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#1
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Has there ever been less of a "neutral" court in an NCAA title game?
Not only is Butler just a few miles from their campus, but Duke is probably the most hated team out there and almost all neutral fans there will be cheering for Butler
How much of a factor will that be, if at all? I think it does factor in myself, though I don't know how much after the game gets into full swing
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#2
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I was thinking the same thing...Im not sure vegas thinks it will be a factor @-7
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Life is a unit Sack UP Create your own luck 2011 MLB: 11-15 -6.67 10* 0-0 +0.0 5* 0-1 -5.0 4* 0-2 -8.0 Plays based on 3* (regular), 4* (play of week), 5* (play of month), 10* (play of year) |
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#3
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I think it's a factor & I'm all over Butler
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#4
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agree. The only way its not a factor is if Duke can take control right from the outset and never let Butler in the game. I just can't see that happening.
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#5
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think about the UNC vs. Mich state game last year in detroit where the home crowd wasnt really a factor
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Life is a unit Sack UP Create your own luck 2011 MLB: 11-15 -6.67 10* 0-0 +0.0 5* 0-1 -5.0 4* 0-2 -8.0 Plays based on 3* (regular), 4* (play of week), 5* (play of month), 10* (play of year) |
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#6
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Fair point but NC was much better than this Duke team & Butler better than last year Mich St. No disrespect to Duke, they are a very good team but so is Butler. Jmo
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Jack |
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#7
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Jmo. Duke is Duke. No contest, no matter where this is played. Duke wins this.
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'11-'12 College Hoops Record: 16-12 '10-'11 College Hoops Record: 14-18 ![]() '09-'10 College Hoops Record: 34-29 ![]() '08-'09 College Hoops Record: 44-38-4 '07-'08 College Hoops Record: 73-49-3 '06-'07 College Hoops Record: 67-53-1
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#8
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kenpom has duke about 4.5 point better, apparently home court isnt factored in
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The only bridge I've ever burned along this legacy I dance is the one that linked the cities of prosperity and chance Check out Technicapping for quantitative sport analysis |
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#9
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Butler keeps it tight in first half, but Duke pulls away late. Home court won't matter in this one. Lots of Butler backers, but everyone likes an underdog to make a good showing! My money says Duke wins by 15.
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2012 MLB: 153-146-8 -18.5u Last Updated: 5/27/12 2011 NBA: 53-58-4 Last Updated: 5/6/12 2011 NHL: 203-194-5 -6.87u Last Updated: 4/18/12 Disclaimer: Fade me or trail me, but you do so at your own risk! This is gambling and trust me you could lose, just ask my bookie! No "megastar galaxy lock of the years or game of the week/year, unless otherwise posted I play everything to win 1 unit! If you lose trailing me, I don't want to hear any crying! |
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#10
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There are 2 sides to the coin --
Duke, playing at a hostile stadium: There is no way that this envirnonment DOESN'T affect a team. However if you ask 100 people, which NCAA team would be least affected by a hostile environment just based upon the coach and system....Duke would be the one LEAST affected. Butler, playing in a friendly stadium: Is a HUGE advantage and benefit to them, especially since the pressure is huge and although they've done well in the tourney before, a championship game is huge. IMO, the crowd is the ONLY factor keeping Butler in the game, and honestly there is no way that I bet on a game hoping the crowd makes the difference. From my viewpoint it is almost impossible to see Duke losing with their discipline and size, and betting on a spread in the 7/8 territory -- exactly the # that with FTs would be the result in a close game, is not worthwhile |
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