of the 8 playoff games thus far

[Romanowski]

Favorites are 5-3 ATS, so Dogs are obv 3-5 ATS

of the 3 dogs that covered the spread they were also SU winners

dog is bound to cover yet not win

who will it be ?

[upinya83]

jets imo lose 17-13

[BigFratDaddy]

Originally Posted by upinya83

jets imo lose 17-13

[cptkirk321]

Well since I like the Colts to win by double digits I guess that only leaves me with the Vikes but to be completely honest I don't think the points will matter in this game either. Either the Saints win and cover or the Vikes win outright. So I guess my answer would be neither of them.

[Jahred]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

Favorites are 5-3 ATS, so Dogs are obv 3-5 ATS

of the 3 dogs that covered the spread they were also SU winners

dog is bound to cover yet not win

who will it be ?

superbowl

jets cover the 6 vs the saints

lose 21-23

[ryhenry09]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

Favorites are 5-3 ATS, so Dogs are obv 3-5 ATS

of the 3 dogs that covered the spread they were also SU winners

dog is bound to cover yet not win

who will it be ?

SU Winner in the conf champ gms are 21-0-1 ATS L11 yrs....

[Romanowski]

Originally Posted by ryhenry09

SU Winner in the conf champ gms are 21-0-1 ATS L11 yrs....

means nothing to me, I realize its a trend, and im not one to buck a trend

the dumbest gambling bs is to fade a trend, its much better to ride one

however there has to be more to it...

do you think that a team makes it this far, yet falls behind in the game and loses will and emotion?

whats behind that trend?

[Jahred]

Originally Posted by Romanowski

means nothing to me, I realize its a trend, and im not one to buck a trend

the dumbest gambling bs is to fade a trend, its much better to ride one

however there has to be more to it...

do you think that a team makes it this far, yet falls behind in the game and loses will and emotion?

whats behind that trend?

to be fair its not much different then being bound

I think true trends are always valid in some amount, negative or positive you still have to cap the game / situation / and trend to be consistent using that as a tool , back to square 1 type thing but every thing has to be considered valid to go into your descision in final with or against imo if true.

[GFootsXtreme]

the best betting angle i have seen just from experience and without going back to check is simply throughout the playoffs to bet alternate lines on both teams...i.e. take the favorite for more than the spread and take the dog as a - fav...get both sides at large + money and wait for the cash to tumble in. I know from memory it won last year, I think the year before, and so far in the last two weeks I think you would be 8-0...(in a case like the jets +300 ml i think pays plenty, or in this week's jets again if this were employed)

think about it romo you are smarter than the average bear-fan, i think this has some cred and you have the database to go back and check it out should you so choose

[The Nac]

Originally Posted by Jahred

superbowl

jets cover the 6 vs the saints

lose 21-23

Bold prediction, but I like it.

[pensfan]

Since 1970, in Conference Championship games where the point spread is less than 10 points, the winning team is a perfect 65-0-2 against the spread.

Found this on a different site.

[pensfan]

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP RESULTS


2008 ARIZONA (+3 1/2) 30 - Philadelphia 25
2007 N. Y. Giants (+7 1/2) 23 - GR. BAY 20 (OT)
2006 CHICAGO (-2 1/2) 39 - New Orleans 14
2005 SEATTLE (-3 1/2) 34 - Carolina 14
2004 PHILADELPHIA (-5 1/2) 27 - Atlanta 10
2003 Carolina (+4) 14 - PHILADELPHIA 3
2002 Tampa Bay (+4) 27 - PHILADELPHIA 10
2001 ST. LOUIS (-10 1/2) 29 - Philadelphia 24
2000 N.Y. GIANTS (+ 21/2) 41 - Minnesota 0
1999 ST. LOUIS (-14) 11 - Tampa Bay 6
1998 Atlanta (+11) 30 - MINNESOTA 27 (OT)
1997 Green Bay (-2 1/2) 23 - SAN FRANCISCO 10
1996 GREEN BAY (-12 1/2) 30 - Carolina 13
1995 DALLAS (-8 1/2) 38 - Green Bay 27
1994 SAN FRANCISCO (-7 1/2) 38 - Dallas 28
1993 DALLAS (-3 1/2) 38 - San Francisco 21
1992 Dallas (+4) 30 - SAN FRANCISCO 20
1991 WASHINGTON (-13 1/2) 41 - Detroit 10
1990 N.Y. Giants (+8) 15 - SAN FRANCISCO 13
1989 SAN FRANCISCO (-7) 30 - L.A. Rams 3
1988 San Francisco (pick) 28 - CHICAGO 3
1987 WASHINGTON (-3 1/2) 17 - Minnesota 10
1986 N.Y. GIANTS (-7 1/2) 17 - Washington 0
1985 CHICAGO (-10 1/2) 24 - L.A. Rams 0
1984 SAN FRANCISCO (-9) 23 - Chicago 0
1983 WASHINGTON (-10 1/2) 24 - San Francisco 21
1982 WASHINGTON (+2) 31 - Dallas 17
1981 SAN FRANCISCO (+3) 28 - Dallas 27
1980 PHILADELPHIA (+1) 20 - Dallas 7
1979 Los Angeles (-3 1/2) 9 - TAMPA BAY 0
1978 Dallas (-3 1/2) 28 - LOS ANGELES 0
1977 DALLAS (-11 1/2) 23 - Minnesota 6
1976 MINNESOTA (-4 1/2) 24 - Los Angeles 13
1975 Dallas (+6) 37 - LOS ANGELES 7
1974 MINNESOTA (-4) 14 - Los Angeles 10
1973 Minnesota (+1) 27 - DALLAS 10
1972 WASHINGTON (-3) 26 - Dallas 3
1971 DALLAS (-7 1/2) 14 - San Francisco 3
1970 Dallas (+4) 17 - SAN FRANCISCO 10


AFC CHAMPIONSHIP RESULTS


2008 PITTSBURGH (-6) 23 - Baltimore 14
2007 NEW ENGLAND (-13 1/2) 21 - San Diego 12
2006 INDIANAPOLIS (-3) 38 - New England 34
2005 Pittsburgh (+3) 34 - DENVER 17
2004 New England (+3) 41 - PITTSBURGH 27
2003 NEW ENGLAND (-3) 24 - Indianapolis 14
2002 OAKLAND (-8) 41 - Tennessee 24
2001 New England (+10) 24 - PITTSBURGH 17
2000 Baltimore (+6) 16 - OAKLAND 3
1999 Tennessee (+7) 33 - JACKSONVILLE 14
1998 DENVER (-9) 23 - N.Y. Jets 10
1997 Denver (-2 1/2) 24 - PITTSBURGH 21
1996 NEW ENGLAND (-7) 20 - Jacksonville 6
1995 PITTSBURGH (-11 1/2) 20 - Indianapolis 16
1994 San Diego (+9) 17 - PITTSBURGH 13
1993 BUFFALO (-3) 30 - Kansas City 13
1992 Buffalo (-2 1/2) 29 - MIAMI 10
1991 BUFFALO (-11 1/2) 10 - Denver 7
1990 BUFFALO (-7) 51 - L.A. Raiders 3
1989 DENVER (-3 1/2) 37 - Cleveland 21
1988 CINCINNATI (-4 1/2) 21 - Buffalo 10
1987 DENVER (-3) 38 - Cleveland 33
1986 Denver (+3) 23 - CLEVELAND 20 (OT)
1985 New England (+5 1/2) 31 - MIAMI 14
1984 MIAMI (-9 1/2) 45 - Pittsburgh 28
1983 L.A. RAIDERS (-7 1/2) 30 - Seattle 14
1982 MIAMI (-2) 14 - N.Y. Jets 0
1981 CINCINNATI (-4 1/2) 27 - San Diego 7
1980 Oakland (+4) 34 - SAN DIEGO 27
1979 PITTSBURGH (-9 1/2) 27 - Houston 13
1978 PITTSBURGH (-7) 34 - Houston 5
1977 DENVER (+31/2) 20 - Oakland 17
1976 OAKLAND (+4 1/2) 24 - Pittsburgh 7
1975 PITTSBURGH (-6) 16 - Oakland 10
1974 Pittsburgh (+5 1/2) 24 - OAKLAND 13
1973 MIAMI (-6 1/2) 27 - Oakland 10
1972 Miami (-2 1/2) 21 - PITTSBURGH 17
1971 MIAMI (-1 1/2) 21 - Baltimore 0
1970 BALTIMORE (+1) 27 - Oakland 17

[Romanowski]

thats pretty incredible, good stuff

[westcoastO]

damn that's amazing. so if you got a pretty good hunch on a dog covering, would be smart to throw extra on them winning SU too

[woody]

Yea. All you really had to do was pick a winner this playoff season. The line hasn't come into play in any of these games so far. And to take that one step further 6 out of 8 games with the exception of the Jets win on Sunday and the Cards win the previous week over Green Bay has been decided by 10 or more points.

Does the point spread come into play for the Championship games on Sunday?? I think i'm going to continue to cap the same way in that if come up liking the Vikes and/or Jets, that I gotta like em to win SU...