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  #1  
Old 02-09-2009, 10:26 PM
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New system is 4-0 so far...Here to share the picks

I have a new Math System in which can't be used until later in the season. I applied it in reverse with great results. The problem is that I can't build an accurate Power ranking until later in the season so it can only be used for about a third of the season plus the tourney. I have been testing different ones all season and it seems that the books way over-value and under-value some teams. Anyhow, tonights system included:
Wofford -3 ..........Winner..Won by 12
Chattanooga +1 ...Winner..Won by 10
Rider -2.5 ............Winner..Won by 13
Kansas +5.............Winner..lost by 2, but covered.

Tomorrow's Picks:
N Illinois +10
Loyola (CHI) +5
Michigan St -4
C Michigan +8
Missouri St +6

I also have noticed that many of Chumly's picks fit within my system because his pick tomorrow just missed the cut, but I like it. Maybe he has a similar rating system. Forget Dr. Bob - Chumly moves lines. If Marquette goes to +5 tomorrow, it will be a play. As of now, it's not. I am very strict in how I apply my formula.

I will use only this site and thread to regulate my picks. Opinions welcomed.
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  #2  
Old 02-10-2009, 05:05 PM
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good luck man.
hope this system does great things.
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  #3  
Old 02-10-2009, 05:12 PM
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straightanswers we have a similar system and the results pay the bills good luck
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  #4  
Old 02-10-2009, 08:44 PM
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damm whatever the system you got is working good hit C.michigan, Mich st already and looking good with 2 of 3 out off the other ones,
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  #5  
Old 02-10-2009, 09:21 PM
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thkx

just for grins tailed you on all 5....small plays, but like the action. N Ill just went to OT, I lost an OT game last week +9, loses by 10 in OT.

Hang on N Ill........
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  #6  
Old 02-10-2009, 10:10 PM
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8-1 overall, 4-1 today

8-1 updated record.

Everyone-Thanks for your positive words. I know my formula works in the long run and shouldn't have many losing days. Chumly-I have been watching your posts and riding your posts for awhile. Keep up the good work. Also, I very rarely add picks after I post. If I add a team, it will be posted. I couldn't add Marquette because a certain factor went against my formula, but I bet it as a personal bet because I will continue to ride your picks Chumly. I know I will have a ton of picks sometimes and others I may have have only a few, but I will list all of my system's picks. Do what you want with them.

Tonight's Results: 4-1
N Illinois +10.........Winner...Lost only by 3 in double OT.
Loyola (CHI) +5.....Lost .....Lost by 12...tied at half..had a shot.
Michigan St -4......Winner...Won by 12.
C Michigan +8.......Winner...Won by 2.
Missouri St +6.......Winner...Lost only by 1.

WED 2-11-09 PLAYS:
nc wilmington +7.5
drake -1.5
syracuse +12
drexel +8.5
illinois st +5
Arkansas +6
houston -8.5
bradley +9.5
Cal Poly Slo +11.5
Air Force +12.5
umass -9.5
W Carolina +7.5
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  #7  
Old 02-10-2009, 11:22 PM
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good night, looks like only one blemish
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2011-'12 CollegeBB 5*** plays: 21 - 10 - 0
2011-'12 NFL: 79 - 77 - 2, +3.62 units
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  #8  
Old 02-11-2009, 07:11 AM
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Correction: Illinois St is a Pick. My formula line has them winning by 5.
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  #9  
Old 02-11-2009, 07:36 AM
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Looks good to me. Will tail tonite. Haven't played anything since Super Bowl. Time to get going again.
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  #10  
Old 02-11-2009, 07:48 AM
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Good luck brother, I hope your system does well for you...... OXY
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  #11  
Old 02-11-2009, 02:41 PM
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gl straights
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  #12  
Old 02-11-2009, 02:50 PM
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Jeez thats a ton of plays for one night!
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  #13  
Old 02-11-2009, 03:17 PM
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unfortunately, my bookie only have a few college basketball games so tailing you on the few I have.
Good luck
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  #14  
Old 02-11-2009, 06:10 PM
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Here's my first additional play:

E Carolina +5

The game starts at 8pm, hope you guys get it.
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  #15  
Old 02-11-2009, 06:20 PM
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By the way, I understand that it's way too many plays for some people to play, but I bet the plays that fall into my system regardless if it is one play or fifteen. I know 95% of my plays by midnight so I will try to get them posted late or early the next morning. It's funny because I always hear the only way to beat your bookie is to pick one or a couple games because you will get killed on the juice in the long run. My belief is that you bet all good bets. If you do that, you tend not to chase when you lose a couple. My bets are always for the same amount and I never will have a Game of the Year because I value them all as a bet or No bet. Don't get me wrong, I bet a little more or less depending on how I feel or the run I get on, but I like to value my bets the same. When I see GOY, I tend to read and listen more, but it is more important for me to know a game is coming from a good capper that takes his time and reasons rather than any mojo just putting GOY in their headlines. Good Luck to all.
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