Early pattern emerging so far...

[GFootsXtreme]

I look for patterns, stats, and such. I'm not suggesting anybody make a play based upon this observation but incorporate it FWIW

BYU open -4, bet to -5, BYU cover
OD open +4, bet to +2.5, OD cover
R Morris open -19.5, bet to -16.5, RM cover
Murray State open +4.5, bet to +2.5, Murray State cover
Sam Houston open +12.5, bet to +10, SH cover

so far 5 games decided and all 5 won ATS following the opening line movement to the close

again, not suggesting this is a big deal or a trend that matters, yet
but worth keeping an eye on as the day progresses.

Normal Statistical odds of line movement correctly dictating the result in 5 bets:
1 in (2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2) = 1 in 32 chance, approx 3%

[IloveBaseball]

Any other line movement for upcoming games? Thx!

[Icantcapforcrap]

wouldn't R Morris line movement suggest the opposite of the other 4?

[Gobbler's Knob]

Originally Posted by Icantcapforcrap

wouldn't R Morris line movement suggest the opposite of the other 4?

I didn't know RM was favored by 16??? Would of been all over Nova

[GFootsXtreme]

R Morris was +19.5 bet down to +16.5, typo on my part, the movement predicted correctly

I am using covers for the open and the movement. It may not be 100% accurate but it at least is easy to follow. This is not scientific and i'm not interested in what the "sharp"opening lines were, just what covers says (all this is FYI)

KState - shows open 15.5, close around same - no play
St Mary's - line movement went against, first game that did not come through

5-1-1 so far.

Seeing what lines have moved is as easy as can be guys, just look at covers
i'm not posting the url as that is not allowed but mentioning where i get info i believe is

Louisiana Tech, Texas and Montana are the two most obv ones coming up.

again guys, DO NOT bet these only because of an early streak of 5 straight. I'll keep an eye on this and post at the end of the night so that we can see if it's outside the statistical norm. Use this as but one small element to consider.

[Romanowski]

Originally Posted by Icantcapforcrap

wouldn't R Morris line movement suggest the opposite of the other 4?

no they opened bigger dogs than they closed

its going with the steam

as an aside most will be surprised but its not up for debate if you look at the data

the market as a whole is smarter than the books

in other words it pays more to go with the steam vs rlm

[Romanowski]

by the way I go reverse line movement too, just making a point on the market as a whole

[Icantcapforcrap]

sorry, just realized it was a typo. Wasn't even really thinking about it. They were dog not favored. Just got off work and burned one.

[GFootsXtreme]

Thursday results: (yes = winner followed line movement, no = winner did not)

8-8, LINE MOVEMENT OVERALL WAS 50%, NO BETTER THAN FLIPPING A COIN
(well done, books)

BYU = YES
OD = YES
R MORRIS = YES
MURRAY STATE = YES
K STATE = NO
SAM HOUSTON = YES
ST MARY = NO
BUTLER = NO
UNLV = NO
KY = NO
WASH = NO
OHIO = NO PLAY
L TECH = YES
LEHIGH = YES
WAKE = NO
MONTANA = YES
SD STATE = NO