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  #1  
Old 12-02-2008, 09:48 AM
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Anybody else like Oakland ML this Thursday?

I don't have any good info to back this up, but I looked at the line this morning and for some reason it was just screaming at me to take Oakland ML.

I know it sounds stupid, but does anyone else ever base a bet on something like this? Usually I do my homework (or trail someone who's analysis I like), but once or twice a year something just seems to reach out and smack me in the face and I can't really explain why. Maybe it's the gambling gods giving me a break once in awhile.

Not sure why, but this is one of those cases and I am going to put a small wager down on Oakland ML this Thursday.

P.S. The only other time this "vision" struck me this year was Cleveland over the Giants and I bet $100 on them ML and won $400.

Just FYI, but I could just be insane, I don't know.
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  #2  
Old 12-02-2008, 11:21 AM
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Sometimes the instinct picks pay off. When the Jets won in New England, I had a gut feeling that they'd win straight up, and I bet it. It paid off.

The more you second guess yourself, the more likely you are to lose. If you like it, bet it. I was actually thinking of doing the same. This new coach seems to have these guys playing much better. He can get them up for the big games.

This, like the Denver matchup, is a big game for them. Primetime. On the road. Division rival. Doesn't get much bigger, especially for the Raiders. Do it up, dude!
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  #3  
Old 12-02-2008, 11:31 AM
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gonna bet the chargers -10 now that everyone is off the bandwagon and on the "chargers suck" train


what can i say i am a glutton for punishment
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  #4  
Old 12-02-2008, 11:47 AM
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i think some of the team has quit and you saw it in their performance on sunday...pretty sad. oakland has lost 10 straight games to the chargers and you know they're pissed...their defense is pretty decent and should keep them in the game. they played them tough in the first matchup and have kept it close here the last few times. as much as it pains me to say it, I think this could be the game they break the streak. the mental state of this team is completely lost and even a sad ass team like the raiders could come in and keep it close, possibly win. i'll be on the +10 hoping they lose by a fg
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  #5  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rjb1816
i think some of the team has quit and you saw it in their performance on sunday...pretty sad. oakland has lost 10 straight games to the chargers and you know they're pissed...their defense is pretty decent and should keep them in the game. they played them tough in the first matchup and have kept it close here the last few times. as much as it pains me to say it, I think this could be the game they break the streak. the mental state of this team is completely lost and even a sad ass team like the raiders could come in and keep it close, possibly win. i'll be on the +10 hoping they lose by a fg
ok definitely playing chargers -10 now
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  #6  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Only_Papowski
ok definitely playing chargers -10 now

go for it...i hope they win by 50 for you
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  #7  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:28 PM
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What is the "total" line for the number of Charger fans getting the caca kicked out of them by Raider gang bangers in the parking lot?
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  #8  
Old 12-02-2008, 09:18 PM
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raiders +10...buy the hook....
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  #9  
Old 12-03-2008, 12:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rjb1816
go for it...i hope they win by 50 for you

Tough luck for you with the Chargers this year rjb. Hopefully the Lakers bringing in the title should help
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  #10  
Old 12-03-2008, 12:49 AM
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About chargers they fell into a system play aginst mode of mines

BUT it's only for sunday to sunday game i never had the system fall into place on thursday nighter game


THESE parameters must be met for the system to be played i call this the home and home system

Chargers play at home as a favorite opening line chalk to a NON Div opponent looking ahead to DIV Rival game next YOU bet the visitor expecting a COVER win however something goes wrong the Chargers LOST the Game s/u to the NON div opponent this activates the system play next game at home vs div rival dosent matter if a dog or fav in that game they will lose the money 100% of the time

exception to this system is when you have new hc and players when a team had bad year last year like Miami and Falcons then you have a play on the home team again

EXCEPTION also if Rival is injured down to 2nd and 3rd string players coming in then Play on home team because Rival is limping in ONLY happend once it was when Eagles played year after losing superbowl they had 16 starters on IR down to 3rd string QB 2005 season

NYG lost -9 s/u to VIKES 21-24 IN came wounded Eagles Giants - 7 W 27 - 14

HERE is results from past years in all teams that lost s/u at home before a DIV game next at home


2003 NYG - 3 pts lost to BILLS 7-24 looking ahead to Skins next week HOME again vs Skins favored - 3 lost again 7-20

this was weird 2004 +3 vs Falcons L 10-14

next week at Home +7 L to Eagles 6-27

that was Coughlins 1st year

2001 ATL -3 vs Bears L 3-31
+3 vs Rival 49ers L 31-37

2003 -3 vs Skins L 31 -33
+5 vs Bucs L 10-31

2005 -9 VS G B L 25-33
-6 vs BUCS L 27-30
weird one but still worked
2006 +3.5 VS Dallas L 28-38
- 6 VS Panthers L 3-10

2000 Bears
- 2 VS NYG L 7-14
- 2 VS Lions L 14-21

-4 vs saints L 10-31
+6 vs MIN L 16-28
2001 Bengals
- 2 vs BUCS L 13 -16
- 1 VS Jags L 10 - 14

1999 Browns
+6 vs Panthers L 17-31
+9.5 Vs Titans L 21-33

2000 +14 vs Eagles L 24-35
+16 vs Titans L 0-24

2005 LIONS - 2 vs Falcons L 7-27
+2.5 Vs Vikes L 16-21

2007 +2.5 vs NYG L 10 - 16
+3 VS GB L 26-37

2001 COLTS -3.5 vs OAK L 18-23
-10 Vs PATS L 17-38

2002
-4.5 vs NYG L 27-44
- 8.5 VS Jags L 14 - 20

ok thats all my eyes are hurting
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  #11  
Old 12-03-2008, 12:54 AM
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A) What is this guy talking about ^^^^
B) AS much as i hate them and how much money they have cost me this year... Chargers win BIG thursday night
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  #12  
Old 12-03-2008, 10:07 AM
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sir pick a lot let me explain this simpler

when anay team playing at HOME thats favored vs a NON DIV opponent LOSES the Game s/u they will lose agin at HOME to DIV Rival ATS and S/U

EXCEPTIONS are if Rival team is limping in with many injuries and down to 3rd string QB and 2nd string on both sides of Ball !

This only applies when playing B 2 B home games thats why i dubbed it The Home and HOME system !

those results i posted are real and it's every team in the league in this situation !

100% of the time !

BUT i havent seen it happen on thurs nighters on short weeks but i aint no glutton for punsihment Cahrgers offense is weak they cannot cover huge spreads

Raiders got Tougher latley they used to melt down in 4th quaters NOEW they seem to be playing tougher and it is revenge for them that home losss when they had chargers
by the throat 15 - 0 for 3 quaters was bad this time if they take lead early they just may win the game

go ahaed Bet san diego lay the heavy wood but id wait till line drops you might get better than 10 1/2
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  #13  
Old 12-04-2008, 10:59 AM
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If KC can beat the Raiders by 10, I think the horrible Chargers should be able to beat the Raiders by more than 10!
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  #14  
Old 12-04-2008, 11:04 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IloveBaseball
If KC can beat the Raiders by 10, I think the horrible Chargers should be able to beat the Raiders by more than 10!
But the Raiders just recently beat the Broncos, who beat the Jets. Its not how the NFL or any professional sport works.
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  #15  
Old 12-04-2008, 12:04 PM
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The Chargers have been the most disappointing team in the NFL by a mile. There is a very strong possibility that they will miss the playoffs. Their defense is terrible. LT is half of what he was in his prime. Rivers is average at best. As bad as all of this is, they will still kick it out of the Raiders, who have a QB that can not get out of the way of his own two feet and the worst organization in professional sports history.
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