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  #1  
Old 02-09-2009, 06:33 AM
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Monday's Don't Make Sense Play

first the re-cap. Split on the "don't make sense" plays yesterday, winning with Temple but losing with UMass. I am 6-3 for my last 9 posted plays, and the "don't make sense" plays now stand at 4-1.

Learned my lesson yesterday, so I am only going with one DMS play tonight. Was going to do Missouri, but I like this one better.

Pittsburgh is the # 6 team in the country. They are 21-2 (8-2 in the Big East). Their RPI is 2 !! They beat West Virginia in West Virginia on 1/25 by 12 points. Now they open up as a 9 point fave at home, with the line dropping to 8. You'd have to be an idiot to bet West Virginia here, right ??

WRONG !! The Mountaineers cover tonight. Here's why. Now first of all, Pitt is a good team. No doubt. But so is W. Va. Pitt has won their last 3 in a row, but who did they beat ? A lousy Notre Dame team, Robert Morris (can you believe they schedule a patsy like them this late in the year) and a really bad DePaul team. West Virginia is 16-7 on the year, with an RPI of 16. They shoot a better free throw percentage than Pitt, and I think the Mountaineers know that a win tonight would really help their chances of getting to the Big Dance. West Virginia covers tonight.

Monday's "don't make sense" play is West Virginia +8 from Pittsburgh.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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Old 02-09-2009, 07:36 AM
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Good a.m. Keith, agree...like the points tonight man Lets cash another one of those DMS plays as you fine tune yourself for baseball !!!!!

GL,


Fats.............................................. ....
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  #3  
Old 02-09-2009, 07:44 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fat-freddie
Good a.m. Keith, agree...like the points tonight man Lets cash another one of those DMS plays as you fine tune yourself for baseball !!!!!

GL,


Fats.............................................. ....
thanks Fats. As always, appreciate the support.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #4  
Old 02-09-2009, 08:09 AM
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GL Buddy - generally like to bet on Pitt, but you may be right here...
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  #5  
Old 02-09-2009, 08:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RanPicks
GL Buddy - generally like to bet on Pitt, but you may be right here...
thanks Randy. Pitt wins by 12 on the road, wins their next 3 games, and then the line opens up at 9 at home, and drops down to 8 ???? Seems more than a bit shady to me.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #6  
Old 02-09-2009, 08:25 AM
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yep...
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Old 02-09-2009, 08:31 AM
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like it.

gl sir!
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  #8  
Old 02-09-2009, 08:37 AM
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7.5 now...
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  #9  
Old 02-09-2009, 09:03 AM
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i can't tell if there's something shady, or if the odds makers are simply adjusting to the circumstances. pitt's very reliable at home, and wvu hasn't fared well against the better teams in the conference. on the other hand a loss here and wvu is on the wrong side of .500 in conf play and another loss to a quality team. i think they're expecting a very determined effort from wvu tonight. +8 looks like a good deal to me, but i stopped picking games on my own a while ago so what do i know. good luck tonight.
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  #10  
Old 02-09-2009, 09:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ttko
i can't tell if there's something shady, or if the odds makers are simply adjusting to the circumstances. pitt's very reliable at home, and wvu hasn't fared well against the better teams in the conference. on the other hand a loss here and wvu is on the wrong side of .500 in conf play and another loss to a quality team. i think they're expecting a very determined effort from wvu tonight. +8 looks like a good deal to me, but i stopped picking games on my own a while ago so what do i know. good luck tonight.
I think the "average Joe" looks at this, and thinks that Pitt is the play. And if Vegas wants the "average Joe" on one side, then I want to be on the other side !
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #11  
Old 02-09-2009, 09:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Windy City Irish
like it.

gl sir!
thanks Dannyboy. Hope all is well.
__________________
Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #12  
Old 02-09-2009, 09:53 AM
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BOL tonight Keith!!!
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  #13  
Old 02-09-2009, 10:12 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keith
I think the "average Joe" looks at this, and thinks that Pitt is the play. And if Vegas wants the "average Joe" on one side, then I want to be on the other side !

This is an excellent point, I have been looking at this thought for a couple of weeks now, its just hard to pull the trigger on the opposite side of this.

I will be watching WVU tonight GL
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  #14  
Old 02-09-2009, 10:13 AM
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thanks guys.
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Seth: Gimme that. Alright, you look like a future pedophile in this picture, number 1. Number 2: it doesn't even have a first name, it just says "McLovin"!
Evan: What? One name? ONE NAME!?!? Who are you? Seal?
Seth: Fogell, this ID says that you're 25 years old. Why wouldn't you just put 21, man?
Fogell: Seth, Seth, Seth. Listen up, ass-face: every day, hundreds of kids go into the liquor store with fake IDs, and every single one says they're 21. Pssh, how many 21 year olds do you think there are in this town? It's called f*cking strategy, alright?
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  #15  
Old 02-09-2009, 11:11 AM
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back to 8 now...

Gl Bro - I'll be rootin on the sideline I think...
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