Final Four betting notes / trends

[new york knight]

It’s onward to Houston for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2011 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider before our Fab Four tips off this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (against the spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

FINAL FOUR NOTES

• No. 3 seeds are 7-3 (4-0 SU and ATS as favorites or underdogs of four points or fewer)
• No. 8 or lower seeds are 0-3
• Teams off back-to-back straight up underdog wins are 1-8
• Teams who are 3-0 ATS last three games are 9-24
• Teams with revenge are 2-7
• Big East teams are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS
• SEC teams are 6-2 as underdogs or favorites of fewer than seven points
• Teams with the greater win percentage are 10-2 SU and ATS since 2005
• Returnees from last year in this round are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as favorites

CHAMPIONSHIP GAME NOTES

• No. 3 seed dogs are 1-3
• No. 5 or worse seeds are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS
• Favorites of five or fewer points are 10-1
• Favorites who scored more than 80 points in the Final Four round are 4-1
• Teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are 0-4 SU and ATS
• Teams off an ATS win of 16 or more points are 1-5 SU and ATS
• Underdogs of more than two points who allowed 60 or more points in Final Four are 1-5
• Underdogs of three or more points off a straight up underdog win are 1-5
• Big East teams are 3-0 SU and ATS
• SEC teams are 3-0 ATS as favorites

COACH ME UP

• Butler’s Brad Stevens is:
48-56-4 ATS as a favorite and 16-6-1 ATS as an underdog
33-16-2 ATS vs. non-conference
10-3 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-2 SU and ATS vs. Big East
1-0 SU and ATS vs. CAA
1-2 SU and ATS vs. SEC

• Connecticut’s Jim Calhoun is:
228-236-12 ATS as a favorite and 63-57-1 ATS as an underdog
98-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
43-13 SU and 28-27-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
7-1 SU and 2-6 ATS vs. CAA
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Horizon League
13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS vs. SEC

• Kentucky’s John Calipari is:
237-204-14 ATS as a favorite and 53-27-1 ATS as an underdog
129-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
32-13 SU and 23-21-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
23-8 SU and 17-13-1 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and ATS vs. CAA
2-0 SU and ATS vs. Horizon League

• VCU’s Shaka Smart is:
24-26-1 ATS as a favorite and 9-6 ATS as an underdog
14-12 ATS vs. non-conference
5-0 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
1-1 SU and ATS vs. Big East
0-0 SU and ATS vs. Horizon League
0-1 SU and ATS vs. SEC







• Big East teams are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS

• SEC teams are 6-2 as underdogs or favorites of fewer than seven points

• Returnees from last year in this round are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as favorites