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  #1  
Old 12-04-2017, 11:43 PM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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NCAA (Tuesday)

Just reposted this because title was wrong and I couldn't change it. It said NCAA (Monday) (posted much earlier in the evening) Just trying to avoid confusion on my part.

Will update record after Monday games ore over.
Spent all afternoon going through games. Just trying to get them out before the lines bounce around. Unfortunately for me they have been moving the wrong way on some of the games I play. Hopefully will win more than I lose.
Once again no one has to play all these or any of these but this is who my action is on for Tuesday.

713 Mich St/Rutgers over 134 1/2 -110 (1)
717 Virginia +3 -110 (1)
717 Virginia/WV under 134 -110 (1)
723 Nevada +6 -110 (1)
732 Nebraska +6 -110 (1)
738 Nova -5 -110 (1)
742 JM/Citadel over 175 1/2 -110 (1)
746 Tenn Chat/Marshall over 158 1/2 -110 (1)
752 Wichita St -19 -110 (1)

713 Mich St -14 -110 (2)
730 Butler -5 -110 (2)
744 Davidson -24 1/2 -110 (2)
754 Creighton -18 1/2 -110 (2)
764 UNLV -17 1/2 -110 (2)
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2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #2  
Old 12-05-2017, 01:02 AM
Dale City Dale City is offline
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  #3  
Old 12-05-2017, 01:18 AM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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Mich St @ Rutgers

Michigan St at 7-1 and 6-2 ats scoring 81.5 ppg giving up 62.2 ppg for a diff of 19.3
Rutgers at 6-2 and 2-2 ats scoring 72.9 ppg and giving up 56.2 ppg for a diff of 16.7

I'm getting a diff of 2.6 in fav or Mich St and Rutgers worth 3-4 at home so line is really inflated.
Must be some good reasons why it's so high. Teams that they have played so far counts for a major diff in the margin.

Rutgers have beat up on Central Conn St by (56) a down Cleve St team, Coppin St (32) Bryant (25) EC (14) whose coach already resigned, and now wonder their diff is 16.7 a game.

Mich St has really been tested losing to Duke early in the year by 7, Beating DePaul (22), UCONN by (20) and in their last 3 games North Carolina by 18, Notre Dame by 18, and conf game Nebraska by 29. So of course I value Mich St in this game despite the closeness of the diff.

I couldn't help but notice the 4 games in this series since Rutgers joined the big 10: All won by Mich St by 28, 31, 34, and 20, all covered ats by Mich St 4-0 and last 3 have gone over.

1/4/17
MSU 93 RUTG 65 -13/126.5 MSU/O

3/2/16
RUTG 66 MSU 97 24.5/147.5 MSU/O

1/31/16
MSU 96 RUTG 62 -28/143.5 MSU/O

1/29/15
RUTG 51 MSU 71 8.5/130 MSU/U

MSU are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 vs. Big Ten. (like it)
RUTG are 4-23 ATS in their last 27 Tue. games. (for what it's worth, afte rall, it is a Tuesday, I'd play Mich St any day though in this matchup.

So that's why I value Mich St as a (2)


Utah @ Butler

Utah at 6-1 and 4-1 ats scoring 79.6 ppg and giving up 65.7 ppg for a diff of 13.9
Butler at 6-2 and 4-3 ats scoring 71.9 ppg and giving up 65.5 ppg for a diff of 6.4

Diff of 7.5 in favor of Utah and Butler worth 4-5 at home, so suggests Butler around -2 to -3.

Once again quite a diff in schedule of opponents between the two teams although both teams have been tested.

This will be Utah's first true road game as they are perfect at home and 1-1 on a neutral losing to UNLV by 26 and beating Miss by 9.
Butler a perfect 4-0 at home and coming off a 30 point win at home over St Louis. (like the mo)

Butler won last year at Utah 68-59. (like it)

Butler looing for its 40 straight non conf win in a row at home (love it)
Utah is 3-9 in its last 12 non conf road games (like it)

Now I've never seen Utah play so I could be way off base, but I'm on Butler for a (2)


VMI @ Davidson

VMI at 3-4 and 0-2 ats scoring 68.1 ppg giving up 71.9 ppg for a diff of -3.8
David at 3-3 and 3-2 ats scoring 84.7 ppg giving up 76.2 ppg for a diff of 8.5

Diff has David at 4.7 and they seem to shoot the 3 better at home so I'll give them worth 4 more at home for a line of 9.
Yet the line is -24 1/2. Inflated, yes it is but definitely hard to set a line on this game.

VMI finished 6-24 last year and return (1) starter. They have won 3 games already this year over Ohio Valley, Presbyterian, and Charleston S (took some time to figure out the Abbrev on those teams), in other games, lost at North Carolina St 102-67 (35), at Duqyense 77-61 (16), lost to American and Radford by (14). So, I'm not real high on VMI!!!

Davidson on the other hand lost to a Nevada team only by 13. Nevada is tough! and lost at NC by 10 (watched the whole game and the wouldn't go away). They can shoot the 3 and they have 3 top players scoring 22.2. 16.4 and 16.1 ppg, (all very good)
Davidson shooting .469 fr%, 74.4 ft% and a nice 38.2 from 3 pt land.

What it amounts to is Davidson can name the score in this one.

What I'm hoping for is a team that hasn't played at home since Nov 14 beating Charlotte by a score of 108-81 (27) and the game before at home they beat Charleston Southern 110-62 (48) INCIDENTLY, the same team that VMI bet by 8.

SO, I gamble with a (2) on Davidson, and could be ready for a 1st or 2nd half play on them.


I will continue tomorrow, or I men later on today since it's 2:15 am and I need some sleep.
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2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #4  
Old 12-05-2017, 04:25 AM
danny60606 danny60606 is online now
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  #5  
Old 12-05-2017, 08:19 AM
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  #6  
Old 12-05-2017, 09:09 AM
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  #7  
Old 12-05-2017, 09:15 AM
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N. Dakota @ Creighton

ND at 4-3 and 2-2 ats scoring 78.1 ppg and giving up 75.7 ppg for a diff of 2.4
Creighton at 5-2 and 4-2 ats scoring 89.9 ppg and giving up 78.1 ppg diff of 11.8

I'm getting 9.4 on the diff and Creighton worth 5 at home for 14-15 on my line.
So after further review I saw where their 4 wins were over Troy by 3, ArkPineBluff (9), Northern College by (31) and Presentation by (7), Now please excuse me if I'm bliss, but never heard of Northern College and Presentation but pretty sure that's why their point diff is so good. I saw where they lost their two true road games at Hawaii by 3 and at Nebraska by 22. I don't know how good they really are or can be, but I do know how explosive Creighton can be and especially at home with the 3 pointer. And Creighton's schedule, has been a tough one. Playing the Zags, Baylor, UCLA, and very good teams like Yale and Northwestern, will certainly make you better.

I like the way Creighton bounces back after a loss. After losing a tough one at Baylor, Creighton beat SIUED 103-66, and now their last game the Zags took it to them and now they have the chance to bounce back big in this one.

What's there not to like about Creighton's offense?
Their averaging 90 ppg and in their 3 road games that average is up to 101.3 points a game (love it) Their bench plays the same way, aggressive on the offense.

They are shooting 50.0 % from fg, shooting 73% form the line, and a 38.7 from 3 pt land.
They have Hegner back after limited time against the Zags coming off the ankle injury.
They only turn it over 12 times a game which is pretty darn good for as fast as the play and the number of possessions.

ND shooting 44.9% fg, 69.5 from the ft line, and 26.3 from downtown. (not even close to the Blue Jays stats)

ND allows 75.7 points per game (248th nationally) and only have given up fewer than 71 points once all year.(Creighton hopefully will take advantage of this)

I'll give the monster points and take Creighton at home to bounce back in their friendly home turf.


Oral Roberts @ UNLV

Oral at 2-7 and 4-4 ats scoring 69.0 ppg and giving up 80.4 ppg fro a diff of -15.4
UNLV at 6-2 and 6-2 ats scoring 91.8 ppg giving up 72.6 ppg for a diff of 19.2

I'm getting a diff of 34.6 and add home +4 Vegas distraction auto 4-5, line up 38, that would be great but not realistic,

UNLV has been a very good ats team so far this year, especially at home and they are at home.
UNLV are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. (like it a lot)
Oral are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. (like it a lot)

My hats off to this Oral Roberts team as they have played 7 out of their last 8 games on the road. This will be their 3rd in a row. Must be tired that's worse than a NBA schedule, no wonder their giving up 81 ppg, which doesn't bold well playing at UNLV who are averaging 91.8 ppg and at home the Runnin' Rebels are averaging 96.8 scoring, and holding teams to 74.3 points scored on defense. (love it)

I could go on and on. Still unclear if Ruder for Oral will play as he had a dislocated shoulder and missed last game.
Ruder stats are 11.5 ppg, 4.1 rebs, 88.9 ft%, and 38% from 3 pt land.
Of course I'm hoping the kid is going to be okay. I'd be dishonest if I said I hope he's playing in this game.

So it basically comes down to UNLV taking this game seriously and playing like they have been playing at home and if they do it should be a ats cover, if they don't I pay up!

Of course I have my reasons for my (1's) but not the time to write them all down. I will tell you this, I almost played 9 games at a (2) but backed off and played what I felt like was my 5 best.

good luck everyone

good luck my friends
__________________
2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #8  
Old 12-05-2017, 09:20 AM
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  #9  
Old 12-05-2017, 12:09 PM
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  #10  
Old 12-05-2017, 12:54 PM
MidTennWiley MidTennWiley is offline
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Check out UAB +1 against Troy. Should clean their clock.
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  #11  
Old 12-05-2017, 04:05 PM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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713 Mich St/Rutgers over 134 1/2 -110 (1)
717 Virginia +3 -110 (1)
717 Virginia/WV under 134 -110 (1)
723 Nevada +6 -110 (1)
732 Nebraska +6 -110 (1)
738 Nova -5 -110 (1)
742 JM/Citadel over 175 1/2 -110 (1)
746 Tenn Chat/Marshall over 158 1/2 -110 (1)
752 Wichita St -19 -110 (1)

713 Mich St -14 -110 (2)
730 Butler -5 -110 (2)
744 Davidson -24 1/2 -110 (2)
754 Creighton -18 1/2 -110 (2)
764 UNLV -17 1/2 -110 (2)

add:

732 Nebraska +9 1/2 -110 (1)
__________________
2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #12  
Old 12-05-2017, 04:15 PM
Killykill Killykill is offline
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  #13  
Old 12-05-2017, 04:18 PM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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I played Minny again at +9 1/2 (1)

If I liked them at 6 of course I like them at 9 1/2.

The last 8 games in this series the home team is 8-0 ats.

Nebraska has won the last 4 at home in this series by 25, 3, 4, and 2.

Neb coming off a 86-57 thumping in their big 1o opener at Mich St. Not to many teams playing better than Mich St tight now. Mich St held Neb t0 5 for 40 inside the arc. I just can't imagine them shooting that bad again, especially at home in their first big 10 home game.

Minny coming off a 89-67 W at home over Rutgers. I watch the game and had Minny. They did not pull away until the last 7 minutes of this contest, as I was worried until the last 2 minutes on the cover. So it's very possible that Neb at home can make a game out of this or a least keep it close.

I like this Minny team but think it's asking a lot to go out on the road and beat big 10 teams handily.

I guess I'll find out.
__________________
2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #14  
Old 12-05-2017, 04:29 PM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MidTennWiley View Post
Check out UAB +1 against Troy. Should clean their clock.

Troy has dominated them going 9-0 and 6-3 ats last 9 in the series.

But UAB are 0-5 ats last 5 road games and have Auburn on deck so I marked it off the list. I thought I read where Troy had 4 starters back but could be wrong on that.

I don't blame you for playing it as you know those teams better than I do.

good luck MTW
__________________
2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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  #15  
Old 12-05-2017, 06:03 PM
Harry Paratestis Harry Paratestis is offline
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  #16  
Old 12-06-2017, 05:38 AM
Hoosier Action Hoosier Action is offline
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recap: 7-7 +.10 2nd half of the night went much better than the first

713 Mich St/Rutgers over 134 1/2 -110 (1) L
717 Virginia +3 -110 (1) L
717 Virginia/WV under 134 -110 (1) W
723 Nevada +6 -110 (1) push
732 Nebraska +6 -110 (1) W
738 Nova -5 -110 (1) W
742 JM/Citadel over 175 1/2 -110 (1) L
746 Tenn Chat/Marshall over 158 1/2 -110 (1) L
752 Wichita St -19 -110 (1) L

713 Mich St -14 -110 (2) L
730 Butler -5 -110 (2) W
744 Davidson -24 1/2 -110 (2) L
754 Creighton -18 1/2 -110 (2) W
764 UNLV -17 1/2 -110 (2) W

add:

732 Nebraska +9 1/2 -110 (1) W
__________________
2017/18 NCAA Football

1 unit: 31-25 +3.60
2 unit: 24-36 -29.50

overall: 55-61 -25.90

2016/17 NFL

1 unit: 48-35 +10.80
2 unit: 29-22 +9.40
3 unit: 1-2 -3.75

overall: 78-59 +16.45

2017/18 NCAA Hoops

1 unit: 138-137 -12.75
2 unit: 94-52 +73.30
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 233-190 +60.25

2017/18 NBA

1 unit: 4-6 -2.65
2 unit: 10-14 -10.80

overall: 14-20 -13.45
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