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  #51  
Old 01-30-2019, 01:20 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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OK, I posted 2 plays that were not UnRanked Homers.
Mark12 pointed out that NC state was ranked. I missed it.
He also pointed out that OSU was @ Michigan. I told him that since I posted them,
I would count them, however, they don't fit the system so it would skew the record.

I checked back on the ala game and saw it at -2' making it a PLAY ON, forgot to check back on the Nevada-unlv game. I punched it in at +9' and it went to +11. I bet Nevada at -9' and lost it so I am counting it as a Loss. that makes me 2-4 on the night, winning only ala -2 and tex -2. the 2 favs. Unfortunately, I didn't bet more on them like was recommended. what's that saying from the movie. "Stupid is as Stupid does".
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  #52  
Old 01-30-2019, 01:28 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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The thing about playing this smart money angle is sometimes these sharps will pile a bunch of money on a game late, like purdue Sat and Nevada Last nite. You have to watch the thing almost to tipoff or you can end up on the wrong side.

I will track the >=10 teams in separately from now on. the last 4 have covered. I don't know how they did before the Gonzaga-santa clara game.
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  #53  
Old 01-30-2019, 01:40 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2 of the games were HDs with Revenge. Both lost. vandy and Miami-oh. they both lost.
I will track these in another thread. Hope I haven't confused everyone. Sometimes this stuff confuses me.
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  #54  
Old 01-30-2019, 02:20 AM
mark12 mark12 is online now
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Great info sc. Thanks for the updates on smart money. It does help.
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  #55  
Old 01-30-2019, 06:47 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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update minus the 2 plays I posted wrong. they split . the rest 2-4

PLAY ON UNRANKED HOMER: 19-16
PLAY AG UNRANKED HOMER: 20-11
PLAY ON UNR UNR HOM 10>: 4-0 Last 4, gonz over santa cl, va over ND, duke ov ND, NC ov GT.
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  #56  
Old 01-30-2019, 02:39 PM
kane kane is offline
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Coach, you might want to check out the Marq/Butler game, for some reason Butler is laying 2.5, the public predictably is taking Marquette, but there's been minimal movement, the line is holding steady at 2.5, right now Butler looks like a sharp side
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  #57  
Old 01-30-2019, 04:14 PM
kane kane is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kane View Post
Coach, you might want to check out the Marq/Butler game, for some reason Butler is laying 2.5, the public predictably is taking Marquette, but there's been minimal movement, the line is holding steady at 2.5, right now Butler looks like a sharp side
Update: The majority of books have now gone to 3 on Butler
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  #58  
Old 01-30-2019, 05:18 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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butler -3 over Marquette...Majority of bets on Marq, Money evenly split. Line has been back and forth -2' to -3. Now at -3.

Butler is a PLAY ON Unranked Homer.


Va. Tecj -8 over Mia-fl. Majority of bets and $$ on Va. tech. Line gone from -7 to -7' to 8. Smart money on va. tech makes

Va. tech a PLAY AG unranked Homer.

back next hour with more...
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  #59  
Old 01-30-2019, 06:47 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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DePaul +6 PLAY ON Unranked Homer
Wake +9' PLAY ON Unranked Homer

back soon.
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  #60  
Old 01-31-2019, 03:14 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Bad night for PLAY ONs 0-3. PLAY went 1-0. I didn't play LSU/TX A&M. Couldn't tell what was going on in that one.

PLAY ON Unranked Homers: 19-19 …. On a 2-7 slide Last 2 Nights
PLAY AG Unranked HOmers: 21-11

Last edited by southerncoach; 01-31-2019 at 03:19 AM.
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  #61  
Old 01-31-2019, 05:24 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Pur 7 over PSU...Opened at -6'...went to -7'...now back down to 7. Majority of bets and $$ on Purdue.
PURDUE -7 PLAY AG Unranked HD

Gonzaga -14 over BYU...opened -13'/-14...mostly at 14...briefly -14'...then back to -14.
majority of bets and $$ on Gonzaga. Blew out Portland & Santa Clara on road but, rest of road games never won by more than 13. Most of bets & $$ on Gonzaga.

PLAY ON BYU +14 as Unranked HOMER
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  #62  
Old 02-01-2019, 12:19 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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update
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 19-20
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 22-11
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  #63  
Old 02-01-2019, 05:20 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/1

Michigan -5' over IOWA is PLAY AG Unranked HD...
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  #64  
Old 02-03-2019, 12:49 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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sorry. not posting this. My internet was down all day Saturday except for about 30 minutes.
anyway Fri Michigan Lost as Play AG
Sat tn,ky & NC won as Play AG
Sat Kan & Miss Lost as Play on...

PLAY ON Unranked Homer 20-21
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 25-12
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  #65  
Old 02-04-2019, 04:46 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/4 Unranked Homer. Okla +2' over ISU. most bets and $$$ on ISU. Line from -2 to -2'.


ISU -2' is a PLAY AG Unranked Homer.
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  #66  
Old 02-05-2019, 12:10 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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ISU Lost...Updated record...

PLAY ON Unranked Homer 20-21
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 25-13
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  #67  
Old 02-05-2019, 05:13 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/5 Tue Unranked Homers...
KSU vs KANsas...6 of 10 bets & $$$ on KSU...Line opened +1, Now -3

Smart $$$ says PLAY ON KSU -3 as Unranked HD


Illinois vs Mich ST. Majority of bets and $$$ on MIch ST. Line moved 1/2 to -10'

Looks Like Smart $$$ says PLAY AG Illinois +10', PLAY ON Mich ST...


Majority of bets & $$$ on Michigan, but, Line 10 to +9' says Smarter $$$ on Rutgers

More Respected $$$ says PLAY ON Rutgers +9' as Unranked Homer

3 in 4 Bets and almost as many $$$ on Syracuse, However, Line down to 2' from 3


Smarter $$$ so far says PLAY AG Syracuse, PLAY ON Fla St +2'...
3 of these games are 1/2 pt moves. will watch them for Late Sharp Money before tip off...

Last edited by southerncoach; 02-05-2019 at 05:15 PM.
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  #68  
Old 02-05-2019, 05:32 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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MSU opened -10, Early -9', Late -10 then -10' a few -11s.

Rutgers opened +10, Early +9', has stayed at +9' so far...


Opened FSU +3, went to +2', Mostly stayed at +2' so far...
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  #69  
Old 02-05-2019, 06:22 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Oh my...at about 3 or 4 minutes to Tip...sharp money came in on Syracuse
to push it back to -3. Oh well, locked it in at FSU +2'.
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  #70  
Old 02-06-2019, 05:07 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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PLAYON: 1-1, PLAY AG: 1-1

PLAY ON Unranked Homer 21-22
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 26-14
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  #71  
Old 02-06-2019, 05:45 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/6 Unranked Homers

Neb -3 vd Maryland...Public 2-1 bets on Maryland & more $$.
Line has moved -1' to -3 for Nebraska.

Smart $$ says PLAY ON Neb -3 as Unranked Homer
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  #72  
Old 02-06-2019, 05:58 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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gonna' wait on the other 3. later start times and 2 are 1/2 pt moves.

right now Minny looks like classic contrarian play. More bets on Wis, more $$ & Line move favord Minn.

big Majority of bets & $$ on Nevada. However,Line has moved a full point down -13' to -12'.

More bets & $$ on Miss st. Line went from LSU +3 to +2' then back to +3 indicating to me sharp money on both sides. Right now, seems books ok with some liability on Miss st. LSU would be the PLAY AG at this point. Will wait and see a little while.
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  #73  
Old 02-06-2019, 06:35 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Punchin in Minn +2' and CSU for reasons above.

Minn +2' a PLAY ON Unranked Homer...
CSU + 12' a PLAY ON Unranked Homer...

Miss St/LSU later...
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  #74  
Old 02-06-2019, 07:19 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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going with LSU +3 as a PLAY AG Unranked Homer.k

sharp $$ both sides. More $$ on Miss st. but Line mostly hasn't moved.
More respected money on LSU.
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  #75  
Old 02-07-2019, 12:00 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/6 results...
PLAYON: 0-3, PLAY AG: 1-0

PLAY ON Unranked Homer 21-25 … Playons tanking badly...started 9-1...12-24 since...
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 27-14 … started 13-5.... since 14-9...

Last edited by southerncoach; 02-07-2019 at 12:06 AM.
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