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  #76  
Old 01-15-2019, 04:52 PM
AuburnKid AuburnKid is online now
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Wake back to +9.5 -115 at Bookmaker now.






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  #77  
Old 01-15-2019, 07:02 PM
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Wake now +8.5
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  #78  
Old 01-15-2019, 09:52 PM
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Wake wins SU. Nice call.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons 71-67
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  #79  
Old 01-15-2019, 11:59 PM
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Lost Georgetown by a half for a 2-2 night.

Wednesday plays:

Texas A&M +5
Penn St pk
SMU pk

All plays 16-17
Home favs 4-3
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  #80  
Old 01-16-2019, 04:27 AM
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  #81  
Old 01-16-2019, 03:21 PM
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Penn State -1.5 now a home favorite.
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  #82  
Old 01-16-2019, 10:37 PM
Bustamove22 Bustamove22 is offline
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0-3 on Wednesday. Not sure what's going on, but need to turn it around soon.

All Plays 16-20
Home favs 4-4


Play for thursday:

Nebraska +1
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  #83  
Old 01-17-2019, 01:02 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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Hey Guys... Just found this thread....

I take these plays and have been filtering them thru the Pct of bets on a game and the pct of $ BET ON A GAME. When the line moves with favs and dogs in this system the record is:
Favs 3-4
Dogs 8-3

Reverse Line Movement, Money evenly split etc. indicates Sharps on both sides or More Respected Money on the other side.
Hey, I ain't no NYK or Golden Greek, but, I know you ain't gonna' win in the long run goin' agin the SMART MONEY.
The games that I have flagged. have gone 5-13 in this system.
So, if you bet opposite those games. you would be 13-5.

If you would like, I will check each game for ya' and tell ya' where I think the smart money is. What you do with it after that is up to you.

This is a good system. I bet it a long time ago before there was sports insights and such and it did win most years.
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  #84  
Old 01-17-2019, 01:10 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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For Thurs 1/17 so far...

Neb opened at +1 and not has moved to +1'. Most of the early bets and money are on MSU.
and it looks like most of the Sharp money is too.
But, it's only 1 am, so still very early...At this point I would take MSU -1'.
But, I always wait closer to game time....
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Last edited by southerncoach; 01-17-2019 at 01:13 AM.
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  #85  
Old 01-17-2019, 06:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by southerncoach View Post
I take these plays and have been filtering them thru the Pct of bets on a game and the pct of $ BET ON A GAME. When the line moves with favs and dogs in this system the record is:
Favs 3-4
Dogs 8-3

Reverse Line Movement, Money evenly split etc. indicates Sharps on both sides or More Respected Money on the other side.
Hey, I ain't no NYK or Golden Greek, but, I know you ain't gonna' win in the long run goin' agin the SMART MONEY.
The games that I have flagged. have gone 5-13 in this system.
So, if you bet opposite those games. you would be 13-5.

If you would like, I will check each game for ya' and tell ya' where I think the smart money is. What you do with it after that is up to you.

This is a good system. I bet it a long time ago before there was sports insights and such and it did win most years.
Hey southerncoach, I really like the idea of knowing where the smart money is on these plays. I just don't want to confuse anyone on which are regular plays and which should be played opposite because of smart money on the other side. If you could start a separate thread with say "unranked home vs ranked- smart money" I think we could track both without any confusion and may have some valuable info and data to use going forward. Thanks for your help
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  #86  
Old 01-17-2019, 06:32 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is online now
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OK Sure...

yeah... I agree don't want to create unnecessary confusion...
BTW, don't give up on these plays...
I used to bet this long time ago...I remember, it would start out winning 80% or so...then after about 2 or 2 1/2 weeks would flatten out...
then win again...one year it went something like 22-4 streak in Feb...
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  #87  
Old 01-17-2019, 07:29 PM
mark12 mark12 is online now
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Yeah I have been following it here and I think over about the last 5 years we have had 4 winning years and 1 that broke about even. I'm not good at handicapping CBB so this is about my only option lol.
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  #88  
Old 01-17-2019, 11:59 PM
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Cold streak continues.
0-1

All Plays 16-21
Home favs 4-4


Play for Friday:

Ohio State -2
home favorite
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  #89  
Old 01-19-2019, 03:59 AM
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0-1

All Plays 16-22
Home favs 4-5


Plays for Saturday. Busy day. Good luck.

Wisconsin+3
Miami Florida+7
Purdue-7
West Virginia+5
Notre Dame+2
Baylor+4
South Florida+6
Texas-4
Vanderbilt+3
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  #90  
Old 01-19-2019, 09:12 AM
actionsportscentral actionsportscentral is offline
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Yeah guys this thing is ice cold at the moment. I will say that it has only had one losing year in the 7 years I've been tracking it - but we have had bad streaks like this at times. Hopefully with the 9 games today we get our turnaround QUICKLY.

Good luck everyone!
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  #91  
Old 01-19-2019, 10:52 PM
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Got off to a good start but closed 0-3 to end 4-5. 1-1 on the bigger plays.

4-5

All Plays 20-27
Home favs 5-6

Sunday:
Boston College +6
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  #92  
Old 01-20-2019, 01:26 PM
actionsportscentral actionsportscentral is offline
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My records show 21-26 on the year now (not sure which games you guys played that I didn't, but not a big deal....close enough)

Here's why I'm posting - there have been 14 of these games that have been decided by 4 points or less ATS or have gone into OT. We are 4-10 in those games.

SInce Jan 12, we are 9-20. 0-7 in games decided by 4 points or less. Hence the bad streak.....
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  #93  
Old 01-20-2019, 03:26 PM
Roky36 Roky36 is offline
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Thanks ASC.......great insight! BC +6 wins outright today.
Hope this starts the run we've been waiting for
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  #94  
Old 01-20-2019, 05:01 PM
mark12 mark12 is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by actionsportscentral View Post
My records show 21-26 on the year now (not sure which games you guys played that I didn't, but not a big deal....close enough)

Here's why I'm posting - there have been 14 of these games that have been decided by 4 points or less ATS or have gone into OT. We are 4-10 in those games.

SInce Jan 12, we are 9-20. 0-7 in games decided by 4 points or less. Hence the bad streak.....
Not sure which one is different. All the plays are posted if you want to check. We are playing early lines so maybe one game changed.
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2017 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICK 7 CHAMPION 68-29 70%
2017 NFL Pick 5 Contest 49-33 60%
2016 4th place NFL Pick 5 Contest 62%
2016 4th place NCAAF Pick 7 Contest 61%
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  #95  
Old 01-21-2019, 09:37 AM
mark12 mark12 is online now
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No plays Monday.

1-0 Sunday
All Plays 21-27
Home favs 5-6
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2017 NFL Pick 5 Contest 49-33 60%
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  #96  
Old 01-21-2019, 01:32 PM
shoebob shoebob is online now
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your NOT using the right system.....its home teams that are favored over a ranked visiting team........WAY better system
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  #97  
Old 01-22-2019, 03:17 AM
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Tuesdays plays with 3 big ones.

South Carolina+7
Kansas St-1
Butler-1
Alabama-1
No. Illinois +8.5 - will post at the present line but personally gonna wait and see what this line is later before betting. Can't imagine it drops.
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  #98  
Old 01-22-2019, 01:23 PM
Dapper Dan Dapper Dan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mark12 View Post
Tuesdays plays with 3 big ones.

South Carolina+7
Kansas St-1
Butler-1
Alabama-1
No. Illinois +8.5 - will post at the present line but personally gonna wait and see what this line is later before betting. Can't imagine it drops.

Not sure if you guys use this system but playing ON the loser from current seasons first match up is at home for 2nd seasons meeting, and they are FAVORED i.e. KANSAS STATE...has been VERY PROFITABLE for me. So Texas Tech won the first game on 1/5/19 and now the loser of that game Kansas State us at home tonight and are FAVORED! Good luck!!
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  #99  
Old 01-22-2019, 02:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shoebob View Post
your NOT using the right system.....its home teams that are favored over a ranked visiting team........WAY better system
Your way produces fewer plays but a slightly better winning %. Over the years this system has produced very good numbers as we are playing it now.
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  #100  
Old 01-22-2019, 02:17 PM
actionsportscentral actionsportscentral is offline
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For the record I'm not doing the MAC games. Same reason I haven't done the WCC. Just not the depth of talent and quality reliable home court advantages.
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