Tournament Trends/Notes

[ryhenry09]

Round 1:

#1 seeds off BB W, favs of 25<pts are 13-3 ATS
#2 seeds are 8-22 ATS vs opp off W
#3 seeds off SU fav Loss are 28-1 SU, 21-7-1 ATS
#3 off BB Wins are 6-14 ATS
#4 seeds are 19-9 ATS as favs of 9< pts
#4 seeds off SU Loss are 33-13 ATS
#5 seeds that are .710< are 17-10 ATS
#6 seeds off su,ats Loss are 30-18 ATS
#9 seeds are 2-6 ATS as favs 3> pts

Conf Tourney Champs in Rd 1:

ACC- 2-5 ATS, Big East- 3-13 ATS, Big West- 1-4 ATS, Colonial- 11-5 ATS, CUSA- 1-5 ATS, Horizon- 6-2 ATS, MAC- 6-3 ATS, MVC- 2-5 ATS, MWC- 3-7 ATS, WAC- 3-7 ATS, WCC- 2-6 ATS

BEST SU Records in Rd 1:

Kenty- 16-1 SU, Conn- 14-1 SU, Purdue- 11-0 SU, Zags- 5-1 SU, NC- 16-1 SU, Duke- 10-1 SU, GTown- 9-1 SU, Wisky- 6-1 SU, Kan- 17-2 SU

WORST SU Records in Rd 1:

BYU- 0-7 SU, Ark- 1-4 SU

BEST ATS Record in Rd 1:

Butler- 5-1 ATS, Ind- 4-1 ATS, Kent St- 3-1 ATS, GTown- 8-1 ATS, Pur- 6-2 ATS, UCLA- 6-2 ATS, Miss St- 5-2 ATS

WORST ATS Record in Rd 1:

Marq- 1-6 ATS, Oreg- 0-6 ATS, Ark- 1-4 ATS, Zags- 0-5 ATS, Conn- 2-9 ATS, Duke- 2-5 ATS

BEST Conf ATS Records in Rd 1:

Horizon- 8-3 ATS, MVC- 13-6 ATS, Colonial- 7-4 ATS, Big West- 7-4 ATS

WORST Conf ATS Records in Rd 1:

WCC- 0-5 ATS, WAC- 1-3 ATS, Ivy- 1-8 ATS

**ACC is 31-9 SU L5 yrs in Rd 1

**MWC is 2-11 SU L9 yrs in Rd 1

[ryhenry09]

Round 2:

#1 seeds are 1-11 ATS off 3+ su,ats Wins
#1 seed favs of 8.5< pts vs opp off SU Dog Win are 11-0 SU, 10-1 ATS
#4 seeds are 6-18 ATS
#5 seed dogs are 12-4 ATS
#7 seed dogs of 3>pts are 13-23 ATS (2-13 ATS vs opp off BB W)
#8 seeds are 21-13 ATS (9-2 ATS vs opp off BB su,ats W)
#9 seed dogs off SU Dog Win are 5-15 ATS
#10 seeds are 14-6 ATS
#13 or worse seeds are 4-25 SU, 7-21 ATS

**Favs of 4-6 pts are 6-10 ATS
**Favs of 4<pts are 19-31 ATS
**Dogs of 8.5-10 pts are 16-8 ATS

BEST SU Records in Rd 2:

Duke- 10-1 SU, UCLA- 9-1 SU, GTown- 5-1 SU, Kan- 7-0 SU, Mich St- 8-1 SU, Ari- 5-1 SU, Pitt- 5-2 SU

WORST SU Records in Rd 2:

Miss St- 0-4 SU, Xav- 3-6 SU

BEST ATS Record in Rd 2:

Kan- 9-0 ATS, Vandy- 3-0 ATS, Pur- 6-2 ATS, Louis- 6-2 ATS, Ari- 5-1 ATS, Mem- 5-2 ATS, Tex- 5-2 ATS

WORST ATS Record in Rd 2:

Stan- 0-7 ATS, Wisky- 2-5 ATS

BEST Conf ATS Records in Rd 2:

Pac 10- 11-0 ATS vs opp off BB su,ats Wins........SEC- 13-4 ATS as dogs 2> pts........ Big East is 14-5 ATS as dogs........... Big 12 is 25-10 ATS........... MVC is 5-0 ATS as dogs of 7< pts

WORST Conf ATS Records in Rd 2:

Big West- 0-4 ATS, Big East- 5-11 ATS Favs, ACC- 3-14 ATS as favs 10< pts, WAC is 1-5 ATS as DD Dogs, SEC- 6-15 ATS as favs, CUSA- 5-14 ATS off su,ats W

***CAA is 0-6 SU in Rd 2

[upinya83]

thanks ryhenry, good info here

[ryhenry09]

SWEET 16:

#1 seeds off BB su,ats W are 16-4 ATS
#2 seeds are 12-5 ATS vs opp off SU dog win
#4 seeds are 2-8 ATS as dogs vs opp off BB su,ats Wins
#5 seeds are 5-3 ATS vs #1
#6 seeds are 1-8 ATS off DD ATS Win
#7 or worse seeds are 2-9 ATS as dogs

** Favs of 6> pts are 30-2 SU, 20-12 ATS if this is 2nd yr in a row in the Sweet 16

** Sweet 16 returnees as #1 or #2 seed are 42-12 SU, if they scored 75>pts in last gm they are 29-5 SU, 21-13 ATS, if scored 75> pts last gm and off DD Win they are 25-2 SU, 19-8 ATS

**Favs of 9> pts are 19-9 ATS vs opp off BB su,ats Wins

**Dogs of 11> pts are 7-21 ATS

**Dogs off BB ATS Loss are 9-4 ATS

**Teams off 1pt Win are 1-5 ATS

**Favs off BB ATS Loss are 4-9 ATS

BEST/WORST ATS in Sweet 16:

Mem- 5-1 ATS, MSU- 5-1 ATS, Louis- 5-0 ATS, WV- 3-1 ATS, Wisky- 3-1 ATS, Pitt- 0-5 ATS, UCLA- 1-6 ATS, GTown- 1-4 ATS, Kan- 3-8 ATS, Duke- 2-6 ATS

CONF trends in Sweet 16:

Big East- 6-12 ATS favs, CUSA- 4-1 ATS Favs, Pac 10- 5-2 ATS favs and 1-6 ATS dogs, Big 10- 15-5 ATS, SEC- 8-3 ATS dogs, A10- 7-2 ATS vs opp off ATS W, ACC- 8-15 ATS favs


ELITE 8:

#1 seeds are 5-13 ATS
#2 seeds are 2-7 ATS off DD ATS Win
#3 seeds are 7-3 ATS
#4 seeds are 8-1 SU, 7-1-1 ATS
#5 seeds are 4-0 SU,ATS
#6 seeds are 0-6 SU
#7 seeds are 0-5 SU
#8 seeds are 3-1 ATS

***Teams that score 67 or less points are 8-30 SU,ATS
***Teams that score 85 or more points are 27-7 SU, 25-8-1 ATS

***Teams off BB ATS Loss are 5-2 ATS
***Favs off BB DD Wins are 3-8 ATS

CONF Trends for Elite 8:

A10- 4-1 ATS, Pac 10- 7-2 ATS off DD Win, Big 10- 7-2 ATS off DD Win, Big East- 0-4 ATS off dog Win, ACC- 2-5 ATS, Big 12- 1-6 ATS, CUSA- 1-4 ATS

[ryhenry09]

Just a couple more tidbits.......


***TOTALS of 125.5 or less are 4-16 UNDER L4yrs

***Kansas is 11-0 SU,ATS vs opp off Dog Win

***Mich St is 19-2 SU,ATS vs opp off ATS Win of 5 or more points

[ryhenry09]

Originally Posted by upinya83

thanks ryhenry, good info here

No prob and thanks Bro. Tough, Tough bracket this year. Hopefully some of this can be of help to fill that sucker out and win a lil' coin as well..

Will be going to the Friday session here in Buffalo,, should be a good tourney.

[nolesfan08]

looks like the zags are the play....thanks ry

[JR7302001]

Oh yeah me too, going to see Syracuse and Zags/State games.

[winslow]

Thanks ryhenry,

I appreciate all the effort you put into the trends, and was wondering if you have any that stand out in your mind using the trends.

I like trends through all sports, but but know college ball very well, so even with your info, I still can't make an informed decision. Anything you'd like to share, I thank you in advance.