Go Back   Sports Handicapping at cappersmall > >

NFL Football NFL Handicapping - Post your NFL picks, talk NFL betting, NFL odds or fantasy football.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #76  
Old 08-18-2018, 01:09 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Action Network

Bucs / Titans

83% of public tickets have come in on the under.
__________________
Likes hawks98 liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #77  
Old 08-18-2018, 01:11 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Action Network

49ers / Texans

65% of tickets and 84% of the money have come in on the Texans spread
Reply With Quote
  #78  
Old 08-18-2018, 01:14 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Action Network

Bears / Broncos

59% of public tickets and 96% of the money on the over.
Reply With Quote
  #79  
Old 08-18-2018, 01:16 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Action Network

Seahawks / Chargers

86% of tickets and 66% of the money have come in on the under.
Reply With Quote
  #80  
Old 08-18-2018, 04:46 PM
truckin truckin is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 24
Rewards: 88
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1
Likes (Received): 5
Knight is this action network stuff your fading or playing? Or just info? Just trying to figure out how to use it ? Thx
Reply With Quote
  #81  
Old 08-18-2018, 04:51 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Just info

I use some for follow ... Some for fade

Last edited by New York Knight; 08-18-2018 at 04:53 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #82  
Old 08-18-2018, 05:10 PM
truckin truckin is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 24
Rewards: 88
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 1
Likes (Received): 5
Quote:
Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
The Action Network

Bucs / Titans

83% of public tickets have come in on the under.
I like the over here
Reply With Quote
  #83  
Old 08-18-2018, 06:05 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Bet The Greek

Sharp Action

SF-HOU over
CHI-DEN over
SEA-LAC under
Reply With Quote
  #84  
Old 08-19-2018, 07:04 AM
Sweetleaf22 Sweetleaf22 is offline
Shhhhhh!
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: 412
Posts: 24,189
Rewards: 54,393
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 2119
Likes (Received): 2056
F me

“I don’t know in the history of the NFL if that’s ever happened. I’m not going to sit up here and cry about it, because it’s the same for them as it is us. But we didn’t want to play our starters, and we didn’t want them to hear our audibles and hand signals. I don’t think they wanted us to get a feel for them either, so it was a strange ball game.” Gruden grinder
__________________
"If I could start my life all over again, I would be a professional football player, and you damn well better believe I would be a Pittsburgh Steeler."

-- Jack Lambert --
Reply With Quote
  #85  
Old 08-19-2018, 12:35 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Underdogs went 5-1-1 ATS Saturday with LAC -3 only fave to cover in 24-14 win vs. SEA (push was HOU -3 in 16-13 win vs. SF)

Road teams 4-2-1 ATS

Unders 5-2

Overall, dogs lead 17-13-1 ATS ... Road teams 17-13-1 ATS ... Overs' lead dips to 17-15
Reply With Quote
  #86  
Old 08-20-2018, 02:39 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
John Harbaugh (27-14-1 ATS) is the most profitable preseason coach since 2004.

When the line moves in his direction ... 8-1-1 ATS

Ravens have gone from +1.5 to -2 vs. Colts
__________________
Likes fat-freddie liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #87  
Old 08-20-2018, 04:20 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Action Network Contributing Books ...


The public seems to expect plenty of points from Joe Flacco and Jackson in the meantime, as 58% of tickets and 73% of the money have come in on the over

The Colts opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but they’re now 2-point underdogs, with 71% of tickets and 85% of the money coming in on the Ravens as of 4 p.m. ET on Monday
Reply With Quote
  #88  
Old 08-20-2018, 04:39 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Monday insights from Will Bernanke, lead analyst for CG Analytics in Vegas, and Jacob Crossman, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook BetDSI.eu.


Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts – Open: -1; Move: Pick; Move: +1; Move: +1.5; Move: +1


“On the pointspread, 81% of account money is on the Ravens, and 83% of over-the-counter money is on the Ravens,” Bernanke said. “On the moneyline, 86 percent of all dollars are on the Ravens. Sharps and public are on the Ravens pointspread, moneyline and the Over.”

CG opened the total at 40.5 and has jumped to 43, with almost all bets favoring the Over.

“The ideal result as of now would be a low-scoring Colts outright win,” Bernanke said.


BetDSI opened the Colts -1.5 largely because of home field, but that factor didn’t shape bettors’ opinions as the number jumped the fence.

“Our sharps have flipped the line the other way since it first came out, and we currently have Baltimore listed as a 1.5-point favorite,” Crossman said. “It's anyone's guess how long the starters for both teams will play, but John Harbaugh's preseason record speaks for itself. He is 30-12 SU all-time in preseason, and that seems to be the reason behind the move.”

Crossman’s shop opened the total at 41.5 and was up to 43, with 63% of tickets and 68% of money on the Over.

“The Over has been a popular bet in every preseason game thus far, as referees struggle to enforce the new helmet rules,” Crossman said.
Reply With Quote
  #89  
Old 08-20-2018, 05:47 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Biggest liability tonight at CGTechnology Sportsbooks


Ravens
Reply With Quote
  #90  
Old 08-20-2018, 06:15 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Rookie QB Josh Allen will start Buffalo’s third preseason game vs. Cincinnati
Reply With Quote
  #91  
Old 08-20-2018, 07:42 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Greek Sportsbook

Sharp Action

Ravens
Reply With Quote
  #92  
Old 08-21-2018, 12:11 AM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Colts covering as home underdogs vs. closing line of +2

Dogs went 10-5-1 ATS this weekend

Road teams 8-7-1 ATS

Unders 10-6 after going 5-11 last week


Overall, dogs lead 18-13-1 ATS ... Road teams 17-14-1 ATS ... Overs' lead down to 17-16
Reply With Quote
  #93  
Old 08-21-2018, 05:30 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Looking ahead at preseason Week 3 betting lines, Saturday’s matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Chicago Bears (1 p.m. ET) includes a staggering over/under of 48.

While that number doesn’t seem overly dramatic compared to typical regular season totals, it’s massive for the preseason.

According to Bet Labs’ archived NFL betting data, the Chiefs-Bears over/under of 48 is tied with the highest preseason total they’ve ever tracked, the 2014 game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles.

Pinnacle initially opened the Chiefs-Bears total at 44.5 before an onslaught of over money pushed the number up to 48.

According to The Action Network’s proprietary public betting data, 66% of tickets and 86% of dollars wagered on the total have come in on the over.

This isn’t surprising after highlights of Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ 69-yard rainmaker to wide receiver Tyreek Hill became the hottest topic of conversation following Week 2 of the preseason.
Reply With Quote
  #94  
Old 08-22-2018, 03:14 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Week 3 of the 2018 NFL preseason is making betting history on multiple fronts.

Earlier this week, we noted that Saturday’s Kansas City Chiefs-Chicago Bears (1 p.m. ET) over/under is flirting with the highest preseason total we’ve ever tracked.

Not to be outdone, the spread for Friday’s Green Bay Packers-Oakland Raiders (10:30 p.m. ET) matchup is also moving into rarefied air.

After opening at a relatively standard Raiders -3, bettors have pounded Oakland up to a 7-point favorite. According to The Action Network’s public betting data, 89% of spread dollars have taken the Raiders.

To put this in perspective, an NFL preseason game hasn’t closed with a spread of seven points since the Houston Texans played the Denver Broncos during the 2014 preseason, according to the Bet Labs database.

A 2011 matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Redskins (-7.5) marks the last time a preseason point spread crept above a touchdown.

The 2011 preseason also included games with closing lines of -8.5 and -9.

While the sample is very small, NFL preseason favorites of a touchdown or greater are just 9-13 (40.9%) against the spread since 2004.
Reply With Quote
  #95  
Old 08-22-2018, 05:14 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Reply With Quote
  #96  
Old 08-23-2018, 01:42 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Action Network


Thursday

52% of the tickets and 56% of the money have come in on the Browns spread

74% of the money has come in on the under.
Reply With Quote
  #97  
Old 08-23-2018, 04:00 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Bookmaker ... on PHI-CLE tonight

"The Browns have been preseason darlings, commanding one-sided action. However, that looks to change tonight. Early action favored Browns, but once line crept above a field goal, the Philly money started to pour in."
Reply With Quote
  #98  
Old 08-23-2018, 04:40 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Nick Foles will play “about a half”, according to coach Doug Pederson.

Pretty much every other starter on offense won’t ... Running backs Jay Ajayi, Corey Clement, Donnel Pumphrey, and Darren Sproles are all out, as are wide receivers Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor, and Markus Wheaton.

Cleveland will play QB Tyrod Taylor in the first half
Reply With Quote
  #99  
Old 08-23-2018, 04:47 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
The Browns have not hit an over in a preseason game since 2014 (0-13-1)
__________________
Likes slimWins, goldengreek liked this post
Reply With Quote
  #100  
Old 08-23-2018, 05:37 PM
New York Knight New York Knight is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: NEW YORK
Posts: 92,668
Rewards: 16,183
Post Thanks / Like
Likes (Given): 13266
Likes (Received): 23538
Insights from Will Bernanke, lead analyst for CG Analytics, and D.J. Fields, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu



Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns – Open: -3; Move: -3.5; Move: -3

“On the pointspread, 1.5 times more Browns money on account, while it’s fairly even over the counter,” Bernanke said of action at CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Vegas Strip. “On the moneyline, 63% of all dollars are on the Eagles, despite the moneyline market move upwards.”

Indeed, Cleveland opened -155 on the moneyline and moved to -170 before ticking back to -165. CG opened the total at 41 and moved to 42, with 88% of account of money on the Over and 64% of over-the-counter money on the Under.

“An ideal result would be a low-scoring Eagles cover and a Browns win,” Bernanke said.


Meanwhile, Bookmaker.eu opened Cleveland -2 and has bounced around a bit, getting as high as 4 and going back to 3, then moving to 3.5.

“For the first time this preseason, we are surprisingly pretty balanced on a Browns game. The side isn't shaping up to be a big decision for us, as both public and sharp action are split down the middle. For as even as the side is, we are equally unbalanced on the total. They have been betting us Over 42.5 all day, and it doesn't look to stop.”
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
made, opponent, playoffs, season, vikings

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:28 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Resources saved on this page: MySQL 15.00% Host: cappersmallweb2