Friday's Play--Another Gut Feeling

[Keith]

hit both of my "gut feeling" plays last weekend, so I hope to keep it going tonight. I was eyeing this one the minute I saw the lines posted at the beginning of the week.

My gut tells me that Memphis covers (easily I might add) against Michigan State. Line opened at 5.5 but has been bet down to 4.5. I think it will go back up to 5 by game-time. Look, Miss. State gave Memphis a scare last week, while Michigan State rolled over a good Pittsburgh team. Everyone loves Tom Izzo, and the thinking is that Michigan State will play the same high pressure defense that Miss State utilized. I'm sure that the services will be all over the Spartans. Difference is that unlike Pittsburgh, who was playing something like their 5th or 6th game in 11 days, Memphis is well rested. The Miss State game will serve as a wake-up call for them. Michigan State is not in the class of Memphis. Let them foul em all they want. Memphis pulls away late and wins by double-digits.

My gut feeling play for Friday is the Memphis Tigers -4.5.

[ZoomVT]

damn... i didnt expect this play from you.
good luck but im having a hard time thinking memphis rolls over michigan state. because thats what will have to happen, even if mich is within 10-14 pts late in the game, they will make it up on the FT line and possibly cover.
I just dont trust memphis.
And yes you are rpobably right about the touts and services (which sucks!); but just like last night, maybe the media, and joe public hit it again. Louisville did it last night, i find it likely that Mich st wins today.
good luck though Keith... see ya in the baseball forum.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by ZoomVT

damn... i didnt expect this play from you.
good luck but im having a hard time thinking memphis rolls over michigan state. because thats what will have to happen, even if mich is within 10-14 pts late in the game, they will make it up on the FT line and possibly cover.
I just dont trust memphis.
And yes you are rpobably right about the touts and services (which sucks!); but just like last night, maybe the media, and joe public hit it again. Louisville did it last night, i find it likely that Mich st wins today.
good luck though Keith... see ya in the baseball forum.

thanks zoom (even though you disagree with the pick). Michigan State is way over-rated coming off their win over Pitt. Memphis is a damn good team, and I absolutely see them in the Final Four.

As for baseball....can't get here soon enough

[Dr. Jack]

Originally Posted by Keith

thanks zoom (even though you disagree with the pick). Michigan State is way over-rated coming off their win over Pitt. Memphis is a damn good team, and I absolutely see them in the Final Four.

As for baseball....can't get here soon enough

kind of agree with this and lean this way myself however a little nervous, still thinking. GL today Keith

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Dr. Jack

kind of agree with this and lean this way myself however a little nervous, still thinking. GL today Keith

thanks Jack. Coming from you, THE hottest capper here at the mall, I feel even better.

Gonna be down in Florida next week (Wed. and Thurs.) to visit my Dad.


Maybe you can pick me up at the airport ???

[Dr. Jack]

What time you coming in Keith?

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Dr. Jack

What time you coming in Keith?

LOL--I'm just kidding (of course), but I will be coming in to Fort Lauderdale late morning on Wed. and leaving from there mid-afternoon on Thursday.

[Dr. Jack]

Originally Posted by Keith

LOL--I'm just kidding (of course), but I will be coming in to Fort Lauderdale late morning on Wed. and leaving from there mid-afternoon on Thursday.

okay good so I don't have to be rude

Hope your dad is doing okay Keith

[sparty13]

No offense here Keith, but hope and think you are wrong. I think that in order for Michigan State to win, they must get a good performance out of both Morgan and Neitzel combined. However, Michigan State is not going to have to spend the game fouling towards the end as they will have the lead. Rebounding will be the key, but the Spartans have enough big guys up front to own the boards. It does concern me that Marquis Gray is going to be hobbled in this one however. Memphis is vulnerable and will struggle with the physical style of play. Good luck in the bases forum this year. Spartans win by 7. Although I do wish that the touts and everyone else were all over Memphis.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Dr. Jack

okay good so I don't have to be rude

Hope your dad is doing okay Keith

thanks Jack. Still battling. Always tough with a brain injury. He was making alot of progress, but has taken a couple of steps back recently. Figurative steps, not literal. It's been over 8 months since his accident. Probably never going to lead a "normal" life again. That being said, I'm still glad that he is here--even if it is not like it was.

Like Jimmy V. said (and I am paraphrasing here): live each day to the fullest, cause you never know when it can all change in the blink of an eye. Appreciate what you have, and make sure you say "I love you" to the people that you love.

[Dr. Jack]

Originally Posted by Keith

thanks Jack. Still battling. Always tough with a brain injury. He was making alot of progress, but has taken a couple of steps back recently. Figurative steps, not literal. It's been over 8 months since his accident. Probably never going to lead a "normal" life again. That being said, I'm still glad that he is here--even if it is not like it was.

Yeah, still beats the alternative

[Hoosiercatdaddy]

how big is your gut? You just keep pulling games out of it. GL

[fed11]

Keith, I agree Memphis is a way better team. All week long ESPN has been talking about how Memphis may be the first #1 out of the tourny, how they can't shoot free throws. Makes you wonder how this slacker team has only lost 1 game this year. One Big 10 team advances and one in Michigan ST gets rolled. Good luck this weekend you and you may want to treat your gut to a nice sirloin after this one.

[ZoomVT]

Originally Posted by Hoosiercatdaddy

how big is your gut? You just keep pulling games out of it. GL

and they are not just any games, they are BIG games.. so his gut must be the same size as windy's...

[Keith]

Originally Posted by fed11

Keith, I agree Memphis is a way better team. All week long ESPN has been talking about how Memphis may be the first #1 out of the tourny, how they can't shoot free throws. Makes you wonder how this slacker team has only lost 1 game this year. One Big 10 team advances and one in Michigan ST gets rolled. Good luck this weekend you and you may want to treat your gut to a nice sirloin after this one.

thanks fed. Everyone is down on Memphis. They are a really good team.