120 Perfect NFL Trends

[Mendoza Line]

A friend of mine just sent this to me. Not sure where these came from. Looks like a lot of these trends need the teams to have a few games played before you can use them, but here they are for whomever wants them. Good luck!

AFC -

AFC East -

- The Patriots are 10-0 ATS (+16.6 ppg) since December 05, 2004 on the
road when their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per
game is fewer than 30.

- The Patriots are 10-0 ATS (+14.2 ppg) since 1998 after a road game in
which they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date
average.

- The Patriots are 0-11 OU (-7.0 ppg) since 1997 as a home favorite when
facing a team that has an average turnover margin of at least +1 per
game, season-to-date.

- The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+11.6 ppg) since 1996 in the game after they visit
the Patriots.

- The Bills are 14-0 ATS (+10.1 ppg) since 2002 when their defense
prevented their opponent from scoring a TD in a goal-to-goal situation
as an underdog in their last game.

- The Bills are 13-0 OU (+13.3 ppg) since November 03, 1996 at home
when facing a team that has an average takeaway margin of at least +1
per game, season-to-date.

- The Bills are 10-0 OU (+12.5 ppg) since January 02, 1994 as a 6+ favorite
when facing a divisional opponent that has fewer wins on the season.

- The Bills are 0-13 OU (-9.6 ppg) since December 15, 2002 after a straight
up loss that dropped them one game under 500.

- The Bills are 0-10 OU (-8.2 ppg) since 2002 after a straight up loss as a
favorite.

- The Jets are 0-13 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since 2003 as a dog when they had
fewer than ten incompletions last week.

- The Jets are 0-10 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since 1992 as a dog when facing a
team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per
game season-to-date.

- The Jets are 10-0 OU (+10.8 ppg) since 1989 at home when they lost
last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 as a TD+
dog.

- The Dolphins are 0-12 ATS (-13.0 ppg) since December 24, 1989 when
the line is within 3 of pick and they are facing a team they lost to in
their first match-up of the season.

- The Dolphins are 0-11 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a
favorite after a straight up loss.

- The Dolphins are 0-10 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since December 29th, 2002, after
a game in which they converted less than 33% of their 3rd downs.

- The Dolphins are 10-0 OU (+16.6 ppg) since 2004 as a dog after a road
game in which they prevented their opponent from getting in the end
zone from first-and-goal.

- The Dolphins are 0-15 OU (-6.9 ppg) since December 15th, 2002, the
week after a home game in which they failed on at least two red zones
attempts.

__________________________________

AFC North -

- The Steelers are 12-0 ATS (+12.7 ppg) since 2000 as a favorite when
facing a team that has averaged less than 28 minutes of possession
time season-to-date – winning every game by more than ten points.

- The Steelers are 12-0 ATS (+8.2 ppg) since 1991 at home after their
completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their
season-to-date average as a favorite.

- The Steelers are 10-0 OU (+11.0 ppg) since 2005 when they are off a
road game in which they had fewer than ten incompletions.

- The Steelers are 11-0 OU (+10.5 ppg) since November 22, 1998 when
they are off a road loss and hosting a team with more wins.

- The Steelers are 0-10 OU (-15.1 ppg) since 1992 on the road the week
after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing
yards.

- The Steelers are 0-11 OU (-9.6 ppg) since 2001 on the road on Sunday
when they lost last week.

- The Browns are 12-0 ATS (+7.7 ppg) since November 6th, 2005 when
they lost as a dog last week even though they prevented their opponent
from scoring a TD on at least two trips inside their red zone.

- The Browns are 10-0 ATS (+6.3 ppg) since 2005 when they are off a
game in which they had at least three times as many passing yards as
rushing yards.

- The Bengals are 10-0 ATS (+12.7 ppg) since 1997 on the road after they
scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average at
home, as long as neither team is favored by a TD or more.

- The Bengals are 10-0 ATS (+9.6 ppg) since November 24, 2002 the
week after playing the Browns.

- The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since 1994 as a 4+ dog after they
allowed at least 11 points fewer than their season-to-date average.

- The Bengals are 13-0 OU (+ 19.7 ppg) since November 13, 1994 when
hosting a team that has completed less than 55% of their passes
season-to-date, as long as neither team is favored by 6 or more points.

- The Ravens are 0-10 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since 2005 on the road on Sunday
after a game in which they made more touchdowns than field goals.

- The Ravens are 0-10 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since November 27, 2005 when
facing a team that has forced an average of fewer than four punts per
game season-to-date.

- The Ravens are 0-10 ATS (-7.1 ppg) since 2004 after a home game
in which they gave their opponent at least three first downs by a
defensive penalty.

- The Ravens are 0-13 OU (-12.0 ppg) in franchise history as a road dog
off a win in which they benefited from a takeaway margin of at least
+2.

- The Ravens are 0-12 OU (-9.5 ppg) since 1997 as a road dog after a
game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.

- The Ravens are 0-10 OU (-8.7 ppg) since December 29, 2001 on the
road when they are off a double-digit win as a home favorite in which
they were up by more than a TD at the half.

______________________________________

AFC South -

- The Colts are 12-0 ATS when visiting a team that has allowed an average of 13 ppg or fewer on the season, as long as they are not laying more than four points.

- The Colts are 10-0 OU (+9.5 ppg) since 1998 on the road after a straight
up loss on the road.

- The Colts are 0-11 OU (-10.4 ppg) since 1993 when the line is within 3’
of pick and they are off a 1-4 point win.

- The Jaguars are 10-0 OU (+14.3 ppg) since November 20, 2005 as a favorite
the week after a game in which they had more than 34 minutes
of possession time.

- The Jaguars are 10-0 OU (+11.0 ppg) since November 13, 2005 the
week after a game in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at
least 4 times.

- The Jaguars are 11-0 OU (+9.2 ppg) since October 22, 2000 at home
after a game in which they allowed at least four sacks.

- The Titans are 12-0 ATS (+11.5 ppg) since October 08, 2006 as a dog
when they were a dog in their last game as well.

- The Titans are 13-0 OU (+14.5 ppg) in franchise history when the line
is within 4 of pick the week after a road game in which they got a first
down on less than 25% of their offensive plays.

- The Titans are 10-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) in franchise history when the line
is within 7 of pick and they are hosting a team that has completed at
least 65% of their passes season-to-date.

________________________________

AFC West -

- The Chargers are 10-0 ATS (+13.8 ppg) since 2003 at home when facing
a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-todate.

- The Broncos are 11-0 OU (13.1 ppg) since 1989 at home vs a nondivisional
opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional
opponent.

- The Broncos are 10-0 OU (8.5 ppg) since 1997 after a home game in
which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date
average.

- The Raiders are 0-10 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since December 10, 1995 at home
off a loss in which they rushed for at least 50 yards fewer than their
season-to-date average.

- The Raiders are 10-0 OU (+8.9 ppg) since December 10, 1990 when the
line is within 3’ of pick and they are off a road game in which they had
fewer than ten incompletions.

- The Raiders are 0-10 OU (-8.7 ppg) since 2005 after a loss in which
they outgained their opponent.
__________________

NFC -

NFC East -

- The Cowboys are 0-11 ATS (-12.7 ppg) since November 21, 1993 as a
road favorite by more than 6 points when they won their last two road
games.

- The Cowboys are 0-13 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since November 25, 1993 the
week after attempting at least ten more passes than their season-todate
average as a favorite.

- The Cowboys are 0-10 OU (-10.1 ppg) since 1989 as a home 7+ favorite
off a game in which they had at least three times as many passing
yards as rushing yards.

- The Giants are 10-0 ATS (+10.6 ppg) since 2003 on the road when
facing a team that has averaged less than 1.25 turnovers per game
season-to-date.

- The Giants are 0-11 ATS (+-9.8 ppg) since December 15, 1990 as a
favorite after a game in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than
their season-to-date average as a favorite.

- The Giants are 10-0 OU (+13.1 ppg) since November 01, 2000 after a
game in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than
their season-to-date average, as long as they were not a TD+ dog in
that game.

- The Giants are 0-10 OU (-15.7 ppg) since 1992 when the line is within 3
of pick on the road after a game when they had more than 34 minutes
of possession time.

- The Giants are 0-17 OU (-9.9 ppg) since November 01, 1992 after a
home win in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their
season-to-date average.

- The Giants are 0-11 OU (-5.5 ppg) since 1989 the week after a win as a
home favorite in which they were losing at the half.

- The Redskins are 0-10 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since 1989 as a home dog when
they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least
+2.

- The Redskins are 0-11 ATS (-10.4 ppg) since December 16, 2001 when
the line is within 4 of pick the week after a straight up win as a dog.

- The Redskins are 10-0 OU (+16.1 ppg) since November 22, 1998 when
the line is within 3 of pick at home after a game in which they scored
at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average.

- The Redskins are 0-12 OU (-11.3 ppg) since December 03, 1995 as a
road 7+ dog when they were a dog last week.

- The Eagles are 11-0 ATS (+12.0 ppg) since 2000 as a dog when they
had 12 or fewer incompletions in their last game.

- The Eagles are 10-0 ATS (+9.9 ppg) since 1989 after a home loss in
which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their
season-to-date average.

- The Eagles are 0-10 OU (-8.8 ppg) since November 02, 2003 as a FG+
favorite when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12
yards per completion season-to-date.

______________________________________

NFC North -

- The Packers are 10-0 ATS (+15.7 ppg) since 2004 as a dog the week
after playing a game in which the line was within 3 of pick’em.

- The Packers are 10-0 ATS (+11.7 ppg) since 1989 at home the week
after a win against a non-divisional opponent in which they were
losing at the half.

- The Packers are 0-10 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since 1990 after a straight up
loss on the road in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their
season-to-date average.

- The Packers are 0-10 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since 1994 as a favorite after a
home win in which they scored 20 points or fewer.

- The Packers are 0-13 OU (-9.0 ppg) since 1992 as a road dog when
their defense recorded at least three sacks in each of the last two
weeks, as long as they are not off a 14+ point loss.

- The Vikings are 0-10 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since 1997 when the line is within
6 of pick on the road when their ATS margin decreased over each of
their past two games.

- The Vikings are 0-12 ATS (-11.2 ppg) since 2001 as a favorite after a
straight up loss as a favorite.

- The Vikings are 0-11 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since 1991 after a TD+ home win
in which they did not score in the first quarter.

- The Vikings are 0-10 ATS (-10.4 ppg) since 1989 as a road favorite
when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of
at least +2.

- The Vikings are 0-5 OU (-22.9 ppg) since 1990 when the line is within 3
of pick vs a team they lost to as a favorite in their first match-up of the
season.

- The Vikings are 0-11 OU (-10.5 ppg) since November 30, 2000 as a
favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards
rushing.

- The Lions are 13-0 ATS (+11.1 ppg) since 1997 as a home dog when
facing a team that has averaged at least 2.2 turnovers per game
season-to-date.

- The Lions are 0-11 ATS (-15.6 ppg) since 2002 after a win in which they
sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

- The Lions are 12-0 OU (+8.9 ppg) since December 12, 1999 as a dog
when facing a team that has forced an average of at least six punts
per game season-to-date.

- The Bears are 0-10 OU (-10.8 ppg) since 1997 at home off a road loss in
which they suffered a turnover margin of at least +2.

- The Bears are 0-10 OU (-9.2 ppg) since October 24, 1999 as a 6+ dog
when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.75 yards per carry
season-to-date.

_______________________________

NFC South -

- The Buccaneers are 0-11 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since 1989 as a home favorite
after a road game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession
time.

- The Buccaneers are 0-11 OU (-8.9 ppg) since December 29, 2001 as a
home favorite of a TD or less when they won last week.

- The Buccaneers are 0-10 OU (-7.7 ppg) since December 03, 2000 at
home when they covered by 10+ points last week.

- The Buccaneers are 0-10 OU (-6.2 ppg) since 1995 as a favorite on
Sunday after a straight up win as a favorite in which they attempted
more than seven fewer passes than their season-to-date average.

- The Panthers are 10-0 OU (+13.1 ppg) since 2002 after a game in which
they converted at least 50% of their 3rd downs.

- The Panthers are 11-0 OU (+12.8 ppg) since November 08, 1998 on the
road after a game in which their completion percentage was at least
ten points higher than their season-to-date average.

- The Panthers are 0-11 OU (-8.5 ppg) in franchise history as a 6+ favorite
the week after a straight up win as a favorite.

- The Panthers are 0-14 OU (-7.4 ppg) since 2000 as a home favorite vs a
divisional opponent.

- The Saints are 11-0 ATS (+16.2 ppg) since 1989 when the line is within
3’ of pick after a home game in which their completion percentage
was at least ten points lower than their season-to-date average.

- The Saints are 0-11 ATS (-15.0 ppg) since November 01, 1998 when
facing a team with no wins after week 2, losing 10 of the 11 straight up.

- The Saints are 0-12 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since 1999 when hosting a team
that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date.

- The Saints are 0-11 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since December 24, 2000 when
hosting a divisional opponent that has a worse record.

- The Saints are 10-0 OU (+11.8 ppg) since 2004 after a game in which
their opponent scored a TD each time they got into their red zone.

- The Saints are 16-0 OU (+10.8 ppg) since December 18, 1989 when
their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak, as long as they are not
getting a TD or more.

- The Saints are 10-0 OU (5.8 ppg) since 1992 as a favorite when facing
a team with no wins after week 3.

- The Falcons are 10-0 ATS (+8.1 ppg) since 1989 as a road dog after
they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average
on the road.

- The Falcons are 10-0 ATS (+5.6 ppg) since 1989 as a road 6+ dog after
they held an opponent to at least 100 fewer passing yards passing
than their season-to-date average.

- The Falcons are 11-0 OU (+14.9 ppg since 2003 as a dog after a road
game in which they stopped their opponent from scoring a TD on at
least two trips inside their red-zone.

- The Falcons are 12-0 OU (+13.6 ppg) since 1994 as a dog the week
after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing
yards when the line was within 3 of pick’em.

- The Falcons are 11-0 OU (+13.0 ppg) since 1995 on the road after a
road game in which they got a first down on less than 25% of their
offensive plays.

- The Falcons are 0-11 OU (-9.4 ppg) since 2003 on the road after a game
in which they had at least ten rushing first downs.

- The Falcons are 0-12 OU (-9.0 ppg) since December 29th 2002 when
they are off a game as a home favorite in which they failed to score a
TD on at least two trips into the red-zone.

___________________________________

NFC West -

- The Seahawks are 10-0 ATS (+11.8 ppg) since December 13, 1998
when they are off a 1-3 point loss vs a non-divisional opponent.

- The Seahawks are 10-0 OU (+18.2 ppg) since 1998 after a straight up
win as a TD+ home favorite in which they had at least three more
minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average.

- The Seahawks are 0-11 OU (-7.3 ppg) since 1989 as a home favorite after
a straight up loss in which they attempted at least ten more passes
than their season-to-date average.

- The Cardinals are 13-0 ATS (+10.8 ppg) since 1989 when the line is
within 3 of pick at home when they lost and failed to cover their last
two games, winning every game straight up.

- The Cardinals are 11-0 OU (+11.5 ppg) since 2004 as a road dog when
they lost their last two road games.

- The Cardinals are 14-0 OU (+10.4 ppg) since 2002 as a road dog when
their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per game is
greater than 35.

- The Cardinals are 10-0 OU (+9.3 ppg) since 1996 the week after a road
game in which their completion percentage was at least ten points
lower than their season-to-date average.

- The Cardinals are 0-12 OU (-7.9 ppg) since 1991 at home after a
straight up loss in which they attempted at least ten more passes than
their season-to-date average.

- The 49ers are 0-12 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since November 18, 2001 on the
road after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing.

- The Rams are 10-0 ATS (+14.7 ppg) since December 01, 1996 when the
line is within 5 of pick on the road when facing a team that has averaged
at least 2.4 turnovers per game season-to-date.

- The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-14.4 ppg) since 1998 on the road after a game
in which they got a first down on less than 25% of their offensive
plays.

- The Rams are 0-11 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since 1989 as a home dog when facing
a team they lost to in their first match-up of the season.

- The Rams are 11-0 OU (+13.4 ppg) since December 24, 1995 as a dog
after a loss in which they committed at least four turnovers, as long as
they weren’t getting 10+ points in that loss.

- The Rams are 12-0 OU (+7.0 ppg) since January 02, 2000 as a favorite
by more than a FG when facing a team that has averaged fewer than
300 yards offense per game season-to-date.
__________________

2 perfect NFL System to end the list:

- Play ON an undefeated favorite off a BYE with a total
of at least 34 but less than 50 points when they are
off a non-shutout win in their last game.

Record: 18-0 SU & ATS

_____________________________________________

Play AGAINST a home team that is .500 on the
season when the line is within three of pick’em.

Record: 16-0 SU & ATS

[Flame Thrower]

Mendoza, this is great info. Can anyone confirm the trends?

[theunknown]

Or better yet keep traack of the list and tell us when 1 of those trends is actually comeing up on a proline sunday ?