Sunday's Play--It's Been Awhile !!

Keith · #1 01-31-2010, 08:47 AM

haven't posted in awhile as I've been crazy busy at work. Have a major trial starting a week from tomorrow, so I don't anticipate posting too much until after that is done. Don't have my notes with me, so I don't have the record, but I've certainly won more than I've lost--especially recently.

For Sunday I like St. Joseph's +7 from Duquesne. Here's why:

Duquesne is 10-10 (1-5 conference) with an RPI of 111. They are coming off a 36 point thrashing by Xavier. Before that they beat St. Bonny's but they had lost 5 in a row before that (which means they limp in having lost 6 of their last 7). They are 0-5 ATS at home. The schedule maker has f*cked with them for awhile. They've alternated one home game and one road game for their last 10 games (since 12/19). That has to suck.

St. Joe's is 8-12 (2-4 conference) with an RPI of 167. They lost at home to UMass on 1/27 but before that they'd won 3 in a row. They've beaten Dayton and BC on the road this year. They are 5-2 ATS against Duquesne since 1997.

Let's check the overall numbers. St. Joe's averages 70.7 ppg, while Duquesne averages 66.8 ppg. St. Joe's has a free throw percentage of 72.7% while Duquesne shoots a miserable 60.3% from the stripe. St. Joe's has a better field goal percentage (41.5% to 40.9%) and a much better 3 point field goal percentage (32% to 24.8%). But what about recently you ask ? Well, over the past 5 games, St. Joe's has a field goal percentage of 41.6% and they've allowed their opponents to shoot 41.4%. Duquesne however has a field goal percentage over their last 5 games of only 38.3% and they've allowed their opponents to shoot 45.8%.

St. Joe's wins this game straight up. But I'll take the 7 points. I like this game alot.

Sunday's play is St. Joseph's +7.