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  #76  
Old 02-14-2019, 09:38 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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After wk 13 in college bball, I would recommend seriously looking at dogs and contrarian plays. Wednesday was a big lesson in that. Good teams get leg weary, I think and hit a late season slump where they are just not as sharp. Of coure, their lines climb ever higher.
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  #77  
Old 02-16-2019, 01:33 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/16 Note: since 2/6 Gavazzi's plays ON FAVS >= 7 are 3-12 ATS. The rest of his plays , Favs <= -6' and Dogs went 12-8.
His systems are mostly on the better teams and as season wears on these are bigger and bigger favorites.

I will continue to post his plays...

Gavazzi systems for 2/16...These Lines are Real Early. Probably overnite I will track them using closing lines...

Favs <= -6' and Dogs 12-8 from 2/6 - 2/15

Iowa -3'
ISU +2'
butl -6'
Tenn +3'
Maryland +7
Nebr -5

Favs >= -7 3-12 from 2/6 - 2/15

Gonzaga -16'
NC -16'
Nev -21
Pur -12'
Va -18'
Tex Tech -7

GL
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  #78  
Old 02-16-2019, 02:04 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Was looking around the Net and ran across an interesting contrarian article...
The gist of it was PLAY ON Dogs with bad records vs Teams with good SU Records in Feb and Mar.
The criteria they listed was dogs with <= 30% SU WL% vs teams with >= 70% SU WL % in Feb and March. It said VMI had won recently as a 23 pt dog using this. They posted 2 plays for Sat., both Road Dogs...

VMI +20' @ Furman
Char +12' @ Old Dominion

I ran the Home Dogs <= 30% vs Visitors >= 70%...My thinking is even real bad teams don't usually lay down in front of their home fans. Visiting coaches may feel like why beat a dead horse in fron of the home fans. anyway...

They are below...again, these are early overnite lines.

Wyoming +21 vs Nevada
UNC - Wilm +10 vs Hofstra
Tenn Tech +15 vs Belmont
Incar Word +11 vs Abl Christ
N Hampshire +14 vs Stony Brook
Kennesaw St +24 vs Lipscomb
Portland +16 vs San Francisco
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  #79  
Old 02-17-2019, 12:49 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Gavazzi Systems 2/17

Favs <=-6' & dogs
Villanova -4

Favs >=-7
Cincinnati -12
Houston -18

HDs <= 30% SU win % vs RFs >= 70% Feb/Mar
Tulane +18
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Old 02-17-2019, 12:52 PM
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