Hello to Cappers Mall

[FadeTheRoadFavorite]

Long time reader, first time poster. My son is a fan of this site and got me reading it awhile back. He is an amateur capper trying to figure this game out... even though he's 21, in college.. and has no money. I am a statistician by trait and a dorky math lover that also loves sports, specifically college basketball/football, and NFL football. I love baseball (Cardinal fan by birth) but don't bet the game.

I have a system that I wanted to share with this forum that works well for me and has for over 10 years with a 64% win rate and 71% bankroll rate (on the weighted bets). It is a system that fades the road favorite... but not every one of course. I am retired so have more extra time on my hands these days. I take a LOT of things into consideration when picking home underdogs getting points. Things taken into consideration are home winning percentage (past 3 years and present), referees and officiating crews home/away win loss percentages, visiting shooting percentages, visiting teams penalty rates, how teams play on the road, past 4 games (for both teams), ATS records, etc.

There are quite a few very good cappers on this board, I've been doing this awhile and there are a couple I've been quite impressed with. You can quickly tell the pros from the amateurs.. which is a good thing. Tail me if you'd like, fade me if you'd like.. but I will always track my record at the bottom of my current picks. Good luck to everyone at the mall and I hope to make some new friends here.

I chose today to start because there is one I like today. My bets are starred 1-10.

Today is a 1* with San Diego +15 at home vs BYU

[jonny delta]

[Shark23]

GL and welcome

[Gobbler's Knob]

[Rabbit's Foot]

Welcome sir!

[Mendoza Line]

Welcome to the Mall!

[duckster]

Welcome & Good Luck, thanks for sharing!

[bigtom]

GL bud.

[vikesfan]

Welcome to Cappers Mall

[sticktwo]

welcome and good luck

[tinwork]

I'll tail ya on this one. Welcome!

[Gobbler's Knob]

Originally Posted by FadeTheRoadFavorite

Long time reader, first time poster. My son is a fan of this site and got me reading it awhile back. He is an amateur capper trying to figure this game out... even though he's 21, in college.. and has no money. I am a statistician by trait and a dorky math lover that also loves sports, specifically college basketball/football, and NFL football. I love baseball (Cardinal fan by birth) but don't bet the game.

I have a system that I wanted to share with this forum that works well for me and has for over 10 years with a 64% win rate and 71% bankroll rate (on the weighted bets). It is a system that fades the road favorite... but not every one of course. I am retired so have more extra time on my hands these days. I take a LOT of things into consideration when picking home underdogs getting points. Things taken into consideration are home winning percentage (past 3 years and present), referees and officiating crews home/away win loss percentages, visiting shooting percentages, visiting teams penalty rates, how teams play on the road, past 4 games (for both teams), ATS records, etc.

There are quite a few very good cappers on this board, I've been doing this awhile and there are a couple I've been quite impressed with. You can quickly tell the pros from the amateurs.. which is a good thing. Tail me if you'd like, fade me if you'd like.. but I will always track my record at the bottom of my current picks. Good luck to everyone at the mall and I hope to make some new friends here.

I chose today to start because there is one I like today. My bets are starred 1-10.

Today is a 1* with San Diego +15 at home vs BYU

I'll actually be interested in tracking how you do. I actually do not like this style. To me it's a red flag when you are not favored at home ......and when you are a 15 point dog that is even worse. 90% of plays are situational home faves and I do pretty well. Good luck though, I think if you are selective this may work.

[BOBBYW]

Thanx, Welcome, & gl..

[RanPicks]

[secondbase]

welcome and gl