Wiz's plays

[mickey]

(Basketball System) PLAY ON all teams where the line is +3 to -3, like Boise State off a road win by 10 points or more, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. This has been a great system the last three seasons at 13-3, 81.2 percent.

Wiz's play:Boise St-3

underdog play below:

Wright State (8-7) at #21 Butler (12-1)

Wright State comes in with a 6 game win streak and has won 8 out of their last 9. Not bad for a team who lost their first 6. During that stretch the Raiders have won by an average 13.2 points per game while holding their opposition to 49 points a game.

Butler is winners of 4 in a row and most recently beat Valpo 75-62. A young team starting 3 freshman, Butler was not expected to be sitting at 12-1. In fact, they were picked to finish 5th in the Horizon league (Wright State was picked second) preseason poll.

A few trends to consider:
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wright State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Butler
Wright State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Butler is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Butler is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Wright State
Butler is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Wright State



Both teams have beaten preseason favorite Cleveland State, but Wright State followed it up by winning a close one against a poor Youngstown State team 60-59. I’m inclined to let that one go as a letdown game after the high of the Cleveland State win. Star guard Vaughn Duggins should return from injury in time for this game. He won’t be at 100% speed, but the Raiders have done well without him. They are good enough to stay right in this game until the end and a low scoring game only makes the points that much bigger.

Wiz's play:Wright St+11

added:Florida/Oky "under" the total 69 (BCS Championship)

[mickey]

leans:Iowa-2/Arkansas St+1/UL Lafyt-2