Gonzaga under-rated .. North Carolina over-rated

[stoned.gambling]

=
Gonzaga +8.5

This game will finish within four points, and may even go to overtime.

[Bisket]

[nolesfan08]

I just dont see anybody on gonzaga matching up with carolinas guards, if they dont make it a half court game which I doubt will happen, this one could get ugly

[stoned.gambling]

and not to forget, North Carolina played at home first two march madness games..

[walk066]

Gonzaga isn't at UNC level yet. However, they might cover the spread.

[stoned.gambling]

Originally Posted by nolesfan08

I just dont see anybody on gonzaga matching up with carolinas guards, if they dont make it a half court game which I doubt will happen, this one could get ugly

Gonzaga isn't a very physical or agressive team on defense, but they've been preparing for this game since the brackets were announced. They will be ready for North Carolina, and although Ty Lawson, who is not 100% playing with a foot injury, has the ability to control a game, Xavier will have a plan for controlling him, enough to keep them in the game. To add, on the season Gonzaga is allowing opponents to score only 62 points per game, 10 points less than North Carolina's 72.

Call me crazy, but my opinion is that Gonzaga is nearly as good offensively, if not just as good, as North Carolina. On the season, Gonzaga is shooting .490% from the field, .395 from three point range and .718% from the FT line compared to North Carolina's, .481%, .387, .764%, respectively. Yes, Gonzaga's strength of schedule has been weaker than North Carolinas, but they still have played 11 games vs. teams in the top 50, winning 7 and losing four; while North Carolina has only played two more than Gonzaga, winning 10 and losing 3.

Expect Gonzaga to attack, and annoy, Lawson and Hansborough all game, hopefully getting them into foul trouble early. This is only one game, and it's March Madness so anything can happen. North Carolina is indeed the better team, so it will be tough for Gonzaga to take a straight up win, so i'll be taking the 8.5 point cushion, in what I assume to be a fairly tight game from start to finish. I feel this line should be -5, but we are getting a few extra points because it is North Carolina. They blow out everybody, don't they? So I expect the majority of the public to be on North Carolina. North Carolina played the first two games of March Madness at home, and will not put up similar numbers vs. a very talented, under-rated Gonzaga team, in a more hostile environment.

1st half prediction: Gonzaga 48 - North Carolina 42
Full game prediction: North Carolina 89 - Gonzaga 86

(take the over as well. there are too many outstanding offensive players not too, and I feel this game may very well go to overtime, in what I expect to be one of the best games of the year to watch.)

[rjb1816]

we cannot follow someone who is stoned and gambling

[Romanowski]

nice writeup

gl

[stoned.gambling]

Originally Posted by rjb1816

we cannot follow someone who is stoned and gambling

I am not asking you too. If not for the weed, I don't think I could take the stress of gambling. goodluck.

[stoned.gambling]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

nice writeup

gl

thankyou. I forgot to finish the second paragraph, but just edited it.

Time for some bong hits before bed.

[PHILLYBIRDS20]

unc by 22

[PHILLYBIRDS20]

Originally Posted by stoned.gambling

thankyou. I forgot to finish the second paragraph, but just edited it.

Time for some bong hits before bed.

that explains alot

[uva3021]

stoned.gambling has 09 ROY locked up

[stoned.gambling]

Originally Posted by PHILLYBIRDS20

unc by 22

If this game was in Chapel Hill, Ty Lawson was at full strength and Obama had Gonzaga advancing to the Final four then North Carolina may win by half of what you project.

North Carolina is five points better than Gonzaga, infront of a neutral crowd, at best.

[stoned.gambling]

Missouri +4 looks real good also