(( Rookieees Ncaab Championship Thoughts ))

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 04-07-2008, 01:34 AM

first Of All...i Told You All That I Wasnt Going To Play Anymore College Baskets With How My Tournament Went..... But After Watching The Final Four I Felt So Left Out With Not A Single Wager On Either Of The 2 Games... So I Figure Since This Is The Last Game I Give My Thoughts And Yes.... I Will Be Making A Small Play...

kansas Jayhawks Vs Memphis Tigers

kansas (36-3) Comes Into This Game Bouncing Back Big After Their Close Encounter With Davidson, Demoralizing North Carolina 84-66.... And For Those That Watched The Game...it Really Wasnt Even That Close... Great Teams Are Able To Do That And This Team Kansas Has Is A Special One With Brandon Rush And Mario Chalmers Leading The Way Averaging 30 Points Between Them The Last 3 Games...they Also Have Russell Robinson Who When Needed Can Put Up Points At Times..while Everyone Is Looking To Their Offense It Really Has Been Their Defense In This Tourney As Their Last 5 Average Of 59.4 Is As Solid As Fooling The Linesmakers For The Last 5 Games That All Went Under The Total.... So They Must Be Doing Something Spectacular On The Defense Side Of The Ball...and After Shutting Down N.c In The Final Four You Can Bet Eyes Were Opened.

Now Memphis Is 38-1 And That Itself Speaks Enough...they Come Into This Game After Their Win Over Pac-10 Chumps I Mean Champs Ucla....they Out Matched Them In Almost Every Aspect Of That Game And Pulled Away In The Second Half... The Tigers Big Guards Frustrated Those Bruins Like They Were Cubbies And Made The Statement That The Pac-ten Really Wasnt That Good To Begin With...chris Douglas-roberts And Derrick Rose Are A Double Duo Threat Averaging 50 Combined In Their Last 3...and Like Kansas Defense They (cdr And D.r.) Too Have Fooled The Linesmakers For The Last Five Games As All Those Games Have Gone Over The Total.

Analysis:

Both Teams Come Into This Game Ready To Play As #1 Seeds... This Will Probably Be One Of The Best Games In Recent Years As We Have Two Teams That Can Play Defense Or Offense...bottom Line Just A Great Matchup And Game To Come...Look For The Games Point Guards To Decide This Game From Kansas 3Point Shooters To Memphis Big Guards Who Can Do It All.

Based On 5 Game Stats Estimates

Fg% Kansas 47.1% Memphis 41.6%
Halftime ~ Memphis 34 Kansas 33.9
Final Score ~ Kansas 71.6 Memphis 71.6

You Notice That Kansas Fg % Is Greater By Quite A Substancial Amount But Lets Look At Something Comparable.... The Texas Games In Which They Both Have Played Recently....against The Texas Trio Of Abrhams, Augustine And James ...kansas Defense Allowed 18 Of 47 Shots Compared To Memphis 14 Of 46..... Now Kansas Tandem Shot 16-27 Against Them Compared To Memphis Duo 12 Of 22...but In That Game Memphis Had 4 Players In Double Digits....so Basically It Looks Like A Wash...equally Matched And Compared.

So The Question That Todays Game Brings Is Where Is The Loophole...imo Kansas Biggest Edge To Winning Is Their 3 Point Shooting As Their 5gm Ave Against Memphis Defense Is 36.8%... But They Will Be Going Against Memphis Bigger Guards Which Has Given Problems To Many Teams In This Tourney, So I Expect That Number Of 36% To Drop Slightly... The Biggest Edge For Memphis And The Reason Im Taking These Tigers Today Is The Slight Rebounding Edge They Have Over Kansas And An Important Statistic That Many Will Overlook In Their Handicapping To This Game~~~ Turnovers!!!!
The Last 3 Games Kansas Has Been On The Negative Side In Turnovers While Memphis Has Been To The Positive.

Kansas 19 N.c. 18 (-1)
Kansas 13 Davy 9 (-4)
Kansas 18 Villy 14 (-4)

Memphis 9 Ucla 12 (+3)
Memphis 7 Tex 8 (+1)
Memphis 8 Michst 12 (+4)

Well Guys Whatever Side You Choose Tonight I Wish Each And Everyone Of You The Best Of Luck... Everyone Probably Has Looked At All The Many Trends So I Wont Leave You With Anymore....i Hope This Write Up Gives You Another Edge In Your Personal Handicapping And Put You On The Right Side....Enjoy The Game As It Will Be A Dandy As You Will Be Seeing Some Great Kids Playing Big Time Ball !!!!

15 ***** Memphis -1.5
5 ***** Kansas/memphis Under 147