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Old 02-13-2009, 05:54 PM
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U Illinois Chicago at Butler

The Bulldogs will be going for their 16th straight home win in conference play and have lost just once in the last four years at Hinkle Fieldhouse. They went 2-1 on a three-game road trip that covered six days and started with a 75-66 loss at Wisconsin-Green Bay back on February 2nd. Illinois Chicago lost at Wright State by 26 points. Butler just won at Wright State by 18 points. Butler is 5-1 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series, including a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home. While Illinois Chicago has played Butler tough at home in recent years, it has been beaten up on the road with a 26-point loss and a pair of 16-point losses the last 3 seasons. Illinois Chicago is 2-12 ATS versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=57 points/game after 15+ games since 1997, losing in these spots by an average score of 52.4 to 69.9. Butler is 12-3 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 68.3 to 47.5.

Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Butler
Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Butler

Butler is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games

Wiz's play:{This one is a major mismatch} Butler-12.5


Princeton vs. Yale Princeton

Yale is favored here because it is at home and it has to be favored. Arguably, the wrong team is laying the number. Yale is 1-3 over its last four games and while the string has been all games on the road, this is not a team to be backing as it lacks a lot of confidence, especially on the offensive end of the floor. Yale are turning the ball over on 24.3 percent of their possessions which is 317th in the country.
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

System play info:
Play against home teams with a winning percentage of between 40 and 49 percent on the season where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off a road loss by three points or less. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons with the average point differential being +4.7 ppg. Princeton is 6-0 ATS this season after allowing 55 points or fewer and it is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games following a win dating back to last season. Yale meanwhile is no a horrendous run of 3-16 ATS when playing teams that average six or fewer steals per game so playing a non-pressuring defense will not help much here.

The public is not taking this Princeton run very serious as it is all over the Bulldogs here but that will be a mistake when Princeton extends its run to eight consecutive wins and gets its revenge following four straight losses to Yale.

Wiz's play:Princeton+2

No. 13 Villanova Wildcats (20-4 8-3 ) at West Virginia Mountaineers -4 (16-8 5-6 )

Wildcats of Villanova head south to play the Mountaineers of West Virginia. This is a huge game for the Mountaineers, as they are on the bubble at 16-8 and are one game below .500 in Big East play. Villanova is, pretty much, a lock for the Big Dance, but can move up in rankings and tournament positioning by finishing the season strong.

The Wildcats are rolling right now with 6 straight wins and I can't see the Mountaineers standing in the way of number 7. Nova has covered the spread in 8 straight games, blowing out Pitt, Syracuse, and Marquette during this stretch by double digits and it is still getting no respect from the books!! The Wildcats come into this game on a 6-game winning streak and their offense has been on fire as of late.
For the Mountaineers to be successful in this game they will have to contain Villanova forward Dante Cunningham, who leads the Wildcats in scoring (17 ppg), rebounding (7.3 rpg), steals (1.6 per game), and blocks (1.4 per game). The Mountaineers have lost 4 of 6 games heading into tonight and leading scorer Da'Sean Butler (17.3 ppg) has been struggling lately (10 ppg on 30% percent shooting in his last 2 games). West Virginia is not a great offensive team, to say the least, as they rank 12th in the Big East in FG% (43%).

The Mountaineers have a great defensive team, but Butler needs to snap out of his scoring slump and provide some offense tonight. If Cunningham has a big scoring game for the Wildcats it will be hard for the Mountaineers to win.
While I expect the Mountaineers to hang around for a while, I like Nova to pick up another win on the road here.
WVU is just 2-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season while Nova is 7-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.

I was thinking on takeing West Vagina on the ML (money line) but it is at -200 ( -2 to +1 payout).So i decided to:

Wiz's
play:Villanova+4.5
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Old 02-13-2009, 05:59 PM
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GL bro

wde
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Old 02-13-2009, 06:02 PM
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gl wiz
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Old 02-13-2009, 06:54 PM
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Good Luck mickeye!!! Go Butler!
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Old 02-13-2009, 09:05 PM
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2nd half?

Villa - 3 or wv +3?

Any thoughts
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