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Old 01-30-2011, 01:01 AM
Gordan Gekko
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: South Florida
Posts: 31
Rewards: 33
Sunday need some help? THANKS!

Games I am looking at tomorrow: I want to go big on 3 games/ looking to continue to build the bank-roll for next weekend. If you have any input, it would be greatly appreciated... Additionally, if you have any insight into other games you like - this would be equally as appreciated: Good luck today to the Mall; Cheer's to making Sunday a Bullish Day for all!

Game #1 - Duke on the Road v. St. John's (opened Duke -8.5)

- Game is on CBS
- Duke is 10-9 ATS as a favorite this year / Yet, they are 4-1 on the Road as favorites
- St. John's is 6-11 ATS / and they are only 3-5 ATS @ Home
- Duke is 8-4 ATS in non-conference games
- St. John's is 2-6 ATS in non-conference games
- Duke is only 12-23 v. Big East Teams ATS since 1997 / whereas St. John's is 16-14 in that same stretch
- St. John's is 1-4 straight up in their 5 games
- St. John's is 2-0 ATS v. Duke last 3 years

- Finally: St. John's leading scorers Dwight Hardy and Justin Brownlee have struggled during the last three games. Hardy is averaging 9.0 points and Brownlee 7.7 in that span - both numbers 5.5 points below their season averages. The Red Storm shot a season-low 33.9 percent in a 77-52 road loss to the No. 21 Hoyas on Wednesday. And clearly Duke is going in the other direction - Duke has won four straight since its lone loss, 66-61 at Florida State on Jan. 12. Star guard Nolan Smith is averaging 24.5 points and 5.8 assists during the win streak, and he scored 28 in an 84-68 win over Boston College on Thursday.

Game #2 - Michigan at home v. Iowa (opened Michigan -7.5)

- Iowa is 8-11 ATS v. Michigan 9-7 ATS

- PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result


03/11/10 Iowa 52 @ Michigan - 59 Michigan -8 117 IOWA/U
02/16/10 Michigan 80 @ Iowa - 78 Michigan -4 120.5 IOWA/O
01/30/10 Iowa 46 @ Michigan - 60 Michigan -13 124 MICH/U

- [B]Iowa[/B] Last 5 Away games:

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
01/26/
11 IOWA 51 @ PENNST 65 +8 129.5 LOSS/U
01/19/11 IOWA 48 @ OHIOST 70 +19.5 135.5 LOSS/U
01/16/11 IOWA 59 @ MINN 69 +11.5 137.5 WIN/U
01/09/11 IOWA 52 @ PURDUE 75 +14.5 135 LOSS/U
12/18/10 IOWA 59 @ DRAKE 52 -4.5 1 29 WIN/U

- Michigan Last 5 Home games:


Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result

01/22/11 MINN 69 @ MICH 64 -1.5 128 LOSS/O
01/12/11 OHIOST 68 @ MICH 64 +11 126.5 WIN/O
01/09/11 KAN 67 @ MICH 60 +10.5 136 WIN/U
01/02/11 PENNST 69 @ MICH 76 -5.5 123 WIN/O
12/28/10 PURDUE 80 @ MICH 57 +4.5 123 LOSS/O

- Games played the last 3 years v. Iowa:

MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

Game # 3 - Duquesne at home v. Dayton (opened Duquesne -7.5)

- Games played at DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons v. Dayton:
DUQUESNE is 1-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
DUQUESNE is 1-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

- Duquesne Last 5 Home Games

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
01/22/11 CHARLO 67 @ DUQ 83 -15.5 143 WIN/O
01/15/11 TEMP 66 @ DUQ 78 -1 135 WIN/O
01/12/11 STLOU 45 @ DUQ 67 -9.5 133 WIN/U
12/22/10 GEOMAS 85 @ DUQ 79 -3.5 138.5 LOSS/O
12/18/10 IUPUI 54 @ DUQ 81 N/A

- Dayton Last 5 Away Games

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
01/15/11 DAY 76 @ XAVIER 81 +7 127 WIN/O
01/09/11 DAY 50 @ MASS 55 -2 137.5 LOSS/U
01/05/11 DAY 60 @ STLOU 50 +1.5 125.5 WIN/U
12/22/10 DAY 69 @ SETON 65 +8 137 WIN/U
12/11/10 DAY 71 @ OLDOM 74 +11.5 125 WIN/O

- RECORD ANALYSIS:


Straight Up Against The Spread
Dayton

Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 12-2 3-4 15-6 5-3 5-2 10-5
Last 10 Games 5-1 2-2 7-3 4-2 3-1 7-3



Straight Up Against The
Spread
Duquesne

Home Away Total Home Away Total
Year to Date 8-3 6-2 14-5 4-2 6-0 10-2
Last 10 Games 5-1 4-0 9-1 4-1 5-0 9-1

- PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
02/21/10 Dayton 71 @ Duquesne - 73 Dayton -4.5 136.5 DUQ/O
01/09/10 Duquesne 72 @ Dayton - 78 Dayton -11 131.5 DUQ/O

Game # 4 - Michigan St. home v. Indiana

- Michigan State coach Tom Izzo has never lost to Indiana coach Tom Crean
- Michigan State looks to continue its home domination of Indiana and avoid its first four-game losing streak in four years when the teams meet Sunday night.
- The Spartans haven't lost four in a row since Jan. 27-Feb. 7, 2007.

Playing its first game without suspended guard Korie Lucious, Michigan State got 27 points from Kalin Lucas and 13 from Durrell Summers. Freshman Keith Appling came in averaging 19.3 minutes, but was forced to play a season-high 35 due to Lucious' absence and scored five points.

- A visit from the Hoosiers may be just what the Spartans need to get back on track. Michigan State has won 15 straight home matchups since a 62-56 loss Feb. 28, 1991.

Crean served on Izzo's staff from 1995-99 and played such a key role in recruiting that the Spartans coach gave Crean a championship ring after Michigan State won the national title in 2000.

Crean had left before that season to coach Marquette, and he hasn't beaten Izzo in four tries since.

However, Indiana (11-10, 2-6) ended a 19-game losing streak against ranked opponents by beating No. 20 Illinois 52-49 on Thursday. The last time the Hoosiers won back-to-back games against Top 25 teams was Feb. 16 and 19, 2008, when they beat Michigan State and Purdue.

- Michigan State has taken the last four meetings by an average of 19.0 points. The teams last met in East Lansing on Feb. 7, 2009 - a 75-47 Spartans victory.

- Michigan State Last 5 Home Games

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
01/27/11 MICH 61 @ MICHST 57 -11 127 LOSS/U
01/15/11 NWEST 67 @ MICHST 71 -8.5 141 LOSS/U
01/11/11 WISC 61 @ MICHST 64 -4.5 121 LOSS/O
12/31/10 MINN 62 @ MICHST 71 -7.5 137.5 WIN/U
12/22/10 TEXAS 67 @ MICHST 55 -6.5 142 LOSS/U

- Indiana Last 5 Away Games

Date Matchup Line Total ATS Result
01/23/11 IND 77 @ IOWA 91 +2 137 LOSS/O
01/20/11 IND 60 @ WISC 69 +13.5 128 WIN/O
01/09/11 IND 81 @ NWEST 93 +6.5 141 LOSS/O
01/04/11 IND 63 @ MINN 67 +9 137 WIN/U
12/11/10 IND 62 @ KEN 81 +12.5 141 LOSS/O

Game # 5 - Stetson v. Belmont (H)
- NO WRITE UP / NO LINE YET

Game # 6 - Toledo v. Kent St. (H) Line opened - 19 Kent St.
-NO WRITE UP

Game # 7 - Northern Iowa v. Missouri St. (H) Line opened - 7 Missouri St.
- NO WRITE UP

Game # 8 - UL - Lafayette v. South Alabama (H) Line opened - 2.5 (SA)
-NO WRITE UP

Game # 9 - Iona v. Loyola Maryland (H) Lined opened - 4.5 Iona
-NO WRITE UP

*** Thanks again for any input; I greatly appreciate it! ***

Last edited by Gordan Gekoo; 01-30-2011 at 01:08 AM.
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  #2  
Old 01-30-2011, 08:36 AM
Go Bengals!
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: The 708 (The O.P.)
Posts: 1,954
Rewards: 281
The three I like are Duke Duquesne and Missouri State.
But those in a parlay on the moneyline.

Duke's mad it lost one game already.
Duquesne is rolling right now, Dayton so-so on road.
Missouri State beat them once already this year, now at home.

Best of luck on your decisions today G G!
__________________
MLB 2011
Overall Record = 114-109-18
Units Wagered = 9,790.6
Units +/- = +214.8

MLB PLAYOFFS 2011
Overall Record = 5-6
Units Wagered = 743.0
Units +/- = -144.5

MLB 2012
Overall Record = 16-18-5
Units Wagered = 2,316.00(TIED 592.5 to win 525)
Units +/- = -21.0
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  #3  
Old 01-30-2011, 10:48 AM
Gordan Gekko
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: South Florida
Posts: 31
Rewards: 33
Thanks Cook! Good luck to you as well; very suprised by the lack of feedback from the mall, so thanks for coming through
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  #4  
Old 01-30-2011, 11:14 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Youngstown
Posts: 147
Rewards: 452
Heres my thoughts on the four you wrote up. Duke should win easily but with the way the better teams played this weekend, like Duke here in the first half. Michigan coming off a big win against MSU might have a little let down 7 1/2 may be too many. Duq good team and they are on fire 6-0 ats in conf and 5-0 SU in last five. Now for mich st. they are a mess. I would stay far away from this game. Should be MSU but this game stinks. So to wrap up, Like Duke first half, Duq is definite play, Stay away from the big ten today. Hope this helps, probably told you nothing you did not know already. Just warn again tread lightly in the big ten.

GL GG
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  #5  
Old 01-30-2011, 11:40 AM
Gordan Gekko
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: South Florida
Posts: 31
Rewards: 33
Bufford - thanks buddy; here are my plays: Missed your Big Ten input - hopefully the Great Lake Big Ten Plays can come through: Good to luck to you and again, thanks for the input - very insightful!

Duke first half (-4.5) *2 Units
Michigan St. (-11) * 3 Units
Rhode Island (+1) *3 Units
Belmont (-26) * 3 Units
Duquesne (-8) * 2 Units
Lipscomb (-17.5) * 1 Units
S. Alabama (-3) " 0.5 Units
Drake (+5.5) 0.5 Units
Miami (+9) " 0.5 Units
Detroit (+3.5) * 0.5 Units
Providence (+4.5) 0.5 Units
Wright St. (+3) 0.5 Units
Maryland (-1.5) 0.5 Units
Northern Iowa (+6.5) 0.5 Units
Washington (-3) 0.5 Units
Niagara (+13) 0.5 Units
Michigan (-7) 0.5 Units
Kent St. (-19) 0.5 Units
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