late recommend

[mickey]

Davidson (27-7, 14-16-2 ATS) at St Mary's (27-6, 17-12 ATS)

It's pretty much pointless to continue barking about the Gaels' tourney snub, but their performance against Wazzou can't be ignored. Patty Mills and St. Mary's really impressed against the Cougars to begin the NIT, and here against Steph Curry, it's going to be quite a match-up. But for Davidson to come cross country, they won't be able to fend off a Gaels team looking to make a further statement. You can't overlook an east coast team having to play this late on the west coast, and overall the balance and skill of St. Mary's will shine through and they will pull away in the second half.

The Wildcats simply are not as good as last year’s squad, but have continued to show to be a wise road wager since Curry stepped on campus with a 29-11-1 ATS record as visitors.

St. Mary’s is 8-2 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by four or more points a game this season and Mills looks to be at or near full strength, scoring 27 points against Washington State in NIT opener.


While both schools easily score in the 70’s, the coaches will stress defense. Davidson holds opposing teams to 39.6 percent shooting and is 15-4 and 9-8 ATS on the road. St. Mary’s isn’t quite as good at 41.3 percent, nonetheless holds opponents to fewer points at 63.8 points per game, compared to the Wildcats 65.5.

Davidson is a four-point underdog at Sportsbook.com, with a total of 143, which is a role they have embraced, posting 11-1 ATS record as an underdog over the last two seasons. St. Mary’s is 14-1 and 6-6 ATS at home and is 7-1 against the number when a favorite or underdog of 10 or less points on home floor.

recommend:St Mary's -4

[Mendoza Line]

I agree on this one! BOL!

[duckster]

what about Vermont going all the way across the States to Oregon St, long trip, wonder when they left and when they got there.

[Slyce]

Agreed...thanks Mick!

[mickey]

cash it...