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  #76  
Old 02-07-2019, 04:50 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/7...
Hou -2 @ UCF. Majority of bets & $$ on HOU. Joes & Pros. Line -1' to -2.
Hou -2 is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer

Cinn -4 @ Mem. Cinn more bets & $$. Line open -3, to 3' then -4
Cinn -4 is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer.

Ind -2 vs Iowa. Classic Contrarian play here. Ind < 50% bets, More $$$. Line PK to -2
Indiana -2 is a PLAY ON the Unranked Homer.

GL
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  #77  
Old 02-07-2019, 10:05 PM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Play ag 2-0, play on 0-1...some Late got cinn -5 PUSH

PLAY ON Unranked Homer 21-26
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 29-14

Last edited by southerncoach; 02-07-2019 at 10:07 PM.
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  #78  
Old 02-09-2019, 07:02 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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2/9 Unranked Homer...

Miss st +5 vs. Ky...this Pros and Joes 3/4 bets and almost all of $$$ on KY. Line -3' to -5.
Smart $$$ says KY -5 is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer.

Clemson -3 vs. Va Tech. This one Pros against Joes. Bets favor Joes. $$ favor Clemson. Line -1 to -3 agin Clemson...
Smart $$$ says Clemson -3 is a PLAY ON the Unranked HOMER...

Okla +1 vs Tex Tech. 1PM start. not much action so far. Gonna watch this one …
baci later.
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  #79  
Old 02-09-2019, 09:06 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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WOW !! I called the KY-Mst game too early...
serious sharp money has come in on Miss. st. Line back down to +3'. Need to re-think this...
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  #80  
Old 02-09-2019, 10:40 AM
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These are some hard games. but, here goes on Clemson...based on what I see. This started out with Public on Va Tech and Sharps mostly on Clemson. Line moved -1 to -3 against Clemson.
Now, the $$ have moved from favoring Clemson to about EVEN. This indicates to me that sharp money has come in on Va Tech, but the line still being at -3. I think the more respected money is on Clemson here.
Clemson -3 is a PLAY ON the Unranked Homer … still...


still waiting on KY-Miss st and TTU-Okla...
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  #81  
Old 02-09-2019, 11:42 AM
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OK, KY @Miss St. Line opened at -3' or -4. Bets 3-1 for Ky and almost all $$ steamed it up to -5...Bets have stayed about the same …sharp money has come in on MIss st and steamed it back down to 3'...Smart $$ on both sides. KY still has decent edge in $$.
Line just ticked back up to -4. but stayed -3' some highly respected books.

I think the more respected money is on Kentucky. Therefore.
Kentucky -4 is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer.
this was a tuffy...still watching TTU-OKLA
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  #82  
Old 02-09-2019, 11:56 AM
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TTU @ OKLA... Bets and $$ about even...Line has briefly gone to -1' for Tex Tech then gone back to -1. think there is smart money pretty equal on both sides in a game that is just about pick'em.

I am passing on this one...

GL all...and may the Buzzer Beaters be with you...
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  #83  
Old 02-09-2019, 07:20 PM
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Play ag 0-0-1, play on 1-0...got push with KY -4
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 22-26 … 2-5 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 29-14 … 4-2 for week ...13 plays total this week...maybe 1 or 2 today...


am new to this type of betting. Learned valuable lesson today. If you are going to do this, wait and give the Pros a chance to play the thing out. I didn't pull the trigger on TEX TECH . I liked them, but, with who I like and about a buck fifty, you can buy a cup of coffee.

Last edited by southerncoach; 02-09-2019 at 07:24 PM.
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  #84  
Old 02-10-2019, 10:58 AM
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2/10 Hou -5 over Cinn #25...Public on Hou, Money pretty well split, Pros hittin' both sides, Line ping ponging between cinn +5 and +4'.

gonna' watch this one a little ...
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  #85  
Old 02-10-2019, 11:41 AM
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RLM against Hou real early. Now seems to be against Cinn. Money split, But Cincy looks contrarian & think little more cerebral money on them.

Cinn +4' is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer...
GL
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  #86  
Old 02-10-2019, 10:22 PM
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2/10 Play ag 0-1, play on 0-0...
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 22-26 … 2-5 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 29-15 … 4-3 for week ...
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  #87  
Old 02-11-2019, 04:27 AM
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2/11
One game today. TCU is an Unranked Homer vs Kansas. The last I have seen on this game or any other game on todays slate was early this morning. Apparantly something has gone haywire somewhere. So I am passing tonight because of lack of information. See you tomorrow
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  #88  
Old 02-11-2019, 07:14 AM
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OK , just me being dumb again. My modem got all balled up. I rebooted it and now I am ok. sheeesh...
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  #89  
Old 02-11-2019, 05:44 PM
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2/11 Kansas @ TCU
Public on KU. TCU less bets, more $$ is solidly contrarian play. Line opened TCU -2, then went to PK early at some ONLINE BOOKS. Sharps steamed it up to -2 and-2'. briefly went to -3 and back to -2 but mostly has stayed -2'.

Think smarter $$ on TCU -2' as a PLAY ON Unranked HOmer…

gl
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  #90  
Old 02-12-2019, 01:41 AM
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2/11 Play ag 0-0, play on 0-1...
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 22-27 … 0-1 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 29-15 … 0-0 for week ...

4 plays Tues...
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  #91  
Old 02-12-2019, 05:13 PM
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2/12 4 plays...sorry late with this.
smart money likes 3 favs 1 dog
Msu -2 PLAY AG
MIch -8 PLAY AG
buffalo -8 PLAY AG
Depaul +3' PLAY ON
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  #92  
Old 02-12-2019, 05:34 PM
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MSU -2, Public on MSU, More $$ on MSU, Looks like smart $$ on both sides, Line opened PK Now MSU -2. Indicates more respected $$ on MSU.

More respected $$ says MSU -2 is a PLAY AG Unranked Homer

Buffalo -8, PUBlic on Buff , More $$ on Buff, Akron has contrarian look, but Line has gone from -6' to -8 for Buffalo. Smarter $$ look to be on Buff.

Smarter $$ says Buffalo -8 is a PLAY AG Unranked HOmer.
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  #93  
Old 02-13-2019, 03:21 PM
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2/12 Tue, Play ag 1-2, play on 0-1...
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 22-28 … 0-2 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 30-17 … 1-2 for week ...
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  #94  
Old 02-14-2019, 08:44 AM
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2/13s play was OK ST +6' over TTU. It was a PLAY ON Unranked Homer. IT Lost of course.

I typed it in, and I think I must have forgot to hit the Post button...Oh, silly me...

2/12 Tue, Play ag 0-0, play on 0-1...
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 22-29 … 0-3 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 30-17 … 1-2 for week ...
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  #95  
Old 02-14-2019, 08:49 AM
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2/14 Gonzaga @LMU...-19' early,
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  #96  
Old 02-14-2019, 09:09 AM
southerncoach southerncoach is offline
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Update... since 1/30 this has given back a bunch, basically owing to the PLAY ON Homers going 5-17 since. the PLAY AG has gone 10-6 during that stretch. Someone posted in another thread that 'this thing is brutal'. That may be a bit of an understatement at this point. Even with playing against 47 of the plays going 30-17, the whole thing has a net 1.4 units won. If I have time, after the season, I will go back and check out the last couple of seasons to get more of an idea of what's goin' on with it.
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  #97  
Old 02-14-2019, 09:11 PM
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Gonz @LMU opened @ LMU +20'. got as low as +19' about 9am. been +19', +20 since.

Now at +20. 3/4 of bets and $$$ ON Gonzaga. Line favored LMU

Looks like smarter $$$ on LMU. LMU +20 is a PLAY ON Unranked Homer.
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  #98  
Old 02-15-2019, 05:45 PM
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OK, LMU gets a win for PLAY ON...tonight, Buffalo @ Toledo. Bets and $$ almost 50-50. Smarter money on Buffalo as Line moves from -2' to 4.

Buffalo is a PLAY AG the Unranked Homer.

GL & maybe can string together 2 wins in a row...
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  #99  
Old 02-16-2019, 01:11 AM
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OK, Buffalo eeked out a win for the PLAY AG...
updated records

2/15 Fri,
PLAY ON Unranked Homer 23-29 … 1-3 for week
PLAY AG Unranked Homer 31-17 … 2-2 for week ...
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  #100  
Old 02-16-2019, 10:48 AM
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WF +17 vs UNC... Wake a classic Contrarian play with 1/3 of bets and over half of $$$.
Line hasn't moved here, I don't think. other places been +16' at times. Saw it was at 16' at Pinnacle. Back in the day some guys never placed a bet without checking the Pinnacle line first. I believe the smart $$ are on WF. Sharps on both sides to be sure.

WF +17 a PLAY ON Unranked HOmer…

GL
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