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  #1  
Old 01-13-2010, 08:40 PM
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Home Unranked Favorites vs Ranked Road Teams

I think one think that we should keep an eye on are these particular situations. I have devleoped a list of all the games so far this year and I will try to update it for tracking purposes only.

There have been 19 occurances so far this year. These do no include any tournament games as these were all played on neutral courts.
The home unranked team is 12-6-1 (66%) ATS
Thats a pretty good percentage so here are the games so far....thoughts and comments are welcome

Unranked Favorites
1/13 Georgia Tech (18) at Virginia- VA -2
Result Virginia win by 7
1/11 Villanova (4) at Louisville- Lville -3.5
Result Villanova by 8
1/10 Temple (25) at Rhode Island- RI -2
Result Temple by 4
Florida State (19) at Maryland- MD -4
Result Maryland by 9
1/9 Kansas State (10) at Missouri- MO-5
Result Missouri by 6 (OT)
BYU (23) at UTEP- UTEP -2.5
Result BYU by 6
1/8 Butler (24) at Wright State- WRST -1.5
Result Butler by 12
Washington (22) at Arizona State- AZ ST -4
Result AZ state by 17
1/6 Georgetown (12) at Marquette- Marq -1.5
Result Marquette by 3
1/5 New Mexico (14) at San Diego State- SDST-4
Result San Diego St by 10
1/3 Ohio State (15) at Michigan- Mich -2
Result Michigan by 9
1/2 Gonzaga (22) at Illinois- Ill -3
Result Gonzaga by 2
12/31 Ohio State (15) at Wisconsin- Wisc -6
Result Wisc by 22
12/30 UCONN (10) at Cincy- Cincy -2
Result Cincy by 2
12/22 Butler (16) at UAB- UAB-1.5
Result UAB by 10
12/19 Texas Tech (20) at Wichita State- Wich St -6
Result Wichita State by 2
12/13 Cincinnati (19) at Xavier- Xavier -3.5
Result Xavier by 4
12/8 Vaderbilt (24) at Illinois- Ill -4
Result Illinois by 11
12/2 California (25) at New Mexico- NM -5.5
Result New Mexico by 8
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Old 01-13-2010, 09:17 PM
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this has been a +EV bet for the past 3 years or so (maybe more)
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Old 01-14-2010, 06:31 PM
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1/14 Gonzaga (14) at St. Marys
St Mary's -4

Based on previous results the play would be St. Mary's we will see what happens tonight
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Old 01-14-2010, 06:53 PM
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Zags win this game
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Old 01-16-2010, 09:36 PM
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1/14 St. Mary's loses outright
1/16
Wisconsin(16) at Ohio State- Oh st -5.5
Result Ohio state by 9

YTD 13-7-1
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Old 01-16-2010, 09:40 PM
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Originally Posted by home dogs View Post
1/14 St. Mary's loses outright
1/16
Wisconsin(16) at Ohio State- Oh st -5.5
Result Ohio state by 9

YTD 13-7-1
Played both today. Nice parlay.

i have been traking this for a couple years. always makes money.
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Old 01-16-2010, 09:48 PM
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Originally Posted by Ron Mexico View Post
Played both today. Nice parlay.

i have been traking this for a couple years. always makes money.
ron Ohio state and who was the other play?
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Old 01-16-2010, 10:12 PM
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Originally Posted by home dogs View Post
ron Ohio state and who was the other play?
virginia -3 vs #23 miami
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Old 01-16-2010, 10:32 PM
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Last year it was limited to conference games only and using this as a guide, one gets true home and road teams, no neutral courts..like Gonzaga/Illinois game played in Chicago

But to each his own
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Old 01-16-2010, 10:41 PM
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You are missing the Mia Flo games from your list..They are ranked #23 and lost twice this week as road favs, today and on the 13th at Va Tech
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Old 01-17-2010, 09:14 AM
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Originally Posted by chibob View Post
Last year it was limited to conference games only and using this as a guide, one gets true home and road teams, no neutral courts..like Gonzaga/Illinois game played in Chicago

But to each his own
Thats how I have always done it. Since Jan 3rd I have the record at 10-5 after Ohio St and Virginia won yesterday.
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Old 01-17-2010, 09:35 AM
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Ron, thought I saw a post from you in another thread where you actually play lower ranked team is home fav as well, correct?
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Old 01-17-2010, 09:36 AM
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ok then todays picks would be?
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Old 01-17-2010, 09:41 AM
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Originally Posted by mikkii10 View Post
ok then todays picks would be?
No plays today

Michigan is +1 vs #15 U Conn
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Last edited by Ron Mexico; 01-17-2010 at 09:44 AM.
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  #15  
Old 01-17-2010, 09:43 AM
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Originally Posted by TheLink View Post
Ron, thought I saw a post from you in another thread where you actually play lower ranked team is home fav as well, correct?
I dont think it was me. That is one angle to play though. I just have stuck with the unranked home fav.

I only use the AP poll and pinnacle opening lines to get the plays.
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