15*** monster play (( broncos vs raiders )) write-up

THE_ROOKIEEE · #1 09-08-2008, 02:00 AM

after sub par opening weekend losing my super play over on the eagle/ram game i am coming right back with another super play total that's being played in my own backyard.. this game could be in the GOM status but being it is the first week it will be just super play...i will be playing a little extra on this game making it 15*** play for me..... join me Monday as we will deliver this play and finish this week off with bang..

Denver vs Oakland

now many of you know that i play on or against my backyard bay area teams often in season.... with contacts in important ares of this team you can be sure you will be getting solid info for mondays game....this is a prime time game where the raiders in their glory days ruled monday nights but as of late just have been horrible as has the team has been the last few years.... the 12th man in the black hole with raider nation will be in full spirit against their long time divisional broncos... so right off kickoff the momentum will be on the silver and blacks side... the whole world has seen Darren McFadden in pre-season and what he could bring to the table just as many got glimpses of jamarcus Russell last year...so you can say the expectations will be high..... the ?? is how those 2 players will effect the outcome of this game... first lets start with the running game which was 4th in the league last year..McFadden will share the load with 1000 yd runner justin fargas who ran all over these broncos last december gaining 146 yd on 33 carries... the broncos defensive line looks for help from fa dewayne robertson and 2 second year players to fix their run defense which was 30th in the league giving up 142 ypg with an average 4.5 ypc ... you can expect the broncs to get a handful of running from both fargas and mcfadden.... now denver coach mike shanahan will try bringing up the linebackers sometimes making 8-9 man fronts with their exceptional corners in man coverage in dre bly & champ bailey but this will force jamarcus russell to pass and imo this will be their mistake....noone really knows how good this kid is...but he is going to show why he was the #1 pick with the options he has now ....his recieving core isnt the best right now but the raiders will be using mcfadden out the backfield more than often & also lining him up at wr to spread the defense....his main target that will be giving the broncs fits is his tall and handy te miller.... the two work repeatedly late in practice as i have seen him line up at wr.. so you will be seeing lots of different looks, different sets etcetc. in this game.... the raiders offense will have their day against these broncos but will it be enough to win????? i just dont know for the reason that the broncs jay cutler can and has thrown against these raiders not to mention In his 21 games since he became the starter in Week 13 of 2006, only four quarterbacks have surpassed his passer rating of 88.2 — Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Tony Romo and Drew Brees. ....sure its a divisional game...but the fact remains that the raiders defense coordinator play calls are sometimes erratic to untimely and i dont feel that with deangelo hall its a shutdown type of defense yet... one thing i do know is that both teams will score in this game..... these new & improved raiders will try to recapture their old days on monday night not by defense but by their offense...(al davis must be smiling).... while the broncs 2nd year starter cutler will play with some urgency to buck the 0-4 ats in the last 4 meetings with 2 playoff teams waiting on deck........ this will be a high scoring monday night affair.... take the over with confidence tonight...

15**** broncos/raiders over 40.5

note: 2 rookie rbs that started on sunday ( m.forte , c. johnson ) had great days.... expect good things from mcfadden who was drafted higher at #4

key over trends ( covers )

Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 vs. AFC West.
Over is 9-2 in Broncos last 11 vs. AFC.
Over is 17-5-1 in Broncos last 23 games on grass.
Over is 19-7-1 in Broncos last 27 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 road games.

Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in September.
Over is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC.

Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games in Week 1.

other plays

4**** denver -3
2**** vikings +3
2**** minn/gb under 38.5

cuse_man · #2 09-08-2008, 02:03 AM

he sucked at LSU, and was a joke #1 but hopefully he has improved

gl tomorrow bud

THE_ROOKIEEE · #3 09-08-2008, 02:08 AM

easy dough.....

MCP313 · #4 09-08-2008, 02:10 AM

you sound like a tout

but i will look at this closer now based on your recommendation

PEACE

THE_ROOKIEEE · #5 09-08-2008, 02:14 AM

please me being a tout..... my kid can pick better than some of the touts hiding here.... im slightly disappointed

vandralee · #6 09-08-2008, 02:22 AM

Thank you THE_ROOKIEE.
I KNOW THAT YOU'RE NOT A TOUT, BECAUSE I'VE BEEN FOLLOW YOUR PICKS AND OTHERS IN CAPPERSFORUM. I'M LOOKING FOR ANOTHER GREAT YEARS, AND SOME EXTRA CASH FOR MY TRIP 18TH OF SEPTEMBER. YES, I'LL STILL EMAIL MY LOCAL BOOKS TO PLACE MY BET.

THAN YOU! AND THE REST IN CAPPERSFORUM.