:35 PM

football head, you brought up a point that i forgot to address............it's usually better to wait till around 5pm EST before making plays with this system..........most games that i've played in this over the last couple of years have had around 1500+ bets on them by tipoff..........c'mich and e'mich will remain very "anti-public" today though, and i wanted to maximize the lines i could get in both of them, so i played these 2 a little earlier than i normally would

Football-head · #11 01-20-2009, 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dollarbills

football head, you brought up a point that i forgot to address............it's usually better to wait till around 5pm EST before making plays with this system..........most games that i've played in this over the last couple of years have had around 1500+ bets on them by tipoff..........c'mich and e'mich will remain very "anti-public" today though, and i wanted to maximize the lines i could get in both of them, so i played these 2 a little earlier than i normally would

Cool, I usually do the same and wait for about 1500+ bets on unpopular games, 2000+ on medium graded games, and at least 2500+ on popular games (i.e. ranked teams, or teams with very good records).

Wish you the best,

FH