NightCap's Thursday Card w/ rare GOM!!

NightCap424 · #1 03-12-2009, 03:47 AM

Ahhh, finally Thursday! The weekend is drawing near and that only means one thing.....Selection Sunday! Here are the plays today, and if you haven't noticed by the thread title, I am making my GOM pick today....I never really do it, so it could be fade material! Best of luck to all of us!!

9-3 in my last 12.

G.O.M. Selection

Arkansas (+9.5)

vs Florida

Rice (+12) vs Tulsa
Indiana (+9) vs Penn State
Villanova (-2.5) vs Marquette
Buffalo (+1.5) vs Kent. State
Alabama (+2.5) vs Vanderbilt

Miami OH (-1.5) vs Akron....tailing the Meteorologist

Best of Luck today at the Mall!

NightCap424

Forecasting Floyd · #2 03-12-2009, 04:13 AM

Nice to see you on board with the Miami OH pick. It looks like we are on the same page on several picks. So, today will hopefully be a great day for both of us.

If Miami OH win's this game, which I fully expect them to. I might just have to move from the greater Miami, FL area to Miami, OH. On second thought. I don't think so ;)

I am going to ride your hot hand and parlay those games that coincide with mine. Great cappin!

NightCap424 · #3 03-12-2009, 04:14 AM

Write Up.....

I love Arkansas to shock the world against a team that is trying to make the Dance....alright, I know, "shock the world" was the best I had to work with at 4/5 in the morning! Arkansas will be loose and ready to play versus a counterpart that is going to press, knowing only a win will get them closer to a Dance ticket. Only 3 current rostered players have played in the SEC tournament and this is the perfect recipe for a Florida take down. Arkansas's last 6 games haven't been a complete disaster, as they have shot above 41% or better from the field in each. Their final game against Vanderbilt was a fluke game as they shot 29% from the field after notice of suspension of a crucial part of the team. Florida is 3-7 on the road (neutral) and have only covered once in their last 5 appearances. Florida's shooting touch has gone down hill as of late and they are averaging 5% or more in drop off in offensive production the last 6 games including a 2 point loss to Georgia, the 2nd worst team in the SEC and being favored by an identical number to the Arkansas game tonight.

Fortson and Washington are Freshman and Juniors with hopes of seeing what they have for the 2010 campaign. There are more impressive Freshman on Arkansas's squad, including a multi talented underclassmen bench which have everything to look forward to and nothing to lose. Freshman Rotnei Clarke has made four or more 3 pointers in 8 of the last 9 games, 43.2 percent overall. Over that same stretch Courtney Fortson has averaged 16.3 points per game, .07 ahead of Clarke. Considering 2 Juniors and 2 Freshman lead the ARK team in scoring, I have to like the leadership differences. This team is versatile with a lot to look forward to. Arkansas's team chemistry will only soar as they have 2 incoming recruits that are 94 ratings or higher so there is nothing but good to look forward to next season. Arkansas hung tough with the best in the SEC as they lost by 10 @ LSU followed by a 3 point loss to LSU in Arkansas. It took Overtime for South Carolina, 2nd best SEC team, to beat Arkansas in the middle of the schedule. 90% of immediate, initial money is on Florida which calls for an extreme public play. Florida is 3-7 in their last 10 ATS as well as 0-4 ATS in Neutral court games when the total is 145-149.5. Arkansas is 1-0 this year and 11-7 ATS in the same circumstances on Neutral courts. Arkansas is averaging 69.4 points per game on OFF in games that are on the road or neutral courts this season while Florida is allowing 75.5 points per game to their opponents in the same circumstances.

As the Arkansas coach said in a media interview....."These kids will be excited and ready to play, it will be our best game of the year"

Best of Luck!