Tuesday's Don't Make Sense Play

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Lost with West Virginia last night, bringing me to an overall record of 6-4 for my last 10, and 4-2 for the "don't make sense" plays. Pretty sure that dogs, for whatever reason, don't fit the "DMS" mode, so I won't be playing them as a "don't make sense" play.

For Tuesday, I see that Wichita State (RPI 176), who is 11-13 on the year (5-8 in the Missouri Valley), and who is coming off a loss to Evansville, is a 6 point favorite over Missouri State. Missouri State is 10-14 (RPI 174) and is 3-10 in the Missouri Valley conference, but they just beat Evansville on 2/4, and on 1/14, they spanked Wichita State by 13 points. Not saying that Wichita shouldn't be favored here, but by 6 points ??? You'd have to be an idiot to bet Wichita State here, right ??

Wrong !! The Shockers are gonna win this one by double digits. Here's why. Other than beating a weak C. Michigan team on 11/14, Missouri State has not won on the road this year. They are 3-6 ATS away and 3-9 ATS against conference opponents. They shoot a field goal percentage of LESS THAN 40% !! Since 1997, Wichita State is 16-9 ATS against Missouri State. These two teams look evenly matched on paper, but the Shockers are gonna blast Missouri State tonight.

Tuesday's "don't make sense" play is Wichita State -6.

[vikesfan]

Good Luck On This Keith

[Keith]

Originally Posted by vikesfan

Good Luck On This Keith

thanks vikes.

[fat-freddie]

Good luck man, lets get it back tonight





Fats............................................

[Keith]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Good luck man, lets get it back tonight





Fats............................................

thanks Fats

[mikkii10]

going to post a few more there young man?

[Keith]

Originally Posted by mikkii10

going to post a few more there young man?

not sure what you mean. Wichita State is my "DMS" play for today, although it is not my only play for tonight.

[Windy City Irish]

gl keeth....im waiting for a GOY...very sad there hasnt been one yet

[Scottish Rebel]

BOL tonight Keith!!!

[MR.FUGI]

Good luck on the play.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Windy City Irish

gl keeth....im waiting for a GOY...very sad there hasnt been one yet

if this one wins, then this is it. LOL

[RanPicks]

GL Buddy

[MasterCapper]

Keith

As someone who follows the MVC pretty closely, I think this line DOES make sense. I asked three friends to "guess the line," and they guessed: Wichita St. by 7, Wichita St. by 4.5, and Wichita St. by 6.5.

[ttko]

good luck man

[MasterCapper]

fwiw, i still like the pick.