Gerk's Conference Tourney Prediction Thread

[Gerk]

With conference tourneys now heading into ful swing, At least some books are offereing lines to win the conference tourney's. I will post my thoughts on all the tourneys that have lines posted for them

I will post who I think wins, best value, and overrated for each tourney.

I wish I could get some lines for some of the smaller conferences, but will do with whatever I can find posted somewhere

First for me is Missouri Valley, Will post Colonial thoughts later today


MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE
Lines from The Greek

Overrated- Northern Iowa +220

Best Value- Bradley +550, Think they make the championship game

Who wil win- Creighton -120. Not a big fan of chalk in these deals, but think they are clearly the best team from what I've seen of the conference this season



More to come

[Windy City Irish]

agree on your assessment of all 3

[Gerk]

Thanks Windy

COLONIAL CONFERENCE

Interesting Lines from The Greek vs. 5 Dimes

From The Greek

VCU -125
George Mason +200
Northeastern +400
Old Dominion +300

From 5 Dimes

VCU +180
George Mason +300
Northeastern +360
Old Dominion +400



Overrated- VCU -125, Not because I think they can't or won't win, think it's more wide open than it has been for at least a few years here.

Best Value- Northeastern +400

Who will win- Northeastern +400, Think they have as good a shot as the other three top contenders.

[Gerk]

SOUTHERN CONFERENCE

Lines from 5 Dimes

Overrated- Any team other than Davidson or Chattanooga

Best Value- Chattanooga +500. Do have homecourt

Who will win- Davidson and Chattanooga are the only teams that have a chance, I think, but Davidson should win, but not interested at -200

[Gerk]

MAACC Conference
Lines from 5 Dimes


Overrated- No one

Best Value- Siena -105, Best team at home should win

Who will win- Siena -105, Niagra the only other team I think has a shot. Very solid price, I think on Siena

[Gerk]

WEST COAST CONFERENCE

Lines from 5 Dimes

Overrated- Loyola Marymount +10000

Best Value- St. Mary's +260, Is Mills going to be effective coming back?

Who will win- Gonzaga -300, Not horrible value here considering the other teams in the conference.

[Gerk]

SUMMIT CONFERENCE

Lines from 5 Dimes

Think North Dakota State is clearly the best team in this conference, Will take a chance on them at -135

[Windy City Irish]

WOW, siena only -105

i am on that one NOW!!!! also very much agree with ND St and going to put that in now to!!

[Gerk]

First wave of tourneys over,

Not bad, Wish I would have thrown down some real $ on Chattanooga, Siena won for me yesterday, North Dakota State going tonight.

Now we go full swing

MAC Tourney

Overrated- Very wide open field, If you do some shopping around if there's a team you like, you can find some interesting lines. Will say no one overrated here

Best Value- Bowling Green +600 (5 Dimes). Think they have a decent chance here

Who will win- Miami (Ohio) +350 (Greek). Put a small wager on this one

[Gerk]

BIG EAST CONFERENCE

Overrated- If you like U Conn, you might want to check the last time they won ONE conference tourney game (2005). Can't back them at the low price and their tourney history

Best Value- Villanova (+650 5 Dimes). Don't like their draw and they are streaky, but playing very well right now.

Who will win- Pitt (+180, 5 Dimes). Not interested at that price

[Gerk]

ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE

Overrated- See alot of Dayton love here and around the web. Don't see them doing much here, to be honest. You can have them at +225, not me.

Best Value- Richmond, Honestly don't see them winning, but think they are playing well and think they can turn a few heads. If we are talking value to win, I like Temple at +390 (5 Dimes)

Who will win- Will say Temple (+390), but not enough to put any real $ on it.

[Gerk]

PAC 10 CONFERENCE

Overrated- Washington +200. Not a believer on this team.

Best Value- Cal (+675, 5 Dimes). Like this team, Think they have a decent chance

Who will win- All set up for UCLA, but will put a SMALL wager on Cal

[Gerk]

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE

Overrated- New Mexico +300, Still don't know if I trust this team away from the Pit.

Best Value- UNLV (+350, 5 Dimes)

Who will win- UNLV (+350, 5 Dimes). Homecourt should be a big boost here as we saw with Chattanooga last night

[Windy City Irish]

gl gerk. will be taking UNLV ATS vs SDSU for sure in first round!!

[Gerk]

BIG 12 CONFERENCE

Overrated- Hard to say Oklahoma, but I don't see them winning so will go with them.

Best Value- Not seeing much value here, but will say Texas at +820, though I don't see them winning it.

Who will win- Kansas (+160, 5 Dimes). Have won the last three, but not interested at that price.