Wednesday's Plays--Nothing Crazy About These Doggies Tonight !

[Keith]

first the re-cap. Won with Wright State last night, making me 5-1 for my last 6. For Wednesday, I like not one but two nice doggies.

First, I am going to continue to bet against a Memphis team that simply has nothing to play for. I like Houston +7.5 from Memphis. Houston is 18-9 on the year (12-3 at home) with an RPI of 94. They are battling for position in the Conference USA tournament. They lost by 15 at Memphis on 1/31, but I think they scare the hell out of Memphis tonight. And one more thing---Houston makes their free throws, shooting a rock-solid 75.2% from the stripe.

I also like an underrated Central Florida team getting 9.5 points from Tulsa. Now Tulsa is good no doubt, and they have revenge on their minds from an earlier loss to UCF on 2/14, but UCF has alot more to play for than Tulsa does. Tulsa has won 20 games and will surely go to the Big Dance. UCF needs to impress at 16-12. Once again, I am going with the team that makes their free throws. UCF shoots a very nice 74.6% from the stripe. This game goes down to the wire.

Wednesday's plays are Houston +7.5 and UCF +9.5. The dogs will be barking tonight my friends.

[JERSEYJOE]

Good luck tonight Keith. Always appreciate the posts

Joe

[Keith]

Originally Posted by JERSEYJOE

Good luck tonight Keith. Always appreciate the posts

Joe

thanks Joe--don't always have the time I'd like, but when I can, I do.

[truegrinder]

gl keith!

[Keith]

Originally Posted by truegrinder

gl keith!

thanks grinder. Nice av !

[fat-freddie]

Wright St. was really sweet man, good luck with your puppies tonight bro ..Damn, how many more days to baseball





Fats.............................................. .....................

[Gerk]

Like the Houston pick

Don't agree that Tulsa wiill "surely" go to the tourney though. I have not seen them in the tourney in any of the projections I have seen

Lundardi from ESPN who is very accurate on these things doesn't have Tulsa in his first four out or the next four out after that, He has them in other teams under consideration beyond the first eight out.

Not saying UCF won't cover, Just saying I don't think them covering would be because Tulsa wouldn't have motivation because they are already in the tourney because I don't think they get in unless they would win the conference tourney.

GL

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Gerk

Like the Houston pick

Don't agree that Tulsa wiill "surely" go to the tourney though. I have not seen them in the tourney in any of the projections I have seen

Lundardi from ESPN who is very accurate on these things doesn't have Tulsa in his first four out or the next four out after that, He has them in other teams under consideration beyond the first eight out.

Not saying UCF won't cover, Just saying I don't think them covering would be because Tulsa wouldn't have motivation because they are already in the tourney because I don't think they get in unless they would win the conference tourney.

GL

perhaps that is so, although a team that wins 20+ games should get in--shouldn't they ? But if what you say is correct, then again they have no real motivation here, as there only chance will be to win the conference tournament. They may be looking for "revenge", but I still think the game comes down to the wire.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by fat-freddie

Wright St. was really sweet man, good luck with your puppies tonight bro ..Damn, how many more days to baseball





Fats.............................................. .....................

thanks Fats. Looking forward to bases as well.

[Gerk]

Originally Posted by Keith

perhaps that is so, although a team that wins 20+ games should get in--shouldn't they ? But if what you say is correct, then again they have no real motivation here, as there only chance will be to win the conference tournament. They may be looking for "revenge", but I still think the game comes down to the wire.

20 wins in that conference means nothing. Niagra has 24 wins and likely won't be in unless they win their conference tourney. Tulsa's RPI is 62 right now so they won't be in without winning the conference tourney.

I won't be on either side so I don't care either way. Just pointing that out. Again, GL

[RanPicks]

Nice hit last night Bro - GL tonight

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Gerk

20 wins in that conference means nothing. Niagra has 24 wins and likely won't be in unless they win their conference tourney. Tulsa's RPI is 62 right now so they won't be in without winning the conference tourney.

I won't be on either side so I don't care either way. Just pointing that out. Again, GL

thanks Gerk. With 20+ wins and an RPI of 62, you'd think they would get in. But, I understand that the Big East and ACC are gonna get a ton of teams in.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by RanPicks

Nice hit last night Bro - GL tonight

thanks buddy--you too.

[hrdnox]

gl keith was leaning the other way on the tulsa game because of the revenge factor.. but seeing you on the other side might just layoff

[Keith]

Originally Posted by hrdnox

gl keith was leaning the other way on the tulsa game because of the revenge factor.. but seeing you on the other side might just layoff

I think that the revenge factor is outweighed by the team's knowledge that they are probably going to have to beat Memphis in the conference tourney to get into the Big Dance (I did say earlier I thought they'd be in, and they should be, but Gerk correctly reminded me that there wasn't going to be room for them in the top 64 teams). But at the end of the day, Tulsa is not 10 points better than UCF. At least not tonight.